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Economy, Strategy & Finance Center

Global Economic Outlook

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  •  + 0.3% Australia LEI
  •  - 0.2% Brazil LEI
  •  - 0.2% China LEI
  •  + 2.0pts Consumer Confidence
  •   0.0% Employment Trends
  •  - 0.5% Euro Area LEI
  •  + 0.1% France LEI
  •  + 0.8% Germany LEI
  •  - 0.3% Global LEI
  •  - 1.8% HWOL
  •  + 0.1% India LEI
  •  - 0.1% Japan LEI
  •  + 0.9% Mexico LEI
  •  + 0.2% South Korea LEI
  •  + 0.3% Spain LEI
  •  - 0.3% UK LEI
  •  - 0.3% U.S. LEI
  •  - 26.0pts U.S. CEO Confidence
    • Economic Data

    Global Economic Outlook

    updated 11 July 2025

    More Insights For What's Ahead In The Global Economy

    • Data: Forecasts and long-term projections available through Data Central.
    • Global:  Global Forecast Update (monthly); Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039 (annual, 12 November 2024); StraightTalk® (quarterly publication on the global economy). 
    • United States:  Economic Forecast for the US Economy (monthly);  Economy Watch: US View reports and webcasts (monthly).
    • Europe:  Economic Forecast for the European Economy (monthly);  Economy Watch: European View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039: Euro Area Edition (annual, 13 December 2024).
    • China:  Economy Watch: China View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039: China Edition (annual, 10 December 2024).
    • Emerging Markets:  Economy Watch: Emerging Markets View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039 (annual, 12 November 2024).

     

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    Q2 GDP Shows Sizable Slowing Beyond Trade Fog

    July 30, 2025

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    Hawkish Powell Looks Beyond September, Despite Two Dissents

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    Economy Watch: US View (July 2025)

    July 17, 2025

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    Retail Sales Show Consumer Resilience amid Tariffs
    Retail Sales Show Consumer Resilience amid Tariffs

    July 17, 2025

    Brief

    A Tale of Two CPIs: Goods Inflation Dwarfed by Services
    A Tale of Two CPIs: Goods Inflation Dwarfed by Services

    July 15, 2025
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    Dana M. Peterson

    Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance Center

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    Erik Lundh

    Senior Economist, Global

    Read Bio

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    Fiona Liu

    Economist

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    Press Releases / In the News

    PRESS RELEASE

    US Consumer Confidence Inched Up in July

    July 29, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for the Global Economy was Flat in May and Decreased in June

    July 29, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for China Decreased for a Third Month in June

    July 24, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for India Ticked up in June

    July 22, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    US Leading Economic Index® Declined in June

    July 21, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    The LEI for France Ticks Up in May

    July 18, 2025

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    Economic Indicator Calendar

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    Global Economic Outlook 2024 to 2036

    Global growth is expected to slow over the next decade relative to the prior ten years.

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    Upcoming Events

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    Expert Briefing

    Inflation's Impact on the Global Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

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    Expert Briefing

    The Energy Landscape and the Global Economy
    Expert Briefing

    The 10-year Global Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    Inflation's Impact on the Global Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    European Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    The Energy Landscape and the Global Economy

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    Publications

    Q2 GDP Shows Sizable Slowing Beyond Trade Fog

    Q2 GDP Shows Sizable Slowing Beyond Trade Fog

    July 30, 2025 | Brief

    Hawkish Powell Looks Beyond September, Despite Two Dissents

    Hawkish Powell Looks Beyond September, Despite Two Dissents

    July 30, 2025 | Brief

    Economy Watch: US View (July 2025)

    Economy Watch: US View (July 2025)

    July 17, 2025 | Article

    Retail Sales Show Consumer Resilience amid Tariffs

    Retail Sales Show Consumer Resilience amid Tariffs

    July 17, 2025 | Brief

    A Tale of Two CPIs: Goods Inflation Dwarfed by Services

    A Tale of Two CPIs: Goods Inflation Dwarfed by Services

    July 15, 2025 | Brief

    Economy Watch: Global and Emerging Markets View (July 2025)

    Economy Watch: Global and Emerging Markets View (July 2025)

    July 14, 2025 | Article

    View Less View More

    On Demand Webcasts, Podcasts and Videos

    Economy Watch: US Public Policy and the Economy

    April 09, 2025

    US Economic Volatility in 2025

    February 12, 2025

    The Long-term Economic Outlook for the US, Europe, and China

    December 11, 2024

    The 2025 Global Economic Outlook

    November 13, 2024

    The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe

    July 10, 2024

    The Economic Outlook for Europe

    July 12, 2023

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