November 13, 2017 | Report
This paper presents the methodology for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2018 which includes growth projections for 11 major regions and individual estimates for 33 mature and 36 emerging market economies for 2018–2022, and 2023–2027. The projections are based on a supply-side growth accounting model that estimates the contributions of the use of factor inputs (labor and capital) and total factor productivity growth to the growth of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP). While labor input growth rates are estimated using data on demographic changes and workforce participation rates, capital input and total factor productivity growth are econometrically estimated using a wide range of related variables during past periods. The resulting trend growth rates for the period 2018–2022 are adjusted for possible deviations between actual and potential output in the short run.
This working paper is complimentary.
To get complimentary access to this publication click "Read more" to sign in or create an account.
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for China Declined in November
December 22, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for India Increased in November
December 19, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Mexico Ticked Down in November
December 17, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Global Economy Decreased in September
December 16, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Euro Area Declined in November
December 16, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Brazil Increased in November
December 15, 2025
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Note: Due to the US federal government shutdown, all further releases for The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI), The Conference Board-Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® Index (HWOL Index), The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® of the US (US LEI) and The Conference Board Global Leading Economic Index® (Global LEI) data may be delayed.
Charts
The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.
LEARN MOREThis report identifies trends to help businesses prepare for an environment with more challenges for labor and capital but improvements in productivity growth.
LEARN MOREConnect and be informed about this topic through webcasts, virtual events and conferences
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy
December 12, 2025 | Article
Economy Watch: US View (December 2025)
December 12, 2025 | Article
Global Economic Outlook 2026: Euro Area Edition
December 12, 2025 | Report
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the Euro Area Economy
December 11, 2025 | Article
Global Economic Outlook 2026: China Edition
December 09, 2025 | Report

The Big Picture: What's Ahead for the Global Economy?
December 10, 2025

Economy Watch: Trends in Consumer & CEO Confidence
November 12, 2025

US Tariffs: What’s Changed, What’s Next
October 15, 2025

The Economic Outlook—Storms or Sunshine Ahead?
September 10, 2025

Economy Watch: US Public Policy and the Economy
April 09, 2025

US Economic Volatility in 2025
February 12, 2025