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The Euro Area economy is on a path towards recovery, with both business and consumer sentiment improving further in February. Inflation resumed its downward trend, but stickier services prices further complicate the ECB’s policy decision-making. In its March meeting, the bank left its main policy rate unchanged at an all-time high of 4 percent. Timelier data on negotiated wages growth may bring the ECB closer to cutting interest rates. But as the slowdown in wage growth was not as steep as expected, a June cut is now more likely. Looking ahead, we make only slight changes to our forecasts, expecting any recovery to be modest in 2024, while getting closer to its long-term growth trend in 2025.
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Economy Watch: European View (October 2024)
October 11, 2024
Economy Watch: European View (September 2024)
September 20, 2024
Economy Watch: European View (July 2024)
July 26, 2024
Economy Watch: European View (June 2024)
June 24, 2024
Economy Watch: European View (May 2024)
May 21, 2024
Economy Watch: European View (April 2024)
April 16, 2024
Charts
Preliminary PMI indices show no change in weak DM growth momentum in November
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How Might the World Fall Back into Recession?
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Passing increases downstream, cutting costs, and absorbing price increases into profit margins are the chief ways to manage rising input costs. Few see changing
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Downgraded global GDP forecast, but no recession expected
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US continues to lead global productivity race
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The Global Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion
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The global supply chain disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in production delays, shortages, and a spike in inflation in world.
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The Conference Board recently released its updated 2022 Global Economic Outlook.
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LEI for the Euro Area Fell in September
October 14, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the United Kingdom Unchanged in August
October 11, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Spain Ticked Down in August
October 10, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Japan Receded in August
October 10, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for South Korea Remained Unchanged in August
October 08, 2024
BRIEF
Developed Market Central Bank Watch - October 2024
October 03, 2024
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Global growth is expected to slow over the next decade relative to the prior ten years.
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Economy Watch: European View (October 2024)
October 11, 2024 | Article
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy
October 11, 2024 | Article
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the European Economy
October 11, 2024 | Report
Economy Watch: European View (September 2024)
September 20, 2024 | Article
Economy Watch: US View (September 2024)
September 20, 2024 | Article
The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe
July 10, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
The Economic Outlook for Europe
July 12, 2023 11:00 AM ET (New York)
The Economic Outlook for India and MENA
June 14, 2023 11:00 AM ET (New York)