Retail sales slipped for a second month in March following a spike in January. Total sales fell by 1.0 percent month-over-month, but were up 2.9 percent from a year earlier in nominal terms. After adjusting for CPI inflation, which was roughly flat in March in month-over-month terms, real retail sales growth fell 1.0 percent.* Unseasonably warm weather in January resulted in a surge in spending that month that will likely bolster real consumer spending for the full quarter. This is consistent with our April US GDP forecast. However, spending data for February and March resumed a weakening trend that began in late 2022. We expect more spending weakness ahead as the US economy falls into a brief and mild recession starting next quarter. Consumer demand for goods stalled in March—falling by 1.2 percent from the previous month in nominal terms. Spending on motor vehicles and parts fell by 1.6 percent in March from February, while retail sales excluding motor vehicles and parts fell by 0.8 percent. Spending at gasoline stations fell 5.5 percent from the month prior. Retail sales less motor vehicles, gasoline, and building supplies (known as “Retail Control”) fell by 0.3 percent from the previous month. When adjusting goods spending for CPI inflation, the real growth rate was about -0.8 percent from the previous month.* Meanwhile, spending at food services and drinking places rose by a modest 0.1 percent month-over-month, vs. up 5.6 percent in January. However, after adjusting for CPI inflation the real growth rate was about -0.3 percent from the previous month.* * Real growth rates are The Conference Board estimates based on Census Retail Sales data and BLS CPI data
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August Retail Sales Reflect Consumer Resilience—for Now
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Charts
US Inflation Expectations Remain High As Inflation Surges
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A special poll conducted in the March Consumer Confidence Survey focused on the perceived impact of the war in Ukraine on overall inflation in the US.
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March Consumer Confidence Rises Despite Headwinds
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The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® declined in November, following an increase in October. The Index now stands at 109.5 (1985=100), down from 111.
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Global consumer confidence advanced to another record high in the third quarter of 2021..
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The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® declined again in September, following decreases in both July and August. The Index now stands at 109.3 (1985=100), do…
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The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) was relatively unchanged in July, following gains in each of the prior five months. The Index now stands at 129.…
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Consumer confidence for Asia-Pacific declined slightly in the second quarter of 2021.
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Global consumer confidence ticked up to another record high in the second quarter of 2021, according to The Conference Board® Global Consumer Confidence Survey, as ec…
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The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) improved further in June, following gains in each of the previous four months. The Index now stands at 127.3 (19…
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US Consumer Confidence Declines Again in September
September 30, 2025
IN THE NEWS
Dana M. Peterson: Where Consumer Confidence is headed
September 07, 2025
IN THE NEWS
Steve Odland on Consumer Confidence
April 29, 2025
IN THE NEWS
Stephanie Guichard on Consumer Confidence
March 25, 2025
IN THE NEWS
Yelena Shulyatyeva: What February consumer confidence says about the labor marke
February 25, 2025
IN THE NEWS
Stephanie Guichard: Consumers are less optimistic about the future in February
January 29, 2025
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Note: Due to the US federal government shutdown, all further releases for The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI), The Conference Board?Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® Index (HWOL Index), The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® of the US (US LEI) and The Conference Board Global Leading Economic Index® (Global LEI) data may be delayed. TCB will resume publication once updated US federal government data are released.
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