Consumer spending ended 2024 on a strong note, while inflation picked up, confirming our expectation that the Fed will remain firmly on hold in coming months.
Trusted Insights for What’s Ahead®
Figure 1. Spending Remains Elevated Relative to Trend

Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis and The Conference Board.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis revealed that to
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Q2 GDP and June Inflation Support September Fed Hold
July 30, 2026
June CPI Closes the Door for July Rate Hike
July 14, 2026
May Spending Rebounds, but Inflation Takes Its Toll
June 25, 2026
FOMC Decision: There’s a Task Force for That
June 17, 2026
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Preliminary PMI indices show no change in weak DM growth momentum in November
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How Might the World Fall Back into Recession?
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Passing increases downstream, cutting costs, and absorbing price increases into profit margins are the chief ways to manage rising input costs. Few see changing
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US continues to lead global productivity race
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The Global Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion
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The global supply chain disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in production delays, shortages, and a spike in inflation in world.
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PRESS RELEASE
CEO Confidence Increased in Q3 2026
August 06, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for South Korea Increased Again in June
August 06, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
The Global LEI Fell Slightly Both in May and in the Advanced Estimate for June
July 30, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
US Consumer Confidence Edged Down in July
July 28, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for China Ticked Up in June
July 23, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for India Remained Unchanged in June
July 22, 2026
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
This report identifies trends to help businesses prepare for an environment with more challenges for labor and capital but improvements in productivity growth.
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Q2 GDP and June Inflation Support September Fed Hold
July 30, 2026 | Brief
FOMC Decision: Hawkish Rhetoric, No Action: September Hike Odds Decline
July 29, 2026 | Brief
July FOMC Preview: Patience Meets Division: The Warsh Fed Faces Its First Test
July 28, 2026 | Brief
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy
July 16, 2026 | Report
June Retail Sales Boosted by Early Prime Day and World Cup
July 16, 2026 | Brief

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