The Euro Area economy is on a path towards recovery, with both business and consumer sentiment improving further in February. Inflation resumed its downward trend, but stickier services prices further complicate the ECB’s policy decision-making. In its March meeting, the bank left its main policy rate unchanged at an all-time high of 4 percent. Timelier data on negotiated wages growth may bring the ECB closer to cutting interest rates. But as the slowdown in wage growth was not as steep as expected, a June cut is now more likely. Looking ahead, we make only slight changes to our forecasts, expecting any recovery to be modest in 2024, while getting closer to its long-term growth trend in 2025.
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Economy Watch: European View (September 2025)
September 17, 2025
Economy Watch: European View (June 2025)
June 16, 2025
Economy Watch: European View (May 2024)
May 21, 2024
Economy Watch: European View (February 2024)
February 22, 2024
Economy Watch: European View (January 2024)
January 15, 2024
Economy Watch: European View (November 2023)
November 20, 2023
Charts
The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.
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Preliminary PMI indices show no change in weak DM growth momentum in November
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How Might the World Fall Back into Recession?
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Passing increases downstream, cutting costs, and absorbing price increases into profit margins are the chief ways to manage rising input costs. Few see changing
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US continues to lead global productivity race
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The Global Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion
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The global supply chain disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in production delays, shortages, and a spike in inflation in world.
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The Conference Board recently released its updated 2022 Global Economic Outlook.
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PRESS RELEASE
US Consumer Confidence Fell Again in December
December 23, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for China Declined in November
December 22, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for India Increased in November
December 19, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Mexico Ticked Down in November
December 17, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Global Economy Decreased in September
December 16, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Euro Area Declined in November
December 16, 2025
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Note: Due to the US federal government shutdown, all further releases for The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI), The Conference Board-Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® Index (HWOL Index), The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® of the US (US LEI) and The Conference Board Global Leading Economic Index® (Global LEI) data may be delayed.
This report identifies trends to help businesses prepare for an environment with more challenges for labor and capital but improvements in productivity growth.
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