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This monthly webcast provides the latest insights from TCB’s Economics Team for the U.S. economy, including the short –term growth forecasts for consumption, investment, labor markets and the aggregate GDP growth.

As a special topic, this Economics Watch discusses U.S. monetary policy and financial markets. For the past five years the Federal Reserve engaged in aggressive quantitative easing, whereby it has massively increased the size of its balance sheet by buying long-term bond assets in the open market.  The Federal Reserve decided to embark upon this unconventional monetary policy since the U.S. economy continued to perform at unsatisfactorily low levels that has left the unemployment rate at an uncomfortably high level and it is unable to lower short-term interest rates since they are already at zero percent.  However, the Fed expects economy to gradually strengthen and decided to slowly taper its quantitative easing operations in January by reducing its monthly purchases of bonds from $85 billion to $75 billion. The Fed will eventually even start to raise short-term interest rates, but not likely to begin until 2015 at the earliest.  Many questions surround the efficacy of the Fed’s exit strategy and the impact on the financial markets and the supply of credit to the economy.  We will explore the many challenges and possible impact of the Fed’s eventual tightening of monetary policy.


Bart van Ark

Bart van Ark
Executive Vice President & Global Chief Economist; Program Director, CFO: Fortune 250 Council
The Conference Board

Bart van Ark is executive vice president and global chief economist of The Conference Board, a global business research think tank headquartered in New York...Full Bio

Kathy Bostjancic

Kathy Bostjancic
Director, U.S. Macro Investor Services
Oxford Economics

Kathy has extensive experience providing insightful global economic and financial market analysis and forecasts to institutional and retail investors and Fortune 500 business leaders and professionals. She has a deep understanding of U.S. monetary and fiscal policy and its impact on the economy a...Full Bio

Ward McCarthy

Ward McCarthy
Managing Director and Chief Financial Economist
Jefferies & Company, Inc.

Dr. F. Ward McCarthy joined Jefferies and Company as a managing director and the chief financial economist in the fixed income division in September, 2009.  Ward is responsible for the Jefferies U.S. economic, Federal Reserve, Treasury and fiscal outlook and analysis, and writes daily commen...Full Bio

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