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US Housing: Boom-Bust Redux?

The swell in home prices does not suggest that the United States is reliving the 2005-07 housing bubble and burst that led to the 2008-09 Great Recession. Basic supply and demand factors—not speculation, predatory lending and/or bad underwriting practicesare at the root of the latest home price upswing. Moreover, a series of mortgage-market safeguards should prevent a hard landing when home prices recede.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Financially fit home buyers and mortgage-market guardrails should help prevent another full-blown housing crisis. Business executives should likely not fear an implosion of housing market activity, a surge in foreclosures, or financial market contagion that leads to another US or global recession.

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AUTHORS

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Dana M. Peterson

Executive Vice President & Chief Economist
The Conference Board
Center Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance

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Gurleen Chadha

Research Analyst
The Conference Board

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