The Conference Board
Total Economy Database

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2013 Productivity Brief - Executive Summary 

The global slowdown in economic growth has an immediate impact on the world’s productivity performance, as lower investment and less innovation make workers less productive. Global output-per-worker growth has dropped off to 1.8 percent in 2012, which except for the 2008/09 recession was seen last in 2001/2002. What makes this year’s release so unique is that poor productivity performance is so widespread that there are very few countries or regions that showed any productivity improvement. Among mature economies, the United States, the Euro Area, and Japan have seen labor productivity growth virtually stalling, as uncertainties prevented businesses from investing more rapidly to bring new products and services to market.  Major emerging economies, including China, India, Brazil and Mexico have also experienced slowing productivity growth. Even more so, when taking account of the moderate growth in investment, the remaining so-called total factor productivity growth— a more precise measure of efficiency—seems to have ground to a halt in emerging markets as well.

We project global labor productivity growth to remain fairly sluggish at 1.9 percent in 2013. This weak productivity performance means that global GDP growth, currently forecasted around 3.2 percent for 2013 (compared to 3.1 percent in 2012) creates little upside for GDP growth even if labor markets recover more strongly than predicted because the employment gains are likely to be offset by slowing labor productivity growth.

What is TED

The Conference Board Total Economy Database, (TED) is a comprehensive database with annual data covering GDP, population, employment, hours, labor quality, capital services, labor productivity, and total factor productivity for about 123 countries in the world.TED was developed by the Groningen Growth and Development Centre (University of Groningen, The Netherlands) in the early 1990s, and starting in the late 1990s, it was produced in partnership with The Conference Board. As of 2007, the database was transferred from the University of Groningen to The Conference Board, which has maintained and extended the database since then. In January 2010, the database was extended with a module on sources of growth, including labor quantity and quality, capital services (non-ICT and ICT), and total factor productivity. The extended module aims to integrate two previous data sets: the world economy productivity data set created by Dale Jorgenson and Khuong Vu of Harvard University and the Total Economy Growth Accounting Database of the Groningen Growth and Development Centre.


Coverage

The Conference Board Total Economy Database, which includes data for 123 countries from 1950 onwards, consists of the following series:

These countries represent about 97 percent of the world population and, as smaller and poorer countries in particular are not yet included in the database, the sample represents an even larger share of the world GDP (99 percent).


Frequency

The Conference Board Total Economy Database, is published every year in January, providing preliminary estimates for the previous year and projections for the current year. The main results are published in The 2013 Productivity Brief. The series in the database are also used by the International Labor Office for their Key Indicators of the Labor Market (Chapter 17), and by the Department of Commerce in the Statistical Abstract of the United States.


Contact

Eliza Winger
Associate Economist
Economics Department
E-Mail: eliza.winger@conference-board.org

 

Downloadable Files

All downloadable files, including all data series in the Total Economy Database (“TED”) are protected by United States and international copyright laws and The Conference Board, Inc. reserves all rights afforded to it under the law. All series must be cited as: “The Conference Board Total Economy Database, January 2013, http://www.conference-board.org/data/economydatabase/” These data are made available for personal, non-commercial analysis purposes only, and not for reproduction, redistribution, resale, publication, databasing, public posting, creation of derivative works, or any other use without the express written permission of The Conference Board, Inc.

2013 Productivity Brief

Slowdown in Productivity Felt Across the Globe in 2012, Little Improvement Projected for 2013

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