Downside surprises on both headline and core CPI in May masked nascent, yet still ongoing increases in tariff-related goods prices. Meanwhile, services inflation continues to ease due to falling demand for discretionary services, while declines in auto and apparel prices may have potentially been a result of companies selling off inventories accumulated in the run-up to tariff imposition.
Figure 1. Goods Deflation Over as Service Price Growth Slows
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Haver Analytics, The Conference Board.
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