The Conference Board uses cookies to improve our website, enhance your experience, and deliver relevant messages and offers about our products. Detailed information on the use of cookies on this site is provided in our cookie policy. For more information on how The Conference Board collects and uses personal data, please visit our privacy policy. By continuing to use this Site or by clicking "OK", you consent to the use of cookies. 
China Center Data Flash: Slowdown to Resume in 2017
  • Authors:

    Yuan Gao

  • Publication Date:
    February 2017

Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release.

2016 ended with strong economic data, including an uptick in GDP growth in Q4 and accelerated retail growth in December. However, our short-term outlook remains unchanged, and we expect a modest slowdown to resume in 2017, probably by mid-year. We do not expect a sudden meltdown; our LEI for China suggests that the current growth momentum in industrial production should continue at least into spring. Nevertheless, with diminishing growth support from monetary policy and the housing market, growth headwinds are gathering.

Probable turbulence in US-China trade relations requires planning attention, with full consideration for downside scenarios. Some of the more extreme measures articulated by the Trump team, while not anticipated, could provoke shocks to the Chinese economy and accelerate slowing.

Support Our Work

Support our nonpartisan, nonprofit research and insights which help leaders address societal challenges.

Donate

OTHER RELATED CONTENT

RESEARCH & INSIGHTS

WEBCASTS

CONFERENCES & EVENTS

COUNCILS

BLOGS

PRESS RELEASES & IN THE NEWS