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Timely insights from the Economy, Strategy & Finance Center
Downside surprises on both headline and core CPI in May masked nascent, yet still ongoing increases in tariff-related goods prices. Meanwhile, services inflation continues to ease due to falling demand for discretionary services, while declines in auto and apparel prices may have potentially been a result of companies selling off inventories accumulated in the run-up to tariff imposition.
Figure 1. Goods Deflation Over as Service Price Growth Slows
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Haver Analytics, The Conference Board.
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Note: Due to the US federal government shutdown, all further releases for The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI), The Conference Board-Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® Index (HWOL Index), The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® of the US (US LEI) and The Conference Board Global Leading Economic Index® (Global LEI) data may be delayed. TCB will resume publication once updated US federal government data are released.
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