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April 21, 2022 | Report
Assorted yield curves have inverted, but our canary in the coal mine—The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® or LEI—is still singing. Risks to the global economic outlook from the war in Ukraine and tightening Fed policy, notwithstanding, our leading economic indicators continue to point to positive growth in the US over the next six to nine months. Importantly, the Leading Credit Index™, or LCI, a broad measure of credit conditions and a subcomponent of the leading index, does not portend a US recession.
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All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Note: Due to the US federal government shutdown, all further releases for The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI), The Conference Board-Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® Index (HWOL Index), The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® of the US (US LEI) and The Conference Board Global Leading Economic Index® (Global LEI) data may be delayed. TCB will resume publication once updated US federal government data are released.
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