April 21, 2022 | Report
Assorted yield curves have inverted, but our canary in the coal mine—The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® or LEI—is still singing. Risks to the global economic outlook from the war in Ukraine and tightening Fed policy, notwithstanding, our leading economic indicators continue to point to positive growth in the US over the next six to nine months. Importantly, the Leading Credit Index™, or LCI, a broad measure of credit conditions and a subcomponent of the leading index, does not portend a US recession.
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Technical Notes for the US LEI
March 20, 2025 | Guide & Reference
August US leading index points to continued economic growth
September 23, 2021 | Chart
US LEI improving, but recession signal remains
September 24, 2020 | Chart
LEI points to a deep recession with no sign of fast rebound
May 21, 2020 | Chart
The Long-term Economic Outlook for the US, Europe, and China
December 11, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe
July 10, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
What Are The Conference Board LEIs Telling Us About the Future?
April 10, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
Inflation, Labor Markets, and the Fed
May 11, 2022 11:00 AM ET (New York)