Real GDP headline growth of 2.3 percent quarter-over-quarter annualized masked a stronger underlying pace of growth in the economy at the end of 2024.
Final sales to domestic purchasers (GDP excluding trade and inventories) grew at a more robust 3.1 percent pace. While consumer performance remained extremely solid throughout 2024, an atypical double-digit surge in durable goods consumption in Q4 hints at consumers stockpiling behavior ahead of anticipated tariff-driven price increases. Such strength may borrow growth from the future quarters.
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FOMC Decision: There’s a Task Force for That
June 17, 2026
Falling Income Portends Weak Q2 Spending
May 28, 2026
Charts
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Preliminary PMI indices show no change in weak DM growth momentum in November
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How Might the World Fall Back into Recession?
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Passing increases downstream, cutting costs, and absorbing price increases into profit margins are the chief ways to manage rising input costs. Few see changing
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US continues to lead global productivity race
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The Global Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion
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The global supply chain disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in production delays, shortages, and a spike in inflation in world.
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The Conference Board recently released its updated 2022 Global Economic Outlook.
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June 10, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Mexico Declined in May
June 24, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for India Increased in May
June 23, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Australia Rose in April
June 19, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Rose for the Secon
June 18, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
The LEI for France Improved in April
June 17, 2026
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Euro Area Fell in May
June 16, 2026
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
This report identifies trends to help businesses prepare for an environment with more challenges for labor and capital but improvements in productivity growth.
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