Global Leading Indicators

For Release 9:30 AM ET, March 13, 2026

Using the Composite Indexes: The Leading Economic Index (LEI) provides an early indication of significant turning points in the business cycle and where the economy is heading in the near term. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) provides an indication of the current state of the economy. Additional details are below.

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index^® (LEI) for Germany increased by 0.5% in January 2026 to 89.1 (2016=100), following a 0.6% increase in December. Overall, from July 2025 to January 2026, the LEI for Germany rose by 1.5%, accelerating from 0.8% growth over the previous six-month period, between January and July 2025.

The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index^® (CEI) for Germany decreased by 0.2% in January 2026 to 103.3 (2016=100), following no change in December. Over the six-month period between July 2025 and January 2026, the CEI for Germany declined by 0.3%, a reversal from a 0.2% increase over the previous six-month period.

The next release is scheduled for Friday, April 10, 2026, at 9:30 A.M. ET.

The Germany LEI increased in January…

…as a result of gains among its all components 

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Germany

The composite economic indexes are key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. Comprised of multiple independent indicators, the indexes are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning points in the economy in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component.

The CEI reflects current economic conditions and is highly correlated with real GDP. The LEI is a predictive tool that anticipates—or “leads”—turning points in the business cycle by around seven months.

The seven components of Leading Economic Index® for Germany are:

• New Orders for Investment Goods
• Yield Spread, 10-Year Minus 3-Month Time Deposits Rate
• Consumer Confidence Index
• Inventory Change
• New Residential Construction Orders
• Stock Price Index
• Gross Enterprises and Properties Income

The four components of the Coincident Economic Index® for Germany are:

• Industrial Production
• Employed Persons
• Retail Trade
• Manufacturing Sales

To access data, please visit: https://data-central.conference-board.org

About The Conference Board

The Conference Board is the member-driven think tank that delivers Trusted Insights for What’s Ahead^®. Founded in 1916, we are a non-partisan, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. TCB.org