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Bart van Ark

Bart van Ark
Chief Economist
The Conference Board

July 2018

Among business leaders around the world, trade policy risk has overtaken economic and individual-country risks as the biggest concern. Potential trade disruptions may create uncertainty, causing firms to hold back on investment and hiring. If trade restrictions spiral out of control, they will create significant downside effects. The bigger risk for the medium term is that tit-for-tat increases in trade barriers will create permanent inefficiencies for global supply chains.


StraightTalk is a quarterly publication from the Chief Economist of The Conference Board. It provides economic research, objective analysis, and forecasts to help new economy business executives assess economic conditions impacting their markets.



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