Bart van Ark

Bart van Ark
Chief Economist
The Conference Board

February 2017

Our base scenario for the US economy sees a modest upside from stronger business confidence and possibly some tax relief later this year. Europe and Japan are also experiencing somewhat stronger internal growth dynamics. In contrast, various uncertainties are weighing on emerging markets’ growth prospects, especially in India, Mexico, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia. Globally, 2017 growth is projected at about 2.9 percent—a notch up from earlier projections. For the medium term, there are no signs as yet that policy changes will raise the trend, and possible disruptive forces from trade and immigration policies create substantial downside risk around the medium-term growth outlook.

Explore our full portfolio on Global Economic Outlook 2017.


StraightTalk is a quarterly publication from the Chief Economist of The Conference Board. It provides economic research, objective analysis, and forecasts to help new economy business executives assess economic conditions impacting their markets.



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