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Economics Program Working Paper Series

  1. Global Growth Projections for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2018

    13 November, 2017 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    This paper presents the methodology for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2018 which includes growth projections for 11 major regions and individual estimates for 33 mature and 36 emerging market economies for 2018–2022, and 2023–2027.

  2. Signposts of Innovation: A Review of Innovation Metrics

    03 May, 2017 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    This working paper gives an overview of approaches to innovation measurement and dives more deeply into the metrics which can help businesses to track, monitor, and assess innovation performance. The Signposts of Innovation framework includes technology, digitization, environmental and social sustainability, customer experience and branding, internal innovation networks, and external innovation ecosystems.

  3. Global Growth Projections for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2017

    16 November, 2016 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    This paper presents the methodology for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2017, including projections for 11 major regions and individual estimates for 33 mature and 32 emerging market economies for 2017, 2017–2022, and 2022–2026.

  4. ICT Asset Prices: Marshaling Evidence into New Measures

    11 July, 2016 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    This paper provides the sources and methods used to construct national accounts-style price deflators for the major components of ICT investment: communications equipment, computer equipment, and software.

  5. ICT Prices and ICT Services: What do they tell us about productivity and technology?

    11 July, 2016 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    This paper reassesses the link between ICT prices, technology, and productivity. The currently available information on ICT asset prices and ICT services is put under a microscope, and official prices are found to substantially understate actual ICT price declines.

  6. International Labor Cost Projections

    30 January, 2016 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    Differences in labor cost growth signal changes to an economy’s international competitiveness as well as its workers’ comparative standard of living, yet there is a scarcity of adequate models that project labor costs across countries. In this paper we compare US projections to other advanced economies in Europe and Asia-Pacific.

  7. Wage-Productivity Growth Gap: An Analysis of Industry Data

    30 January, 2016 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    The widening gap between labor productivity growth and real wage growth in the United States has attracted much attention in recent years. This paper provides an industrial and cross-country comparative perspective, which has been lacking so far in the literature.

  8. International Comparisons of Manufacturing Unit Labor Costs: Sources, Trends, and New Directions

    30 January, 2016 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    Unit labor cost (ULC), defined as labor compensation per unit of output, is a widely used measure of international cost competitiveness. ULC trends, however, differ widely across countries and, traditionally, have been explained in terms of underlying movements in productivity, compensation, and exchange rates. This paper makes a first attempt to adjust unit labor cost measures for product quality differences in export baskets between countries, using unit values of exported products.

  9. Global Growth Projections for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2016

    09 November, 2015 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    This paper presents the methodology for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2016, including projections for 11 major regions and individual estimates for 33 mature and 32 emerging market economies for 2016, 2016-2020, and 2021-2025.

  10. Public Intangibles: The Public Sector and Economic Growth in the SNA

    15 July, 2015 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    A framework for the analysis of public investments, tangible and intangible, for the economic analysis of impacts of public policies influencing economic growth.

  11. Identification and Monitoring of Business Cycles in the Economies in the Gulf Cooperation Council Region

    15 June, 2015 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    Using The Conference Board indicator approach, this paper develops a scoreboard of indicators that should allow economists and analysts to improve their insights on the timing and speed of changes in the economic and business cycle conditions in the Gulf Cooperation Council region.

  12. Communication Networks, ICT and Productivity Growth in Europe

    01 December, 2014 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    What are the channels through which communication networks affect productivity growth?

  13. Global Growth Projections for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2015

    12 November, 2014 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    This paper presents the methodology for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2015, including projections for 11 major regions.

  14. Knowledge Spillovers, ICT and Productivity Growth

    13 June, 2014 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, and Cecilia Jona-Lasinio

    May 2014 - EPWP #14 – 02

    What are the channels through which intangible assets affect productivity?

  15. China's Growth and Productivity Performance Debate Revisited - Accounting for China’s Sources of Growth with a New Data Set

    05 February, 2014 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Harry X. Wu January 2014 - EPWP #14 – 01

    There are several problems with official Chinese economic data that are often overlooked, including structural breaks in employment statistics and implausibly high labor productivity figures related to “nonmaterial” services.

  16. Brands as Productive Assets: Concepts, Measurement, and Global Trends

    15 November, 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    This paper finds that conventional measures misrepresent brand spending trends in the United States because those metrics do not take into account increased spending on social media and strategic marketing.

  17. Tracking Business Cycles in Brazil with Composite Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators

    20 August, 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Aloisio Campelo Jr., Jing Sima-Friedman, Sarah Lima, Ataman Ozyildirim, Paulo Picchetti

    August 2013 - EPWP #13 – 06

  18. Modeling Trends, Cyclical Movements and Turning Points of the Chinese Economy

    20 June, 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ataman Ozyildirim and Harry Wu

    June 2013 - EPWP #13 – 02

  19. Forecasting Chinese Households’ Demand from Home Production

    12 June, 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Yabin Wang
    June 2013 - EPWP #13 – 01

  20. Recent Changes in Europe’s Competitive Landscape and Medium-Term Perspectives: How the Sources of Demand and Supply Are Shaping Up

    06 May, 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Vivian Chen, Bert Colijn, Kirsten Jaeger, Wim Overmeer, and Marcel Timmer
    March 2013 - EPWP #13 – 05

  21. Intangible Capital and Growth in Advanced Economies: Measurement Methods and Comparative Results

    13 December, 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, Cecilia Jona-Lasinio and Massimiliano Iommi
    December 2012 - EPWP #12 – 03

  22. Innovation Accounting

    13 December, 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado and Charles Hulten
    December 2012 - EPWP #12 – 04

  23. Projecting Global Growth

    13 November, 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, Ataman Ozyildirim and Bart van Ark
    November 2012 - EPWP #12 – 02

  24. Total Factor Productivity among Cities in China: Estimation and Explanation

    01 June, 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Yan Xu and Shu Yu
    June 2012 - EPWP #12 – 01

  25. Constructing a Data Set on Labour Composition Change

    20 December, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Boele Bonthuis
    December 2011 - EPWP #11 – 04

  26. Using the Leading Credit IndexTM to Predict Turning Points in the U.S. Business Cycle

    20 December, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Gad Levanon, Jean-Claude Manini, Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin, and Jennelyn Tanchua
    December 2011 - EPWP #11 – 05

  27. Comprehensive Benchmark Revisions for The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for the United States

    20 December, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Gad Levanon, Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin, and Justyna Zabinska
    December 2011 - EPWP #11 – 06

  28. Projecting Economic Growth with Growth Accounting Techniques: The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2012 Sources and Methods

    15 November, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, and Bart van Ark
    November 2011 - EPWP #11 – 07

  29. Constructing a Price Deflator for R&D: Calculating the Price of Knowledge Investments as a Residual

    28 October, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Peter Goodridge, and Jonathan Haskel
    October 2011 - EPWP #11 – 03

  30. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Policy and Development of ICT—The Impact of Public and Regulatory Policy on ICT Sector Performance

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Raul L. Katz, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #1

  31. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Mobile Communication and Social Capital in Korea and the U.S.— How Usage Patterns Predict Social, C

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Scott W. Campbell, Nojin Kwak and Richard Ling, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #2

  32. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Who Captures the Benefits of ICT? The Case of Digital Books

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Janet Hao and Randall Weiss, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #3

  33. Towards Comprehensive Measurement of ICT’s Impact: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Health Care

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robbin te Velde, Jesse Bos, and Reg Brennenraedts, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #4

  34. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Impact of ICT on the Geographic Distribution of Employment

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vlad Manole and Randall Weiss, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #5

  35. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Global Broadband Bonus: Broadband Internet’s Impact on Seven Countries

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Shane Greenstein and Ryan McDevitt, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #6

  36. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Long Tail of Digital Exclusion — A Comparison Between the UK and Chile

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ellen J. Helsper and Sergio Godoy-Etcheverry, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #7

  37. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Public Sector Performance

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robbin te Velde, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #8

  38. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Education

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Cor-Jan Jager, Jesse Bos, and Robbin te Velde, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #9

  39. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Towards Comprehensive Measurement of ICT’s Impact: Paying Attention to Society and Culture

    12 July, 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Katherine Schinasi and Ivy Schultz, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #10

  40. India’s Demographic Transition: Boon or Bane? A State-Level Perspective

    30 September, 2010 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Utsav Kumar
    September 2010 - EPWP #10 – 03

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StraightTalk® Global Economic Outlook 2018: Will Trade Barriers Derail the Global Economy?

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