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Monthly updates on the state of the economy in the United States
While the prospects for a ‘soft landing’ have risen, The Conference Board believes it is more probable that the US economy will slip into a short and shallow recession in early 2024. Consumer spending was strong over the summer period but is beginning to cool. Moderating real income gains, falling savings and rising debt will likely further curb consumer spending heading into 2024. US labor market tightness is moderating according to the November jobs report. As the economy cools in early 2024 so too will the labor market. On inflation, progress is being made, but the path to 2% will be long and bumpy. We believe the Fed Funds Rate has peaked, but don’t foresee any cuts until mid-2024.
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Economy Watch: US View (August 2025)
August 11, 2025
Economy Watch: US View (July 2025)
July 17, 2025
Economy Watch: US View (June 2025)
June 13, 2025
Economy Watch: US View (September 2024)
September 20, 2024
Economy Watch: US View (August 2024)
August 19, 2024
Economy Watch: US View (July 2024)
July 26, 2024
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The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.
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Preliminary PMI indices show no change in weak DM growth momentum in November
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How Might the World Fall Back into Recession?
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Passing increases downstream, cutting costs, and absorbing price increases into profit margins are the chief ways to manage rising input costs. Few see changing
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US continues to lead global productivity race
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The Global Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion
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The global supply chain disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in production delays, shortages, and a spike in inflation in world.
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The Conference Board recently released its updated 2022 Global Economic Outlook.
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PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Global Economy Inched Down in June and July
August 28, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for China Declined Again in July
August 27, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
US Consumer Confidence Little Changed in August
August 26, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for India Increased in July
August 25, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® Fell Slightly in July
August 21, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
The LEI for France Improved in June
August 20, 2025
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Global growth is expected to slow over the next decade relative to the prior ten years.
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Pre-Aug 1 Tariff Buying Likely Boosted July Retail Sales
August 15, 2025 | Brief
August 13, 2025 | Article
July CPI data showed that tariffs continued to creep into data
August 12, 2025 | Brief
Economy Watch: US View (August 2025)
August 11, 2025 | Article
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy
August 08, 2025 | Article
August 07, 2025 | Database
Economy Watch: US Public Policy and the Economy
April 09, 2025
US Economic Volatility in 2025
February 12, 2025
The Long-term Economic Outlook for the US, Europe, and China
December 11, 2024
The 2025 Global Economic Outlook
November 13, 2024
The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe
July 10, 2024
The Economic Outlook for Europe
July 12, 2023
