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The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

  • U.S. recession odds have risen to 50% from 35%
  • GDP growth likely slows to 0.6% in Q4 and 1.5% for all of 2011
  • Silver lining is that any recession should be short and shallow
  • Profits are poised to finally slow amid low confidence levels
  • Leading Economic Index boosted by M2 and yield curve

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