Global Leading Indicators

For Release 11:00 AM ET, September 16, 2026

Using the Composite Indexes: The Leading Economic Index (LEI) provides an early indication of significant turning points in the business cycle and where the economy is heading in the near term. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) provides an indication of the current state of the economy. Additional details are below.

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index^®(LEI) for Mexico increased by 0.2% in August 2026 to 135.8 (2016=100), only partially reversing a 0.9% decrease in July. However, overall, the LEI decreased by 2.7% over the six-month period between February and August 2026, completely opposite to the 2.8% growth recorded over the previous six-month period.

The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index^® (CEI) for Mexico also increased slightly by 0.1% to 119.1 (2016=100) in August 2026, reversing the previous 0.1% decline recorded in July. The CEI expanded by 0.8% over the six-month period from February to August 2026, a slightly slower rate compared to the 0.9% growth over the previous six-month period (August 2025 to February 2026).

The next release is scheduled for Tuesday, October 20, 2026, at 11 A.M. ET.

The Mexico LEI recovered slightly in August 

Driven mainly by a stronger Peso as well as an increase in the price of crude petroleum exports

The annual growth rate of the LEI recovered slightly back into positive territory, and if the increase continues, it will indicate stronger economic activity ahead

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Mexico
The composite economic indexes are key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. Comprised of multiple independent indicators, the indexes are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning points in the economy in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component.

The CEI reflects current economic conditions and is highly correlated with real GDP. The LEI is a predictive tool that anticipates—or “leads”—turning points in the business cycle by around five months.

The six components of the Leading Economic Index® for Mexico are:

• Industrial Production (Construction)
• Stock Prices
• Petroleum Exports: Crude (US$/Barrel)
• Manufacturing Inventories (Opinion Balance)
• Federal Funds, Money Market Rate
• Real Exchange Rate

The three components of the Coincident Economic Index® for Mexico are:

• Industrial Production
• Retail Sales
• Employment, IMSS Beneficiaries

To access data, please visit: https://esf.conferenceboard.esgauge.org/data-central

About The Conference Board

The Conference Board is the Member-driven think tank that delivers Trusted Insights for What's Ahead^®®. Founded in 1916, we are a non-partisan, not-for-profit organization holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. TCB.org  l  Learn about Membership