China View: May data surprises to the upside | The Conference Board
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China View: May data surprises to the upside

June 2020 | China Center Publications

The most recent data confirm that the Chinese economy continues to recover, and more quickly than we expected. Growth readings surprised to the upside in both services production and retail sales. Official GDP growth in Q2 will likely be positive. However, serious trade and unemployment concerns loom large for 2H, as do on-going concerns about virus resurgence as evidenced by the recent outbreak in Beijing. The forceful containment of these outbreaks by the Chinese authorities, albeit effective, point to continued challenges with mobility in China (see: China Center thought piece: “Local Mobility Controls Point to a Re-Fragmentation of the China Operating Environment for MNCs”). Whilst the COVID-19 threat persists, businesses will have to adapt to demand and operating environments that are much more disparate across Chinese localities.



Yuan Gao

Senior Economist, China Center for Economics and Business
The Conference Board


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