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Timely insights from the Economy, Strategy & Finance Center
By leaving the policy rate unchanged and Chair Powell explicitly mentioning the Fed is waiting to see the details of new policies, the FOMC signaled readiness to remain patient to assess the impact of changes in the policy landscape on the economic outlook. The latest Fed communication reaffirms our expectations that the central bank will stay on hold throughout H1 2025.
Figure 1. Fed leaves rates unchanged in January 2025
Sources: Federal Reserve Board and The Conference Board projections (light blue line) and approximations for Fed policy path (red line).
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PRESS RELEASE
US Consumer Confidence Declines Again in September
September 30, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Global Economy Continued to Decline in July and August
September 29, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for China Declined Again in August
September 25, 2025
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for India Ticked Up in August
September 23, 2025
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LEI for the Euro Area Declined in August
September 19, 2025
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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Declines in August
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All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Global growth is expected to slow over the next decade relative to the prior ten years.
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September 26, 2025 | Brief
Economy Watch: European View (September 2025)
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Rising Labor Market Risks Unite the Fed to Deliver 25bps Cut
September 17, 2025 | Brief
Fed to Cut 25bps to Preserve Delicate Economic Balance
September 16, 2025 | Brief
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy
September 12, 2025 | Article
Economy Watch: US View (September 2025)
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The Economic Outlook—Storms or Sunshine Ahead?
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