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Global Economic Outlook 2019: Emerging Markets—Slower and Riskier, but Still Ahead of the Pack


November 2018 | Publication

Growth rates in most emerging Asian economies are likely to be more muted over the next ten years. The catch-up potential achieved by many of the region’s players has been sizable in recent decades, but what remains will take longer to realize. Nevertheless, economic growth in emerging Asia will still look robust compared to other parts of the world. However, the region will also face risks: trade policy volatility, monetary policy tightening in the United States, high local debt burdens, rising energy prices, and declining local currency valuations will all have an impact.


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Erik Lundh

Principal Economist
The Conference Board

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Abdul Erumban

Senior Research Fellow
The Conference Board
Assistant Professor, Economics
University of Groningen

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Yuan Gao

Senior Economist, China Center for Economics and Business
The Conference Board


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