The Fed offered something for everyone today, offering a sizable interest rate cut for doomsayers, but also an upbeat assessment of the US Economy for those who are more optimistic.
The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its September 2024 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (Figure 1). This probably reflected mounting concerns about downside risks to the labor market as hours are being cut in some parts of the country and payroll employment over the last year or so might be revised downward.
However, the Fed did provide a rather glowing assessment of the US economy, believing GDP growth remains solid, the labor market is still healthy, and inflation is trending back to the 2-percent target. Moreover, the Chair of the Fed did not believe the economy is susceptible to a shock that would cause an economic downturn.
Markets and observers were divided over whether the central bank would start its rate cutting cycle to reduce monetary policy restrictiveness by 25 or more basis points. The decision to cut by one half per
Members of The Conference Board get exclusive access to Trusted Insights for What’s Ahead® through publications, Conferences and events, webcasts, podcasts, data & analysis, and Member Communities.
No Major Signs of Tariffs in April CPI, Yet
May 13, 2025
US-China De-Escalation Brings Down Sky-High Tariffs
May 12, 2025
Charts
Preliminary PMI indices show no change in weak DM growth momentum in November
LEARN MORECharts
How Might the World Fall Back into Recession?
LEARN MORECharts
Passing increases downstream, cutting costs, and absorbing price increases into profit margins are the chief ways to manage rising input costs. Few see changing
LEARN MORECharts
Downgraded global GDP forecast, but no recession expected
LEARN MORECharts
US continues to lead global productivity race
LEARN MORECharts
The Global Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion
LEARN MORECharts
The global supply chain disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in production delays, shortages, and a spike in inflation in world.
LEARN MORECharts
The Conference Board recently released its updated 2022 Global Economic Outlook.
LEARN MOREPRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Euro Area Declined in April
May 20, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Mexico Decreased in April
May 20, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® Plunged in April
May 19, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
The LEI for France Improved in March
May 16, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Brazil Improved Slightly in April
May 15, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
The LEI for Germany was unchanged in March
May 15, 2025
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Global growth is expected to slow over the next decade relative to the prior ten years.
LEARN MOREConnect and be informed about this topic through webcasts, virtual events and conferences
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy
May 15, 2025 | Article
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the Euro Area Economy
May 09, 2025 | Report
Fed to Remain Patient amid Rising Stagflationary Risks
May 07, 2025 | Brief
Stockpiling Crushes Q1 GDP, Details Show Solid Growth
April 30, 2025 | Brief
The Cost of Soaring Uncertainty: What Uncertainty Means for the US Outlook
April 22, 2025 | Essay
Economy Watch: US Public Policy and the Economy
April 09, 2025 11:00 AM ET (New York)
US Economic Volatility in 2025
February 12, 2025 11:00 AM ET (New York)
The Long-term Economic Outlook for the US, Europe, and China
December 11, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
The 2025 Global Economic Outlook
November 13, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe
July 10, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
The Economic Outlook for Europe
July 12, 2023 11:00 AM ET (New York)