February’s Employment Report showed a 151,000 payroll gain but rising layoffs pushed the unemployment rate up to 4.1%. The labor market remained resilient through early February but faces mounting headwinds in the coming months. While the report showed some disruption from federal layoffs, March is expected to show deeper impacts.
Trusted Insights for What’s Ahead®™:
Figure 1. Slowing payroll growth concentrated in sectors
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The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.
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This index identifies the risk of future labor shortages for specific occupations.
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Our goal is to help members see beyond the political dynamic to inform a medium-term view that supports your strategic planning at this difficult juncture.
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Note: Due to the US federal government shutdown, all further releases for The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI), The Conference Board-Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® Index (HWOL Index), The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® of the US (US LEI) and The Conference Board Global Leading Economic Index® (Global LEI) data may be delayed. TCB will resume publication once updated US federal government data are released.
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Spain Held Steady in October
December 08, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
Online Labor Demand Decreased in September
December 08, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
US Consumer Confidence Fell Sharply in November
November 25, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for China Declined in October
November 24, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) Ticked Up in September
November 24, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Mexico Decreased in October
November 19, 2025
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