A Hot Labor Market in a Chilling Economy
Our Privacy Policy has been updated! The Conference Board uses cookies to improve our website, enhance your experience, and deliver relevant messages and offers about our products. Detailed information on the use of cookies on this site is provided in our cookie policy. For more information on how The Conference Board collects and uses personal data, please visit our privacy policy. By continuing to use this Site or by clicking "OK", you acknowledge our privacy policy and consent to the use of cookies.  Our Privacy Policy has been updated! Detailed information on the use of cookies on this site is provided in our cookie policy and our privacy policy. 
TCB Tourch
Loading...
  • logoImage
  •  
    • US
    • EUROPE
    • ASIA
  • 2

    Close
    • Insights
        • Insights
        • Explore by Center
          • Explore by Center
          • Economy, Strategy & Finance

          • Governance & Sustainability

          • Human Capital

        • Explore by Content Type
          • Explore by Content Type
          • Reports

          • Upcoming Webcasts

          • On Demand Webcasts

          • Podcasts

          • Charts & Infographics

        • Trending Topics
          • Trending Topics
          • Artificial Intelligence (AI)

          • Navigating Washington

          • Geopolitics

          • US Economic Forecast

          • Sustainability

          • Future of Work

    • Events
        • Events
        • Upcoming Events
          • Upcoming Events
          • Future: Reward Europe 2025

          • CHRO Summit: Navigating through a Tsunami of Change

          • Future: People Asia

          • Reimagine: The Future of Business

          • 2026: A Year in Preview

          • Explore all Upcoming Events

        • Member-Exclusive Programs
          • Member-Exclusive Programs
          • Center Briefings

          • Experts Live

          • Roundtables

          • Working Groups

          • Expert Briefings

    • Data
        • Data
        • Consumer Confidence Index

        • Data Central

        • TCB Benchmarking

        • Employment Trends Index

        • Global Economic Outlook

        • Leading Economic Indicators

        • Help Wanted OnLine

        • Labor Markets

        • Measure of CEO Confidence

        • Human Capital Benchmarking &
          Data Analytics

        • CMO+CCO Meter Dashboard

    • Centers
        • Centers
        • Our Centers
          • Our Centers
          • Economy, Strategy & Finance

          • Governance & Sustainability

          • Human Capital

        • Center Membership
          • Center Membership
          • What Is a Center?

          • Benefits of Center Membership

          • Join a Center

    • Councils
        • Councils
        • Find a Council
          • Find a Council
          • Economy, Strategy & Finance

          • Governance & Sustainability

          • Human Capital

        • Council Membership
          • Council Membership
          • What is a Council?

          • Benefits of Council Membership

          • Apply to a Council

    • Membership
        • Membership
        • Why Become a Member?
          • Why Become a Member?
          • Benefits of Membership

          • Check if Your Organization is a Member

          • Speak to a Membership Associate

        • Types of Membership
          • Types of Membership
          • Council

          • Economy, Strategy & Finance

          • Governance & Sustainability

          • Human Capital

          • Insights

          • TCB Advisory

        • Already a Member?
          • Already a Member?
          • Sign In to myTCB®

          • Executive Communities

          • Member-Exclusive Programs

    • About Us
        • About Us
        • Who We Are
          • Who We Are
          • About Us

          • In the News

          • Press Releases

          • Our History

          • Support Our Work

          • Locations

          • Contact Us

        • Our Community
          • Our Community
          • Our Leadership

          • Our Experts

          • Trustees

          • Voting Members

          • Global Counsellors

          • Careers

          • This Week @ TCB

    • Careers
    • This Week @ TCB
    • Sign In to myTCB®
      • US
      • EUROPE
      • ASIA
    • Insights
      • Insights
      • Explore by Center
        • Explore by Center
        • Economy, Strategy & Finance

        • Governance & Sustainability

        • Human Capital

      • Explore by Content Type
        • Explore by Content Type
        • Reports

        • Upcoming Webcasts

        • On Demand Webcasts

        • Podcasts

        • Charts & Infographics

      • Trending Topics
        • Trending Topics
        • Artificial Intelligence (AI)

        • Navigating Washington

        • Geopolitics

        • US Economic Forecast

        • Sustainability

        • Future of Work

    • Events
      • Events
      • Upcoming Events
        • Upcoming Events
        • Future: Reward Europe 2025

        • CHRO Summit: Navigating through a Tsunami of Change

        • Future: People Asia

        • Reimagine: The Future of Business

        • 2026: A Year in Preview

        • Explore all Upcoming Events

      • Member-Exclusive Programs
        • Member-Exclusive Programs
        • Center Briefings

        • Experts Live

        • Roundtables

        • Working Groups

        • Expert Briefings

    • Data
      • Data
      • Consumer Confidence Index

      • Data Central

      • TCB Benchmarking

      • Employment Trends Index

      • Global Economic Outlook

      • Leading Economic Indicators

      • Help Wanted OnLine

      • Labor Markets

      • Measure of CEO Confidence

      • Human Capital Benchmarking & Data Analytics

      • CMO+CCO Meter Dashboard

    • Centers
      • Centers
      • Our Centers
        • Our Centers
        • Economy, Strategy & Finance

        • Governance & Sustainability

        • Human Capital

      • Center Membership
        • Center Membership
        • What is a Center?

        • Benefits of Center Membership

        • Join a Center

    • Councils
      • Councils
      • Find a Council
        • Find a Council
        • Economy, Strategy & Finance

        • Governance & Sustainability

        • Human Capital

      • Council Membership
        • Council Membership
        • What is a Council?

        • Benefits of Council Membership

        • Apply to a Council

    • Membership
      • Membership
      • Why Become a Member?
        • Why Become a Member?
        • Benefits of Membership

        • Check if Your Organization is a Member

        • Speak to a Membership Associate

      • Types of Membership
        • Types of Membership
        • Council

        • Economy, Strategy & Finance

        • Governance & Sustainability

        • Human Capital

        • Insights

        • TCB Advisory

      • Already a Member?
        • Already a Member?
        • Sign In to myTCB®

        • Executive Communities

        • Member-Exclusive Programs

    • About Us
      • About Us
      • Who We Are
        • Who We Are
        • About Us

        • In the News

        • Press Releases

        • This Week @ TCB

        • Our History

        • Support Our Work

        • Locations

        • Contact Us

      • Our Community
        • Our Community
        • Our Leadership

        • Our Experts

        • Trustees

        • Voting Members

        • Global Counsellors

        • Careers

        • This Week @ TCB

    • Careers
    • Sign In to myTCB®
    • Download TCB Insights App
  • Insights
    Insights

    Our research and analysis have helped the world's leading companies navigate challenges and seize opportunities for over 100 years.

    Explore All Research

    Economic Indicators

    • Explore by Center
    • Economy, Strategy & Finance
    • Governance & Sustainability
    • Human Capital
    • Explore by Content Type
    • Reports
    • Upcoming Webcasts
    • On Demand Webcasts
    • Podcasts
    • Charts & Infographics
    • Trending Topics
    • Artificial Intelligence (AI)
    • Navigating Washington
    • Geopolitics
    • US Economic Forecast
    • Sustainability
    • Future of Work
  • Events
    Events

    Our in-person and virtual events offer unmatched opportunities for professional development, featuring top experts and practitioners.

    See Everything Happening This Week

    Sponsor a Program

    • Upcoming Events
    • Future: Reward Europe 2025

      June 05 - 06, 2025

      CHRO Summit: Navigating through a Tsunami of Change

      June 24, 2025

      Future: People Asia

      September 04 - 05, 2025

    •  
    • Reimagine: The Future of Business

      November 12 - 13, 2025

      2026: A Year in Preview

      January 28, 2026

    • Member-Exclusive Programs
    • Center Briefings
    • Experts Live
    • Roundtables
    • Working Groups
    • Expert Briefings
    • Explore by Type
    • Events
    • Webcasts
    • Podcasts
    • Member-Exclusive Programs
    • Center Briefings
    • Experts Live
    • Roundtables
    • Working Groups
    • Expert Briefings
  • Data
    Corporate Disclosure Data

    TCB Benchmarking

    Real-time data & analytical tools to benchmark your governance, compensation, environmental, human capital management (HCM) and social practices against US public companies.

    Economic Data

    All Data

    See current direction and trends across key indicators

    Consumer Confidence Index

    US consumers' thoughts on the economy, jobs, finances and more

    Data Central

    One-stop, member-exclusive portal for the entire suite of indicators

    Labor Markets

    Covering all aspects of labor markets, from monthly development to long-term trends

    Measure of CEO Confidence

    Examines the health of the US economy from the perspective of CEOs

     

    Recession & Growth Trackers

    See the current and future state of 16 economies.

    Global Economic Outlook

    Track the latest short-, medium-, and long-term growth outlooks for 77 economies

    Leading Economic Indicators

    Track the state of the business cycle for 12 global economies across Asia and Europe

    Help Wanted OnLine

    Track the status of job markets across the US through online job listings

    Other Featured Data

    Human Capital Analytics Tools

    Tools to understand human capital management and corporate performance

    CMO+CCO Meter Dashboard

    Tracks the impact, resources, and satisfaction of CMOs and CCOs

  • Centers
    Centers

    Centers offer access to world-class experts, research, events, and senior executive communities.

    Our Centers
    • Economy, Strategy & Finance
    • Governance & Sustainability
    • Human Capital
    Center Membership
    • What Is a Center?
    • Benefits of Center Membership
    • Join a Center
  • Councils
    Councils

    Councils are invitation-only, peer-led communities of senior executives that come together to exchange knowledge, accelerate career development, and advance their function.

    Find a Council
    • Economy, Strategy & Finance
    • Governance & Sustainability
    • Human Capital
    Council Membership
    • What Is a Council?
    • Benefits of Council Membership
    • Apply to a Council
  • Membership
    Membership

    Membership in The Conference Board arms your team with an arsenal of knowledge, networks, and expertise that's unmatched in scope and depth.

    • Why Become a Member?
    • Benefits of Membership
    • Check if Your Organization is a Member
    • Speak to a Membership Associate
    • Types of Membership
    • Council
    • Economy, Strategy & Finance
    • Governance & Sustainability
    • Human Capital
    • Insights
    • TCB Advisory
    • Already a Member?
    • Sign in to myTCB®
    • Executive Communities
    • Member-Exclusive Programs
  • About Us
    About Us

    The Conference Board is the global, nonprofit think tank and business membership organization that delivers Trusted Insights for What's Ahead®. For over 100 years, our cutting-edge research, data, events and executive networks have helped the world's leading companies understand the present and shape the future.

    Learn more about Membership

    • Who We Are
    • About Us
    • In the News
    • Press Releases
    • Our History
    • Support Our Work
    • Locations
    • Contact Us
    • Our Community
    • Our Leadership
    • Our Experts
    • Trustees
    • Voting Members
    • Careers
    • This Week @ TCB
Check if You're a Member
Create Account
Forgot Your Password?

Members of The Conference Board get exclusive access to the full range of products and services that deliver Trusted Insights for What's Ahead ® including webcasts, publications, data and analysis, plus discounts to conferences and events.

A Hot Labor Market in a Chilling Economy

31 October 2023 / Report

Download Report
  • Email
  • Linkedin
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Copy Link
listenPlayBtnImage

How Can Companies Navigate a Dysfunctional Labor Market?

Video

How Can Companies Navigate a Dysfunctional Labor Market?

By deploying strategies like talent supply protection, or skills-first hiring approaches, companies can stay ahead of the competition.

A Hot Labor Market in a Chilling Economy: Employers Keep Adding Staff Despite Economic Deceleration.

Insights for What's Ahead

The Euro Area jobless rate has stabilized at a record-low 6.4%, while additional potential workers also dropped to a record low of 13%. Demographic declines and skills mismatches mean Europe is facing extreme talent scarcity, and employers fear not being able to find new workers with the right skills once economic activity begins to pick up.

Staffing shortages put pressure on employers to invest in productivity. Hours worked per employee remain almost two percentage points below prepandemic levels, but early signs suggest employers are experimenting with the new advances in AI to boost productivity. As AI promises to replace many technical skills, demand for cognitive, human-based skills is intensifying, with ‘willingness to learn’ and ‘collaborating in teams and networks’ seeing the biggest growth in demand from recruiters.

Labor markets in Germany and France diverge, spelling trouble for Europe. Private sector jobs in Germany shrink, with manufacturing jobs down 2.9% since Q4 2019. Meanwhile France continues to show impressive private sector gains. But French productivity declines and Germany’s economic weakness bodes ill for Europe in the longer term.

A Hot Labor Market in a Chilling Economy: Employers Keep Adding Staff Despite Economic Deceleration.

Insights for What's Ahead

The Euro Area jobless rate has stabilized at a record-low 6.4%, while additional potential workers also dropped to a record low of 13%. Demographic declines and skills mismatches mean Europe is facing extreme talent scarcity, and employers fear not being able to find new workers with the right skills once economic activity begins to pick up.

Staffing shortages put pressure on employers to invest in productivity. Hours worked per employee remain almost two percentage points below prepandemic levels, but early signs suggest employers are experimenting with the new advances in AI to boost productivity. As AI promises to replace many technical skills, demand for cognitive, human-based skills is intensifying, with ‘willingness to learn’ and ‘collaborating in teams and networks’ seeing the biggest growth in demand from recruiters.

Labor markets in Germany and France diverge, spelling trouble for Europe. Private sector jobs in Germany shrink, with manufacturing jobs down 2.9% since Q4 2019. Meanwhile France continues to show impressive private sector gains. But French productivity declines and Germany’s economic weakness bodes ill for Europe in the longer term.

Authors

Konstantinos Panitsas

Konstantinos Panitsas Konstantinos Panitsas

Economist
The Conference Board

Read Bio

Marion Devine

Marion Devine Marion Devine

Principal Researcher, Human Capital, Europe
The Conference Board

Read Bio

Camilla Andretta

Camilla Andretta Camilla Andretta

Former Research Associate, Human Capital Center, E…
The Conference Board

Read Bio

Klaas de Vries

Klaas de Vries Klaas de Vries

Former Senior Economist
The Conference Board

Read Bio

View All
Great News!

You already have an account with The Conference Board.

Please try to login in with your email or click here if you have forgotten your password.

  • Download
  • Download Report

Other Related Resources

Report

Balancing Employees' Flexible Work Expectations with Productivity Goals

Balancing Employees' Flexible Work Expectations with Productivity Goals

July 31, 2023

Podcasts

European Labor Market Outlook H1

European Labor Market Outlook H1

May 05, 2023

Podcasts

Solving Workforce Shortages in Health Care

Solving Workforce Shortages in Health Care

March 28, 2023

Chart

Wages come down in 2nd quarter

Wages come down in 2nd quarter

February 03, 2023

Chart

Wage inequality continues downward trend

Wage inequality continues downward trend

February 03, 2023

Chart

Recent hikes in quits rates indicate retention difficulties across all industries

Recent hikes in quits rates indicate retention difficulties across all industries

February 03, 2023

Article

Freight labor unrest emerging globally

Freight labor unrest emerging globally

October 27, 2022

Chart

Decline in office and administrative support work suggests certain tasks and skills have been replaced by automation

Decline in office and administrative support work suggests certain tasks and skills have been replaced by automation

October 19, 2022

Chart

CEOs are having trouble filling positions as the unemployment rate drops lower

CEOs are having trouble filling positions as the unemployment rate drops lower

August 15, 2022

Chart

Non-union wages are growing faster than union wages

Non-union wages are growing faster than union wages

August 03, 2022

Brief

No Sign of Slowing Wage Growth

No Sign of Slowing Wage Growth

July 29, 2022

Brief

Solid Job Growth Continues Amid a Slowing Economy

Solid Job Growth Continues Amid a Slowing Economy

July 08, 2022

Brief

Employment Report Shows Another Month of Solid Job Growth

Employment Report Shows Another Month of Solid Job Growth

June 03, 2022

Brief

Wage growth remains high amid labor shortages

Wage growth remains high amid labor shortages

April 29, 2022

Report

Future Occupational Labor Shortages Risk Index

Future Occupational Labor Shortages Risk Index

March 25, 2022

Database

Future Occupational Labor Shortages Risk Index (database)

Future Occupational Labor Shortages Risk Index (database)

March 25, 2022

Brief

Strong job growth, tight labor markets

Strong job growth, tight labor markets

March 04, 2022

Report

How Employers Combat Labor Shortages

How Employers Combat Labor Shortages

December 02, 2021

Brief

Job Growth Increases, No End in Sight for Labor Shortages

Job Growth Increases, No End in Sight for Labor Shortages

November 05, 2021

Brief

Labor Shortages Give Rise to Rapid Wage Growth

Labor Shortages Give Rise to Rapid Wage Growth

October 29, 2021

Brief

Lackluster job growth amid Delta and labor shortages

Lackluster job growth amid Delta and labor shortages

October 08, 2021

Report

Balancing Employees' Flexible Work Expectations with Productivity Goals

Balancing Employees' Flexible Work Expectations with Productivity Goals

July 31, 2023

Podcasts

European Labor Market Outlook H1

European Labor Market Outlook H1

May 05, 2023

Podcasts

Solving Workforce Shortages in Health Care

Solving Workforce Shortages in Health Care

March 28, 2023

Conference Board Sample Web Chat
chatbot-Icon TCB Logo
chatbot-Icon
Navigating Washington - Sign up to receive the latest business insights related to executive orders, new laws, and changing regulations.
ABOUT US
  • Who We Are
  • Annual Report
  • Our History
  • Our Experts
  • Our Leadership
  • In the News
  • Press Releases
MEMBERSHIP
  • Become a Member
  • Sign In to myTCB®
  • Access Experts
  • Member-Only Events
  • Data & Benchmarking
  • Manage Account
EXPLORE
  • Centers
  • Councils
  • Latest Research
  • Events
  • Webcasts
  • Podcasts
  • This Week @ TCB
CONTACT US
  • Americas
    +1 212 759 0900
    customer.service@tcb.org
  • Europe/Africa/Middle East
    +32 2 675 5405
    brussels@tcb.org
  • Asia
    Hong Kong | +852 2804 1000
    Singapore | +65 8298 3403
    service.ap@tcb.org
CAREERS
  • See Open Positions
Terms Of Use | Privacy Policy | Event Code of Conduct | Trademarks
© 2025 The Conference Board Inc. All rights reserved. The Conference Board and torch logo are registered trademarks of The Conference Board.
The use of all The Conference Board data and materials is subject to the Terms of Use. Reprint requests are reviewed individually and may be subject to additional fees.The Conference Board reserves the right to deny any request.
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Event Code of Conduct | Trademarks
© 2025 The Conference Board Inc. All rights reserved. The Conference Board and torch logo are registered trademarks of The Conference Board.
The use of all data from The Conference Board data and materials is subject to the Terms of Use. Reprint requests are reviewed individually and may be subject to additional fees.The Conference Board reserves the right to deny any request.

Thank you for signing up. You will now receive CEO Insights for What's Ahead every Wednesday morning. You can unsubscribe at any time or manage your preferences to receive more content from The Conference Board.

Announcing The Conference Board AI Virtual Conference Series

Explore the Impact of AI on Your Business

Members receive complimentary registration - Learn more >>