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  •   0.0% Australia LEI
  •  - 0.9% Brazil LEI
  •  - 0.5% China LEI
  •  - 3.6pts Consumer Confidence
  •  - 0.76% Employment Trends
  •  - 0.3% Euro Area LEI
  •  + 0.2% France LEI
  •  - 0.1% Germany LEI
  •  - 0.4% Global LEI
  •  + 1.0% HWOL
  •  + 0.1% India LEI
  •  - 0.7% Japan LEI
  •  + 0.1% Mexico LEI
  •  + 0.7% South Korea LEI
  •  + 0.3% Spain LEI
  •  - 0.1% UK LEI
  •  - 0.5% U.S. LEI
  •  + 15.0pts U.S. CEO Confidence
    • Economic Data

    Global Economic Outlook

    updated 10 September 2025

    More Insights For What's Ahead In The Global Economy

    • Data: Forecasts and long-term projections available through Data Central.
    • Global:  Global Forecast Update (monthly); Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039 (annual, 12 November 2024); StraightTalk® (quarterly publication on the global economy). 
    • United States:  Economic Forecast for the US Economy (monthly);  Economy Watch: US View reports and webcasts (monthly).
    • Europe:  Economic Forecast for the European Economy (monthly);  Economy Watch: European View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039: Euro Area Edition (annual, 13 December 2024).
    • China:  Economy Watch: China View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039: China Edition (annual, 10 December 2024).
    • Emerging Markets:  Economy Watch: Emerging Markets View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039 (annual, 12 November 2024).

     

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    Podcast

    The State of the Economy for September 2025
    C-Suite Perspectives
    The State of the Economy for September 2025

    September 30, 2025

    Database

    Recession & Growth Trackers
    Recession & Growth Trackers

    September 29, 2025

    Report

    Global LEI Report
    Global LEI Report

    September 29, 2025

    Brief

    Rising Inflation Still Leaves Room for Fed Rate Cuts
    Rising Inflation Still Leaves Room for Fed Rate Cuts

    September 26, 2025

    Podcast

    Is Stagflation a Looming Risk?
    C-Suite Perspectives
    Is Stagflation a Looming Risk?

    September 25, 2025

    Brief

    Rising Labor Market Risks Unite the Fed to Deliver 25bps Cut
    Rising Labor Market Risks Unite the Fed to Deliver 25bps Cut

    September 17, 2025

    Brief

    Fed to Cut 25bps to Preserve Delicate Economic Balance
    Fed to Cut 25bps to Preserve Delicate Economic Balance

    September 16, 2025

    Brief

    August Retail Sales Reflect Consumer Resilience—for Now
    August Retail Sales Reflect Consumer Resilience—for Now

    September 16, 2025

    Article

    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy
    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy

    September 12, 2025
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    Experts / Authors

    authorImage

    Dana M. Peterson

    Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance Center

    Read Bio

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    Erik Lundh

    Senior Economist, Global

    Read Bio

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    Fiona Liu

    Economist

    Read Bio

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    Press Releases / In the News

    PRESS RELEASE

    US Consumer Confidence Declines Again in September

    September 30, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for the Global Economy Continued to Decline in July and August

    September 29, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for China Declined Again in August

    September 25, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for India Ticked Up in August

    September 23, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for the Euro Area Declined in August

    September 19, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Declines in August

    September 18, 2025

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    Economic Indicator Calendar

    All release times displayed are Eastern Time


    Note: Due to the US federal government shutdown, all further releases for The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI), The Conference Board?Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® Index (HWOL Index), The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® of the US (US LEI) and The Conference Board Global Leading Economic Index® (Global LEI) data may be delayed. TCB will resume publication once updated US federal government data are released.


    Charts

    Global Gray Swans Tool

    The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.

    LEARN MORE Yellow and white frame illustration

    Global Economic Outlook 2024 to 2036

    Global growth is expected to slow over the next decade relative to the prior ten years.

    LEARN MORE Yellow and white frame illustration

    Upcoming Events

    Connect and be informed about this topic through webcasts, virtual events and conferences

    Webcast

    US Tariffs: What’s Changed, What’s Next

    October 15, 2025 11:00 AM ET (New York)

    Expert Briefing

    Inflation's Impact on the Global Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    European Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    The Energy Landscape and the Global Economy
    Expert Briefing

    The 10-year Global Economic Outlook
    Webcast

    US Tariffs: What’s Changed, What’s Next

    October 15, 2025 11:00 AM ET (New York)

    Expert Briefing

    Inflation's Impact on the Global Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    European Economic Outlook

    Explore More on this Topic

    Publications

    Rising Inflation Still Leaves Room for Fed Rate Cuts

    Rising Inflation Still Leaves Room for Fed Rate Cuts

    September 26, 2025 | Brief

    Economy Watch: European View (September 2025)

    Economy Watch: European View (September 2025)

    September 17, 2025 | Article

    Rising Labor Market Risks Unite the Fed to Deliver 25bps Cut

    Rising Labor Market Risks Unite the Fed to Deliver 25bps Cut

    September 17, 2025 | Brief

    Fed to Cut 25bps to Preserve Delicate Economic Balance

    Fed to Cut 25bps to Preserve Delicate Economic Balance

    September 16, 2025 | Brief

    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy

    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy

    September 12, 2025 | Article

    Economy Watch: US View (September 2025)

    Economy Watch: US View (September 2025)

    September 12, 2025 | Article

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    On Demand Webcasts, Podcasts and Videos

    The Economic Outlook—Storms or Sunshine Ahead?

    September 10, 2025

    Economy Watch: US Public Policy and the Economy

    April 09, 2025

    US Economic Volatility in 2025

    February 12, 2025

    The Long-term Economic Outlook for the US, Europe, and China

    December 11, 2024

    The 2025 Global Economic Outlook

    November 13, 2024

    The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe

    July 10, 2024

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