China Center Quick Note: Beijing’s Pyrrhic Victory Over the Equity Rout
The Conference Board uses cookies to improve our website, enhance your experience, and deliver relevant messages and offers about our products. Detailed information on the use of cookies on this site is provided in our cookie policy. For more information on how The Conference Board collects and uses personal data, please visit our privacy policy. By continuing to use this Site or by clicking "OK", you consent to the use of cookies. 

China Center Quick Note: Beijing’s Pyrrhic Victory Over the Equity Rout

Turbulence in China’s equity market looks to be here to stay, at least for the time being, with the Shanghai Composite off a whopping -8.5 percent on Monday, July 27. This contraction not only represents the largest drop since February 2007, but it is even bigger than the -7.4 percent drop that occurred on June 26, triggering the initial spate of heavy-handed regulatory intervention. While the ultimate outcome of this episode remains to be seen, we draw some interim conclusions regarding the outlook for China’s financial markets, the real economy, the MNC business environment, and the broader reform agenda.

Overall, the credibility of both China’s markets and regulators has been badly damaged. And while the economy is by no means going into free fall, sentiment among both consumers and producers is clearly souring. Finally, recent market movement suggests that more regulatory intervention is imminent and that government support will necessarily be long-lasting. As we explain in this Quick Note:

“For at least the time being, China’s equity market is no longer a market.”


OTHER RELATED CONTENT

RESEARCH & INSIGHTS

WEBCASTS

Economy Watch

Economy Watch

September 11, 2024

Window On

Window On

September 25, 2024

Economy Watch

Economy Watch

October 09, 2024

hubCircleImage