CED has long viewed US fiscal health as crucial to economic growth and business operations. Our national debt continues to grow unchecked, now exceeding $36 trillion. The cost of servicing this debt, now more than the US spends on defense, cripples our ability to adapt government spending to current needs. A national debt-to-GDP ratio of 100%, estimated to reach 180% by 2050, is already unsustainable and will inevitably crush any future ambitions we hold for our nation’s potential.
CED believes it is essential for US economic growth and national security that the Administration and Congress take measures to halt and eventually reverse the growth of the national debt to a more sustainable 70% of GDP. This can only be achieved through policies that promote productivity and through difficult choices in budgeting, including tax reforms and expense reductions. Additionally, the principal Social Security Trust Fund will become depleted in a decade without action and Medicare faces the reality of needed modernization.
To support lawmakers and the public in facing these challenges, CED serves as a resource for the business perspective on these important fiscal policy issues. CED regularly releases Solutions Briefs, Explainers, Policy Backgrounders and Alerts, and other reports and toolkits that provide important context and recommendations to address our nation’s fiscal health challenges. A comprehensive overview of CED’s fiscal health resources can be found here.
The Debt Reduction Toolkit permits users to generate different scenarios to achieve a 70 percent ratio of debt to GDP by adjusting the tax rate and outlay costs. The toolkit accompanies CED's Solutions Brief entitled Debt Matters: A Road Map for Reducing the Outsized US Debt Burden, published on February 9, 2023, which recommended a shift to a 70 percent ratio as a recognized stable level for advanced economies that is roughly in between the current ratio and the ratio before the 2008 financial crisis.
NEW (August 2024 Update): The toolkit incorporates the Congressional Budget Office’s latest budget projections from June 2024.
This Solutions Brief provides recommendations for Congress to rebuild a predictable and fair annual budget process.
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Congress must urgently consider reforms to the budget process to restore confidence in US fiscal policy and address the unsustainable national debt.
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What are the most pressing policy challenges facing the nation in 2025?
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Without action, Social Security's Trust Fund will be depleted by 2033, resulting in automatic 23% benefit cuts.
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Debt matters, and these much-needed solutions can restore the US debt-to-GDP ratio to a sustainable 70 percent.
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Infographic of three public policy recommendations for US in 2023
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Infographic: free and secure trade, resilient supply chains
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Almost two years after the COVID-19 pandemic plunged the United States and the world into economic and social disruption, the nation is recovering.
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This Solutions Brief puts the budget reconciliation process into the context of the nation’s serious ongoing budget problem, and concludes that significant revision…
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The COVID-19 pandemic decimated international public health, but it also ravaged the global economy and labor markets.
LEARN MOREAccess more information on this policy issue.
May 19, 2025
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April 16, 2025
April 03, 2025
March 27, 2025
CED experts and Trustees speak on this policy issue.
PRESS RELEASE
Report: Fix Federal Budget Process...or Expect More Debt & Less Confidence …
February 25, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
CED Maps Out 2025 Policy Plan for New President and Congress
January 23, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
CED Issues Statement on January 2025 Congressional Budget Office Outlook
January 21, 2025
COMMENTARY AND LETTERS
The Biggest Problem Trump and Harris Aren’t Talking About
October 15, 2024
COMMENTARY AND LETTERS
Letter to Presidential Candidates Regarding US Fiscal Health
October 04, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
CED Calls on Presidential Campaigns to Address the Nation’s Fiscal Crisis
October 04, 2024