Barring significant deterioration in the labor market, the Fed will likely stay on hold at the September FOMC meeting, as inflation is set to rise over the coming months. If the Fed needs to change the message in the coming weeks on the back of upcoming data, Chair Powell will have a chance to provide new guidance at the Fed’s Jackson Hole symposium on August 21-23.
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The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.
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This index identifies the risk of future labor shortages for specific occupations.
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PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® Fell Slightly in July
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The LEI for France Improved in June
August 20, 2025
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LEI for Mexico Increased Again in July
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LEI for the Euro Area Decreased in July
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Online Labor Demand Decreased in July
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LEI for Brazil Decreased Again in July
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Pre-Aug 1 Tariff Buying Likely Boosted July Retail Sales
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