The US economy is projected to expand at a pace of 1.8% year-over-year in 2025 (1.4% Q4/Q4), and by 1.5% (1.4% Q4/Q4) in 2026.
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Economy Watch: US View (April 2026)
April 20, 2026
Economy Watch: US View (March 2026)
March 13, 2026
Economy Watch: US View (February 2026)
February 13, 2026
Economy Watch: US View (January 2026)
January 23, 2026
Economy Watch: US View (December 2025)
December 12, 2025
Economy Watch: US View (November 2025)
November 14, 2025
Charts
The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.
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Preliminary PMI indices show no change in weak DM growth momentum in November
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How Might the World Fall Back into Recession?
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Passing increases downstream, cutting costs, and absorbing price increases into profit margins are the chief ways to manage rising input costs. Few see changing
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US continues to lead global productivity race
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The Global Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion
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The global supply chain disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in production delays, shortages, and a spike in inflation in world.
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The Conference Board recently released its updated 2022 Global Economic Outlook.
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PRESS RELEASE
The LEI for the UK ticked down in September
November 13, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Brazil inched up in October
November 13, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Australia Unchanged in September
November 12, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Spain Dipped in September
November 11, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Japan Edged Up in September 2026
November 10, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for South Korea Improved in September
November 09, 2026
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
This report identifies trends to help businesses prepare for an environment with more challenges for labor and capital but improvements in productivity growth.
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Hot October CPI Strengthens the Case for Further Fed Tightening
November 10, 2026 | Brief
Robust Employment Report Supports Further Fed Rate Hikes
November 06, 2026 | Brief
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy
October 30, 2026 | Report
Q3 GDP Validates Fed’s “Strong” Assessment, Real Income Drop Augurs Slowdown
October 29, 2026 | Brief
October FOMC Decision: Fed on Hold, But Not Done
October 28, 2026 | Brief

Economy Watch: Leading Indicators & Leading Risks for the Year Ahead
November 12, 2026

The US Midterm Elections – “It’s the Economy, Stupid”
October 14, 2026

Economy Watch: The Global Economy at a Turning Point
September 09, 2026

USMCA 2.0—Trade Uncertainty in North America
June 10, 2026

Power Shifts: From the Fed to EV Markets
May 13, 2026