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Leading Through Uncertainty Blogs

Makes decisive decisions and implements business strategies despite uncertainty. Leads through change, acting without perfect information, adjusting as needed to changing conditions.


  1. Risk of a UK Recession is Growing
    Continued uncertainty over the outcome of Brexit negotiations is not helping. Unemployment in the UK now stands at its lowest level in four decades. Gross domestic product growth at the start of the third quarter of 2018 also shows an economy in decent shape, having grown faster than in the prior two quarters.
    (Global Economy Center Blog, September 2018)

  2. Recession Signals from the UK Leading Economic Index
    Is a recession on the horizon in the UK? The short answer to this question is: yes. The probability of a recession in the near term has risen substantially. The UK business cycle is maturing and the lack of certainty around Brexit makes it difficult for consumers and businesses to make plans about the future. These are the ingredients that recessions are made of. The long answer requires an in-depth (and wonkish) analysis of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the UK.
    (Global Economy Center Blog, July 2018)

  3. Op-Ed: We May be Missing the Productivity Revival in the Global Economy
    Policymakers returned home from last month’s spring meetings of the World Bank and IMF with a clear message. The current short-term outlook provides no guarantee for sustained economic growth in the medium-term. Not surprisingly the word “productivity” therefore appears many times in this edition of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook. Productivity growth will be one of the most effective ways to prevent the recent upswing in global growth from slowing down prematurely.
    (Global Economy Center Blog, May 2018)

  4. Tariffs or no tariffs, the pickup in global trade won’t last
    Slow trade growth will be the dominant feature of the world economy in the coming decade, not because of the latest tariff dispute between the US and China, but because of three longer-term trends, argue Ilaria Maselli and Ataman Ozyildirim.
    (Global Economy Center Blog, April 2018)

  5. Emerging Markets In 2018: Six Signs To Watch
    Following a largely successful 2017, emerging markets could very well continue making strong economic progress in 2018. This year, it’s evident the growth of many developing economies will hinge on six main factors.
    (Global Economy Center Blog, January 2018)


  1. CEOs Must Do These 3 Things To Turbocharge Innovation
    Across the globe, one business challenge has the ear of CEOs like few others: innovation. Six in 10 surveyed executives think the chance to avoid falling behind their competitors has passed. Much of the anxiety from today’s business environment ties back to their commitment – or lack thereof – to innovation.
    (Global Economy Center Blog, November 2017)

  2. 10 Takeaways from the 2017 Lisboa Web Summit
    Earlier this month, I had the privilege of attending the renowned Web Summit in Lisboa. While this four-day festival of ideas produced an endless stream of takeaways, here are my top ten...
    (Global Economy Center Blog, November 2017)

  3. What’s in Store for Emerging Markets?
    Looking ahead, the outlook for emerging markets during the second half remains solid. However, whether growth can accelerate much beyond the first half is probably a long shot.
    (Global Economy Center Blog, August 2017)

  4. We can turbocharge our technology industry with immigration reform
    Today, “tech week” begins at the White House. The five-day confab will reportedly see the likes of technology experts and big-name CEOs like Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, Oracle’s Safra Catz, and Apple’s Tim Cook. They plan on covering a host of topics, including the elephant in the room: our fundamentally flawed immigration system. Left unaddressed, the issue poses a growing threat to several sectors including tech. For a course correction, it would behoove summit participants to consider a policy
    (Global Economy Center Blog, June 2017)

  5. Why Mexico’s Economy Is Putting On The Breaks

    (Global Economy Center Blog, June 2017)