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China Center Data Flash: July data suggest softening growth momentum
  • Authors:

    Yuan Gao

  • Publication Date:
    September 2017

Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release.

  • Following the surprisingly upbeat data from June, growth moderated in July across almost all monthly indicators, including industrial production (IP), fixed asset investment (FAI), retail sales, and exports/imports.
  • Credit growth, however, picked up strongly in July, although money supply (M2) growth continued to moderate. This may reflect a new policy stance by the monetary authorities that could be called “monetary tightening plus credit easing.” Such a stance requires striking a number of difficult balance points, specifically: tamping down speculative money flows while keeping corporate borrowing growing.
  • As anticipated, the housing sales rebound in June did not last. Housing sales growth and real estate investment growth both declined in July.
  • Export growth slowed in July, with a notable drop in export growth to the US. 

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