Will the New Budget Grow the US Economy?
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Economic Data & Analysis

Will the New Budget Grow the US Economy?

08 August 2025 / Report

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The recently passed budget reconciliation bill will have variable effects on the US economy given differential timing of when policies will take affect. This paper discusses how provisions in the legislation may provide a slight lift to real GDP growth in early 2026 but could present a drag heading into 2027 and beyond.

The recently passed budget reconciliation bill will have variable effects on the US economy given differential timing of when policies will take affect. This paper discusses how provisions in the legislation may provide a slight lift to real GDP growth in early 2026 but could present a drag heading into 2027 and beyond.

Authors

Yelena Shulyatyeva

Yelena Shulyatyeva Yelena Shulyatyeva

Senior US Economist
The Conference Board

Read Bio

Anna Larsen

Anna Larsen Anna Larsen

Economic Research Assistant
The Conference Board

Read Bio

Dana M. Peterson

Dana M. Peterson Dana M. Peterson

Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Fi…
The Conference Board

Read Bio

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