Economic Indicators & Forecasting Publications

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2014

  1. Growing Value of Brands and Their Contribution to Worldwide Economic Growth

    July 2014 | Executive Action Report

    The contribution of brands is comparable to that of R&D in most advanced economies. Moreover, the wealthier a country grows, the more its companies spend on getting out their brand message.

  2. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    July 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    The growth paradox of slow GDP and strong employment.

  3. Conference Board Labor Markets in Review™: Vol. 4, 2014

    July 2014 | Periodical

    Economic expansion and the massive retirement of the baby boom generation in many mature economies are tightening labor markets—but the degree of current tightness and how rapidly the labor markets are tightening varies significantly across countries.

  4. Is This the End of Work? Information Technologies and Labor Market Disruption: A Cross-Atlantic Conversation

    July 2014 | Executive Action Report

    So far, the digital revolution has produced technology but not jobs. What is the impact of technology on employment? Leaders from Canada, Europe, and the United States tackle this question.

  5. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    July 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    As the European Central Bank takes action for more support, the European economic outlook remains weak.

  6. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    June 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging markets will likely continue their below-trend growth in the second half of 2014, despite a modest stabilization in exports

  7. China Center Data Flash: May data – the good, the bad and the ugly

    June 2014 | China Center Publications

    Sequential activity for industry and consumption clearly improved in April and May, but the investment environment remains weak overall.

  8. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    June 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy is gaining traction heading into the second half of the year.

  9. Job Satisfaction: 2014 Edition

    June 2014 | Research Report

    According to the current edition of The Conference Board Job Satisfaction survey, and for the eighth straight year, less than half of US workers are satisfied with their jobs.

  10. How Can Companies Make the Value of Intangibles More, Well, Tangible?

    June 2014 | Executive Action Report

    There is a critical need to develop better standards for measuring, reporting, benchmarking, and analyzing intangible investments.

  11. Knowledge Spillovers, ICT and Productivity Growth

    June 2014 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, and Cecilia Jona-Lasinio

    May 2014 - EPWP #14 – 02

    What are the channels through which intangible assets affect productivity?

  12. China Center Quick Note: The Opportunity in Xi’s “Re-Reform”

    June 2014 | China Center Publications

    Chinese President and Party Secretary Xi Jinping is indeed undertaking “reform” – it just doesn't involve marketization or more conformity with Western norms, at least not yet.

  13. Global Economic Growth Scenarios 2020: The Impact of Investments and Reforms across Seven Major Regions

    June 2014 | Research Report

    This report presents analysis of the global economy and seven major world economies—including four scenarios that depend on policy effects—so that leaders can make decisions that foster growth.

  14. Nobody's Perfect: Overcoming the Limitations of External Labor Data to Drive Better Business Decisions

    June 2014 | Research Report

    This report details how to skillfully combine data from a variety of sources to inform HR strategy and business decisions.

  15. China Center Commentary: China LEI showing more sluggishness ahead

    June 2014 | China Center Publications

    Risks to the downside are rising, with real estate at the top of the list of catalysts.

  16. China Center Special Briefing Paper: Re-Estimating Chinese Growth

    June 2014 | China Center Publications

    How fast has China’s economy really grown? The accuracy of any country’s GDP estimate is of critical importance to the business and policy community, both in-country and globally. [NOTE: updated version as of 20 June 2014]

  17. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    June 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    An acceleration of growth seems unlikely in Europe.

  18. China Center Chart of the Week: Economic rebalancing is going in reverse

    May 2014 | China Center Publications

    China’s internal rebalancing efforts, which sought to increase consumption’s proportion in economic demand, went into reverse in 2013 for the first time in four years.

  19. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    May 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    The US economy is bouncing back this quarter to a growth rate above its long-term potential. This result is due to the recovery from a severe winter and the release of pent up demand.

  20. Productivity and Digitalisation in Europe: Paving the Road to Faster Growth

    May 2014 | Research Report

    Productivity growth is the key to returning to a sustainable growth path in Europe, according to this policy brief, a joint publication between the Lisbon Council and The Conference Board.

  21. China Center Chart of the Week: Credit growth is a tightening noose on the property market

    May 2014 | China Center Publications

    Since the beginning of 2014, new property starts have shrunk dramatically when compared to the same point last year and are down -22 percent for the year to April.

  22. China Center Data Flash: Tight credit is suffocating real estate

    May 2014 | China Center Publications

    >China’s economy has become increasingly dependent on credit over the past several years, and China’s economic growth will not stabilize if credit growth continues to slow.

  23. China Center -- What to Watch For: Trust default edition

    May 2014 | China Center Publications

    The first four months of 2014 saw a rash of news stories detailing near-defaults in a range of Chinese financial products. Our thoughts on the issue: Get used to it.

  24. China Center Chart of the Week: Deflation or substantial real growth slowdown – take your pick

    May 2014 | China Center Publications

    In Q1 2014, China’s GDP deflator fell to 0.5 percent, the lowest level since the global financial crisis. But is China really on the cusp of a deflationary spiral?

  25. From a Buyer’s Market to a Seller’s Market: Declining Unemployment and Evolving Labor Shortages in the United States

    May 2014 | Executive Action Report

    Demographic trends and the imminent departure from the workforce of the baby boom generation point to the emergence of a “sellers’ market” when it comes to skilled talent.

  26. Conference Board CEO Challenge® 2014: Latin America Edition

    April 2014 | Research Report

    This report provides an analysis of survey results from the Latin America region, providing a unique vision that top executives share in these emerging markets.

  27. A Slow Transition: Economist Bart van Ark sees global growth picking up speed—just not as fast as anyone wants.

    April 2014 | The Conference Board Review

    In a Q&A, Bart van Ark, chief economist of The Conference Board, discusses and expands on his 2014 global economic forecast.

  28. China Center Chart of the Week: Assessing local debt risks and opportunities – regional debt and real estate dynamics

    April 2014 | China Center Publications

    We are only now beginning to see the dominoes fall when it comes to companies defaulting on various financial products, which suggests how a financial crisis may occur in China.

  29. Surprise! Chinese Consumers Are Not Americans: Savio Chan takes a close look at buying behaviors in the Far East

    April 2014 | The Conference Board Review

    In a Q&A, Savio Chan of US China Partners shares his insights on how American businesses can better connect with Chinese consumers.

  30. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    April 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Headwinds Are Affecting Growth Expectations for Europe

  31. Conference Board CEO Challenge® 2014: ASEAN Edition

    April 2014 | Research Report

    CEOs in ASEAN are seeking strong business leadership that is able to drive change and not afraid to boldly innovate (and even fail) in a performance-focused environment.

  32. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    April 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Economic growth is poised for some solid gains. The housing and labor markets are the keys to this improvement. The current path also suggests increased business investment for the remainder of the year.

  33. International Indexes of Consumer Prices 2013

    April 2014 | Research Report

    Based on price indexes compiled by The Conference Board International Labor Comparisons program, average annual inflation in 2013 slowed in 13 of the 16 economies compared.

  34. China Center Quick Note: Don’t Hold Your Breath for the Emerging Market Sell Off

    April 2014 | China Center Publications

    In recent weeks, fears of a sharp correction in emerging market financial conditions caused by the Fed’s change in its monetary policy have caused consternation among investors and policy makers.

  35. China Center Quick Note: RMB band-widening -- Short-term volatility, long-term vulnerability

    April 2014 | China Center Publications

    The Chinese central bank announced a widening of the daily trading band for the US-CNY exchange rate last month. What are the ramifications of this change for economic policy?

  36. China Center Chart of the Week: Chinese Total Factor Productivity growth appears to have flat-lined

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Chinese TFP growth has been declining continuously — from 3.1 percent during the 2007–2011 period to 0.6 percent in 2012 to zero growth in 2013.

  37. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    March 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging markets (EM) face a bumpy recovery road ahead, and impact on global economy in 2014 could be more significant than expected

  38. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    March 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    While europe’s short-term outlook continues to improve, risks to a sustained recovery persist.

  39. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    We view the winter slowdown in economic activity as a temporary pause. The eventual arrival of warmer spring weather should propel the housing and labor markets forward.

  40. China Center Chart of the Week: Labor productivity growth in China continues to slow – even from its low base level

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Labor productivity is a critical indicator because it is strongly related to living standard measures. The higher the relative level of labor productivity, the greater the chance for economic expansion.

  41. China Center Data Flash: Weak Jan-Feb data as expected – authorities are likely to goose growth soon

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Almost every single economic indicator that has been released through the first three months of this year – exports, industry, manufacturing, consumption, real estate, credit markets, stock markets – has disappointed.

  42. Charting International Labor Comparisons

    March 2014 | Research Report

    Compare national labor markets and international competitiveness through charts and accompanying insights. Charts highlight labor costs, labor productivity, and other comparable indicators for up to 38 countries, including emerging economies.

  43. China Center Chart of the Week: China is gaining share of global manufacturing value addition

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    China’s global value chain (GVC) share in global manufacturing rose from 4.2 percent in 1995 to 16.7 percent in 2011, which is solid evidence of China’s manufacturing competitiveness.

     

  44. China Center Chart of the Week: ‘Buying’ 7.5 percent growth – what would it take?

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Slowing credit growth is incompatible with a 7.5 percent growth target, unless efficiency is significantly improved.

  45. China Center Chart of the Week: Moderating consumption growth rate evident in Chinese New Year’s data

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Although the growth rate remains robust, it is the lowest nominal year-on-year expansion for Chinese New Year sales in over a decade.

  46. Closing the Digital Entrepreneurship Gap in Europe: Enabling Businesses to Spur Growth

    March 2014 | Executive Action Report

    Small innovative companies in the information and communication technology (ICT) sector play an important role in energizing economic growth, but face many barriers, especially in Europe.

  47. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    We view the current slowdown in economic activity as a temporary pause. The inclement winter weather is depressing economic activity, thus we expect a rebound when warmer temperatures arrive in the spring.

  48. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s Credit Intensity – Still Too High

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    With the exception of the bank-loan stimulus of 2009, the Chinese economy remained at a historically high level of credit dependency in 2013 – little changed from 2012.

  49. China Center Data Flash: “Prudent” monetary policy so far ineffective

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Credit growth came in worryingly strong in January, despite the lowest monthly expansion of outstanding bank deposits on record.

  50. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    February 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    The outlook for the European economy continues to improve, but headwinds persist.

  51. A Tale of 2000 Cities

    February 2014 | The Demand Institute

    A study of how the sharp contrast between successful and struggling communities is reshaping America.

  52. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    February 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging markets weakened in 2013, and there will only be moderate improvement in 2014.

  53. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    February 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    The European recovery continues to be slow, even though optimism increases

  54. China's Growth and Productivity Performance Debate Revisited - Accounting for China’s Sources of Growth with a New Data Set

    February 2014 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Harry X. Wu January 2014 - EPWP #14 – 01

    There are several problems with official Chinese economic data that are often overlooked, including structural breaks in employment statistics and implausibly high labor productivity figures related to “nonmaterial” services.

  55. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    February 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Economic growth was stronger than anticipated in the second half of 2013, and the faster pace of economic growth is expected to continue into 2014, although downside risks remain.

  56. China Center Commentary: December LEI Points to a Weak Start in the Year of the Horse

    February 2014 | China Center Publications

    For the first time in nine months, the credit component of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for China offered the only significantly positive contribution in December.

  57. China Center Chart of the Week: Household consumption growth continuing to slow – and slow faster than GDP growth

    January 2014 | China Center Publications

    Household consumption growth in China is slower than officially reported GDP growth and decelerating faster. This trend suggests that an economic rebalancing in favor of consumption-led growth is not happening.

  58. Conference Board CEO Challenge® 2014: People and Performance

    January 2014 | CEO Challenge®

    While CEOs see talent as the critical link in meeting their top business challenges, the 2014 CEO Challenge survey results show a heightened focus on customers and reputation and less concern about regulation and external risk.

2013

  1. China Center Chart of the Week: China Outlook -- Why we expect slower growth in 2014

    December 2013 | China Center Publications

    Our outlook for gradually slower growth in 2014 is a reflection of the current slowdown, which is part of an ongoing, structural transition of China’s economy.

  2. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    December 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Europe sets on a path of moderate growth for 2014. Financial stabilization will positively contribute to this outlook, although some obstacles still remain.

  3. China Center Data Flash: Divergence -- The Financial Economy Outpaces the Real Economy

    December 2013 | China Center Publications

    Despite higher interest rates throughout the month of November, credit extension ramped back up and real estate activity shot up as well.

  4. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    December 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Despite upward revision of GDP growth performance in Q3 and the Fed’s decision to start to taper its quantitative easing, GDP growth for 2013 will finish on a weak note.

  5. Conference Board Labor Markets in Review™: Vol. 3, No. 1, 2013

    December 2013 | Periodical

    Globally the economy has not returned to pre-recession growth levels. This report analyzes the effects of the different stages of recovery on labor market conditions, with a particular focus on the United States and Europe.

  6. Board Asia Newsletter

    December 2013 | Periodical

    Major news covered in this issue includes details of the launch of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for India and the ASEAN Leadership 2.0 project, an ongoing dialogue on leadership issues.

  7. Investments in Intellectual Property: New Footprints in Macroeconomic Data

    December 2013 | Executive Action Report

    New macroeconomic data show U.S. investment in intellectual property products totaled $812 billion, or 5 percent of GDP, in 2012.

  8. Shale Gas Boom and Other Uncertainties in U.S. Energy Markets

    December 2013 | KnowlEdge Series Summaries

    Energy supply/demand dynamics have become more complex, markets are more volatile, and key points of energy policy are still undetermined. Companies should use scenario plans under these conditions.

  9. China Center Commentary: The Muddle Kingdom -- LEI growth slows as policy inertia persists

    November 2013 | China Center Publications

    The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for China slowed in October due to weaker real estate activity.  

  10. China Center Chart of the Week: Between a rock and a hard place -- the Chinese real estate conundrum

    November 2013 | China Center Publications

    Reducing the Chinese economy's reliance on real estate investment and putting more emphasis on productive capital formation would help unlock latent sources of growth, but the adjustment would be painful.

  11. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    November 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy is ending 2013 with slow growth, in line with the overall sluggish performance for the year as a whole. However, stronger employment data and manufacturing surveys point to moderately firmer growth in 2014.

  12. China Center Chart of the Week: Continual PBoC injections forestall banking system pain

    November 2013 | China Center Publications

    The dynamic now in play suggests that both investment and credit creation are outpacing genuine deposit growth and loan repayment is insufficient to replenish banks' cash reserves.

  13. China Center Data Flash: Flat growth in October as stronger exports offset slowdown in investment and credit

    November 2013 | China Center Publications

    October's economic data offered a mixed bag – investment and credit slowed, but exports and industrial production improved.

  14. StraightTalk® Special Issue for All Members: Global Economic Outlook 2014

    November 2013 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist Bart van Ark comes in-depth analysis of the global economy and resulting projections for 2014, 2014-2019, and 2019-2025.

  15. China Center Data Flash: No surprises in Q3 data – not a “rebound”

    October 2013 | China Center Publications

    China recently released its official third quarter GDP data, which registered 7.8 percent real growth year over year. As expected, increased investment made up for weakness in exports.

  16. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    October 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area outlook continues to improve, as a sluggish recovery seems underway. Even though Euro Area GDP improved in the second quarter, other important indicators still remain very weak.

  17. Are Indian and Chinese Leaders Up to the Job?

    October 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    Economic growth in China and India depends on the quality of companies' senior leaders. DDI's Rich Wellins argues that those leaders have too high an opinion of their own abilities.

  18. Making the Switch: Are skills really transferable between jobs within an organization?

    October 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    A successful job-rotation program needs to be constructed so the assignment is a stretch and brings value, but not so much of a stretch that you lose a good employee.

  19. Cost of Losing the American Dream: A view from China

    October 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    After revelations about corporate and government encroachment on Americans' privacy, freedom-starved Chinese cast a less favorable eye on the United States.

  20. When Innovation Isn't: By pursuing breakthroughs less indiscriminately, we may just get more of them.

    October 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    The first step to bridging the innovation gap is to cease labeling every new initiative as "innovation."

  21. Where Did Productivity Go? Can Incentives to Grow the Workforce Be Found?

    October 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    From 1990-2012, Japan’s gross debt/GDP increased from 68 percent to 237 percent. Today, productivity is low and falling, the workforce is shrinking, and deflation and debt-deflation risks loom large.

  22. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    October 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Even with the government poised to re-open fully, the short-term shutdown likely shaved 0.45 percentage points from Q4 GDP growth, leaving it at a sluggish 1.7 percent annualized rate.

  23. Deep Dive Exchange Insights: Wage Escalation in China -- What Assumptions Make Sense for the Future?

    October 2013 | China Center Publications

    A summary of discussion points, learnings, business issues, and implications from the China Center's October 2013 Deep Dive Exchange session on wage escalation in China.

  24. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    September 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The economic outlook for Euro Area economies continues to improve, though growth for the region as a whole should be slow for the rest of 2013.

  25. Darkening Debt Picture Casts a Shadow over Germany's Stellar Growth Performance

    September 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    The German government’s current fiscal consolidation path seems appropriate, even though rising health costs will place upward pressure on expenditures while a shrinking labor force will diminish Germany’s tax base.

  26. Options for a Sustainable Long-Term Growth Path in Spain

    September 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    Spain’s accumulation of debt since 2008 is the product of a severe recession and having to bail out private banks, not precrisis fiscal mismanagement.

  27. China Center Data Flash: Q3 “rebound” will fizzle in Q4

    September 2013 | China Center Publications

    China’s official economic data continued to improve in August from July, as expected,
    but this momentum is not projected to last into Q4 2013.

  28. China Center Chart of the Week: Falling home production is an opportunity for services sector development (part 1 of 2)

    September 2013 | China Center Publications

    Chinese households are spending fewer hours per week onchildcare and other kinds of housework including grocery shopping, cooking, and doing laundry, which is releasing demand for services.

  29. China Center Chart of the Week: Home production trends highlight opportunity to boost household consumption of services (part 2 of 2)

    September 2013 | China Center Publications

    Except for house cleaning, Chinese households spend more time than their American counterparts on household production, and the viability of service sector market substitutions for this work has increased. 

  30. Scenario Planning: Opportunities for Mid-Market Firms

    September 2013 | Executive Action Report

    Forecasting works well in the short term, but it assumes today’s trends will be tomorrow’s. In the medium term, scenario planning helps companies prepare for the uncertainties of the future.

  31. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    August 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area economy has started to recover, though growth will probably remain slow for the rest of 2013, with improved business and consumer confidence offset by slowing growth in emerging markets, high unemployment, and potential financial risks.

  32. China Center Chart of the Week: The coming end of the WMP boom

    August 2013 | China Center Publications

    Unregulated wealth management products (WMPs) have caused consternation among China finance watchers. Limited signals of a downward trend in new issuance may be cause for optimism, but risks remain.

  33. China Center Commentary: Real estate and infrastructure investment -- risky wildcards for growth

    August 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for China, August 2013 (July data)

  34. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    August 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy is poised to accelerate to a moderately faster 2.5 percent annualized pace in the second half of the year, after strong fiscal headwinds held back growth in the first half of the year to a tepid 1.4 percent.

  35. Tracking Business Cycles in Brazil with Composite Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators

    August 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Aloisio Campelo Jr., Jing Sima-Friedman, Sarah Lima, Ataman Ozyildirim, Paulo Picchetti

    August 2013 - EPWP #13 – 06

  36. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s credit-to-GDP gap in the “danger zone”

    August 2013 | China Center Publications

    International experience shows that once the credit-to-GDP gap crosses a certain threshold, the likelihood of a financial crisis occurring within three years rises dramatically.

  37. China Center Data Flash: No bottom to the slowdown, despite stabilization

    August 2013 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – August 2013

  38. China Center Chart of the Week: Is RMB depreciation in the PBoC’s cards?

    August 2013 | China Center Publications

    US politicians have been complaining for years about China's undervalued currency, but is that accusation still relevant? The numbers suggest China's central bank has been forced to prop up its currency over the past year, rather than hold it down.

  39. China Center Chart of the Week: Capital outflows will be a headache for the central bank

    August 2013 | China Center Publications

    The unwinding of falsified trade invoicing has had a clear impact since May, as has the prospect of the Federal Reserve tapering its quantitative easing program. But the biggest driver of financial outflows seems to be the slowdown in Chinese growth.

  40. Introducing the Global Debt and Growth Series

    August 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    This time (truly) is different: the current crisis, which has its roots in the asset bubble/housing crisis in the United States, has pervaded virtually every corner of the global economy.

  41. United States: A Need to Bridge the Political Divide

    August 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    A political consensus must be formed to address the medium- to long-term fiscal challenges.

  42. Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for China -- July 2013 (June 2013 data)

    August 2013 | China Center Publications

    As growth trends downward, immediate risks ease somewhat

  43. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    August 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Despite weak GDP growth recorded over the past three quarters, including the sluggish 1.7% advance in Q2, we expect economic growth to accelerate in the second half of 2013 as the fiscal headwinds diminish.

  44. China Center Chart of the Week: Labor productivity performance enabled by reform – a key to China’s competitiveness gains

    July 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart demonstrates that China has done a good job catching up, and even surpassing, some emerging market peers on labor productivity. However, state-dominated sectors are dragging down productivity levels for the overall economy.

  45. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    July 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area’s economic contraction could end in the near term thanks to improving financial stability and confidence, but slowing global growth and a weak investment environment remain headwinds.

  46. Conference Board CEO Challenge® 2013: India Edition

    July 2013 | CEO Challenge®

    CEOs in India rank Human Capital, Global Political/Economic Risk, Innovation, Operational Excellence, and Government Regulation as their top challenges. Their strategies to meet these challenges reflect the uniqueness of the Indian economic environment.

  47. China Center Data Flash: Ongoing slowdown with a nod to financial reform

    July 2013 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – June 2013

  48. China Center Chart of the Week: Household consumption in China highly concentrated in most advanced cities

    July 2013 | China Center Publications

    This Pareto chart shows Monthly Sales of Retail Goods for 242 tier 1 to tier 3 cities (officially called “prefectures and above” cities) for December 2012 in China.

  49. Conference Board CEO Challenge® 2013: ASEAN Edition

    July 2013 | CEO Challenge®

    An analysis of the 183 responses from CEOs in the ASEAN region, including results from this year’s special question on the upcoming economic community integration.

  50. Where Will the Jobs Go?

    July 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    Technology may soon make obsolete factory workers, professors, nurses, and Teamsters.

  51. China Center Chart of the Week: Wage escalation is high and disparity of wage levels across industries pronounced

    July 2013 | China Center Publications

    Wage data are notoriously spotty in China. Using our own estimation of “Total Labor Compensation per Employee”, we are able to illuminate the trajectory and magnitude of wage escalation in China’s industrial/manufacturing sector.

  52. China Center Quick Note: What have we learned? Longer-term implications of China’s recent liquidity crunch

    July 2013 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note looks at June's events in the interbank bond market that led to a spike in interest rates and outlines the implications for the banking system and the real economy moving forward.

  53. Conference Board CEO Challenge® 2013: Countering the Global Slowdown

    July 2013 | CEO Challenge®

    Unlike last year, CEOs are looking inward for solutions to slow economic growth and focusing on people and processes—and less concerned about external factors such as risk and regulation.

  54. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    June 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area economy remains in contraction, but financial stability, as well as rising business and consumer confidence could accommodate a cautious recovery, especially if borrowing conditions for businesses improve.

  55. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    June 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    After several years of restructuring, the U.S. private sector shows continued signs of strengthening. We believe the Fed’s forecasts look overly optimistic, and thus, expect the sequester spending cuts to slow the economy for the remainder of 2013.

  56. Modeling Trends, Cyclical Movements and Turning Points of the Chinese Economy

    June 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ataman Ozyildirim and Harry Wu

    June 2013 - EPWP #13 – 02

  57. China Center Chart of the Week: Recent interbank jitters further underline liquidity risks

    June 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows the overnight interbank bond repo rate in China and the 7-day repo rate, respectively. In the week of June 3rd–7th, both rates shot up, signaling a sudden tightness in liquidity within the banking system.

  58. Forecasting Chinese Households’ Demand from Home Production

    June 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Yabin Wang
    June 2013 - EPWP #13 – 01

  59. China Center Chart of the Week: Reporting on corporate environmental and social performance – still a long way to go

    June 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows disclosure rates regarding key sustainability practices for constituent companies of the SSE 50, and compares it with the S&P Global 1200. The SSE 50 index comprises 50 Chinese A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai stock exchange.

  60. China Center Chart of the Week: Rise in interbank lending highlights China’s liquidity risks

    June 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows the Chinese banking system’s monthly new claims on the corporate and household sectors (i.e. loans into the real economy) as well as new claims on depository corporations and financial institutions (i.e. interbank lending).

  61. Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for China -- May 2013 (April 2013 data)

    June 2013 | China Center Publications

    As growth trends down, prospects for reform trend slightly up

  62. Understanding Business Cycles: The Indicators Approach to Forecasting for Agility

    June 2013 | Research Report

    Anticipating economic changes can enable companies to respond with agility in a dynamic business environment. This collection offers insight into how the indicator approach demystifies shifts in the business cycle.

  63. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    June 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    This report includes: The Conference Board's May forecast for the Euro Area economy, a description of how debt-to-GDP ratios for Spain and Germany will evolve over the long term, and the policy implications of these debt projections.

  64. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    May 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    We continue to forecast that the headwinds from the spending sequester cuts will slow economic activity. This issue also includes an update of our framework that offers a way for the U.S. to address its long-term fiscal issues.

  65. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s capital reserves appear strong but may soon prove inadequate

    May 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows capital adequacy ratios (CARs) reported by Chinese banks as of the end of Q1 2013. These ratios represent the amount of capital a bank holds as a proportion of its risk-weighted assets.

  66. Proxy Voting Fact Sheet (May 2013)

    May 2013 | Proxy Voting Fact Sheet

    Management was successful in omitting nearly one-quarter of shareholder proposals submitted at companies that held meetings during the January—April period. Nearly two-thirds of filed proposals went to a vote.

  67. China Center Data Flash: Continued deceleration into Q2

    May 2013 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – May 2013

  68. Deep Dive Exchange Insights: The Evolving Face of Corrupt Practices in China – Managing 3rd Party Fraud Risk

    May 2013 | China Center Publications

    A summary of discussion points, learnings, business issues, and implications from the Deep Dive Exchange session hosted by The Conference Board's China Center

  69. China Center Chart of the Week: Recent jump in bank deposits likely boosted by new WMP regulations

    May 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows changes in the stock of outstanding deposits in China’s banking system on a monthly basis, and the total outstanding deposit growth.

  70. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s manufacturing PMI should be taken with a growing grain of salt

    May 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows the performance of China’s official manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) since January 2010, along with the major subcomponents. We urge members to view this index with great caution.

  71. Recent Changes in Europe’s Competitive Landscape and Medium-Term Perspectives: How the Sources of Demand and Supply Are Shaping Up

    May 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Vivian Chen, Bert Colijn, Kirsten Jaeger, Wim Overmeer, and Marcel Timmer
    March 2013 - EPWP #13 – 05

  72. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    May 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    A recovery for the Euro Area has been delayed in part by continued weakness in business confidence. This issue also explores how prices and supplies of oil and natural gas may affect long-term growth prospects of Europe's economies.

  73. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    April 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Once again economic activity started off the year on strong footing, to only lose steam heading into springtime. In this issue we also examine the shale gas and oil revolution to see if it can really be a game changer.

  74. China Center LEI Commentary: LEI growth stalled amid renewed tightening of policy measures

    April 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, April 2013 (March 2013 data)

  75. "Just Say No": If only fighting bribery were that simple

    April 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    An expansive look at bribery today and how both companies and individual executives should handle sticky situations.

  76. Business Case for Nature

    April 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    The authors argue that companies should value natural resources as highly as any other.

  77. Next 90 Days

    April 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    Companies are increasingly looking beyond the short-term tyranny of the quarterly earnings report.

  78. Trust No One: Understanding the price of business intelligence—and counterintelligence

    April 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    A former CIA agent explains that the key to business counterintelligence is to avoid ever falling victim to information thieves who may target you without your even knowing it.

  79. Up in the Air: How some companies manage to defy gravity

    April 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    The authors draw on the results of a major study to identify and explain the key factors that generate long-term corporate success.

  80. Who's Winning the Hunger Games? Q&A with Michael Moss

    April 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    In a Q&A based on his book "Salt Sugar Fat," Michael Moss explains how Nabisco, Kraft, and General Mills got us to crave all the wrong things.

  81. Workspace: Face-to-Face Fallacies

    April 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    Columnist Alison Maitland looks critically at workplace strategies of Google and Yahoo!, calling them "retrograde attitudes from Internet giants."

  82. Looking before You Leap: SWP and Offshoring Location Decisions

    April 2013 | KnowlEdge Series Summaries

    HR executives and strategists can contribute to their company’s location strategy.

  83. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s capital account liberalization is still a long way off

    April 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows China’s capital account in the Balance of Payments data, with positive numbers signaling credits (essentially money flowing into the economy in various forms) and negative numbers representing debits (net flows of assets held abroad).

  84. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    April 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    High youth unemployment and long-term demographic trends are both blocking a recovery in Euro Area household consumption.

  85. China Center LEI Commentary: LEI still increasing, but the outcome will be highly policy-dependent

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, March 2013 (February 2013 data)

  86. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The domestic private sector of the U.S. economy has shown great resilience in the face of ongoing global uncertainty and dysfunctional government policy. However, we maintain our cautious economic outlook for 2013.

  87. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s demographic shift has “officially” begun – at least according to the NBS definition

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows the breakdown of the Chinese population by age group. In January, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced that the country’s working age population (ages 15 to 59) shrank for the first time in 2012.

  88. China Center Data Flash: New leadership show signs of reining in risk areas

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – March 2013 (February 2013 data)

  89. China Center Quick Note: Xi Jinping at the helm: command and control – or negotiate and cajole?

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note assesses what China's incoming president might reasonably be expected to achieve given the limits necessarily imposed on him by the political system.

  90. China Center Chart of the Week: Formal bank loans - no longer the stalwart of Chinese finance

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows newly issued net Total Social Finance in China on a quarterly basis, broken down into its constituent parts. The share of non-bank finance has grown markedly.

  91. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    U.S. economy still not fully in the clear with both the private sector and labor market far from robust and recently productivity growth has slumped. Moreover, dysfunctional government and tighter fiscal policy represent large downside risks.

  92. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    February 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Recent changes in competitiveness measures for Euro Area economies provide another signal that economic outlook is improving, but weak long-term productivity growth represents important constraint on speed and strength of any recovery.

  93. China Center LEI Commentary: LEI boosted by the Chinese New Year

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, February 2013 (January 2012 data)

  94. China Center Chart of the Week: Do weak retail sales over the Chinese New Year holiday signal slowing consumption growth?

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart assesses the “real” (i.e. inflation adjusted to 2012 price levels) monthly Retail Sales of Consumer Goods statistic over the last 5 years, emphasizing the sales for Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday periods.

  95. China Center Quick Note: Barring the unexpected, China’s economy to downshift considerably, as a natural consequence of both size and maturation

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    In the latest update of The Conference Board’s Global Economic Outlook, we project that China’s trend growth rate will slow to 5.8 percent over the 2013-2018 period and fall further to 3.7 percent from 2019-2025.

  96. China Center Chart of the Week: Real household consumption increasingly hard to gauge using the monthly “Retail Sales of Consumer Goods” statistic

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart compares consumption in China as measured by the monthly “Retail Sales of Consumer Goods” statistic with the household consumption statistic derived from China’s quarterly Expenditure GDP and figures estimated by NBS’ Quarterly Household Survey

  97. China Center LEI Commentary: Slower LEI growth indicates the current rebound may be short-lived

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, January 2013 (December 2012 data)

  98. China Center Chart of the Week: Less and less growth from more and more credit

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows the credit intensity of Chinese economic growth in both nominal and real terms. Credit intensity refers to the ratio of new credit to incremental GDP growth in an economy, and the situation for China is becoming increasingly grim.

  99. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    January 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Results from The Conference Board CEO Challenge® survey provide a perspective on how business leaders in Europe are responding to a more stable but still challenging economic environment in the Euro Area.

  100. Trapped on the Worker Treadmill?

    January 2013 | Executive Action Report

    Why more U.S. workers than ever before are planning to delay retirement

  101. Will the Decline in Unit Labor Cost in Europe's Troubled Economies Help Improve Competitiveness?

    January 2013 | Executive Action Report

    Will the blood, sweat, and tears poured into reforming European economies pay off?

  102. China Center Chart of the Week: Interdependence of Chinese and Japanese economies is much larger than their trade relationship

    January 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows China’s imports from and exports to Japan until the end of 2012, and uses Input-Output table analysis to calculate the amount the Japanese and Chinese economies impact one another, both directly and indirectly.

  103. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    January 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Growth rebounds in second half, after fiscal drag in first half. This issue also includes results from CEO Challenge® survey which shows businesses look at internal strengths to better compete in what is poised to remain a slow growth environment.

  104. A Rebuilding Year: In a slow-growth 2013, companies need to prepare for a new future.

    January 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    In TCB Review's annual Q&A with chief economist Bart van Ark, he elaborates on his generally downbeat 2013 global economic forecast.

2012

  1. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    December 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Progress on financial integration does not result in improved outlook for Euro Area

  2. China Center Data Flash: Fragility and uncertainty persist

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – December 2012 (November 2012 data)

  3. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    December 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Underlying strengthening in U.S. economy will be delayed if fiscal drags become large

  4. China Center Chart of the Week: Rising unit labor costs underscore the imperative for economic transition

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows China’s unit labor cost – the average cost of labor per unit of output (ULC) – as a percent of the United States’ ULC. Growth in a country’s ULC is a key measure of its competitiveness.

  5. Conference Board Labor Markets in Review™: Vol. 2, No. 3, 2012

    December 2012 | Periodical

    This periodical publication offers an expert perspective on the implications of current economic conditions on the labor market, with specific focus on the United States, Europe, and emerging markets.

  6. China Center Chart of the Week: Consumption is the most important driver of labor demand

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    This chart explores overall labor demand (i.e. both direct and indirect) generated by household consumption, government consumption, investment, and exports in China.

  7. Innovation Accounting

    December 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado and Charles Hulten
    December 2012 - EPWP #12 – 04

  8. Intangible Capital and Growth in Advanced Economies: Measurement Methods and Comparative Results

    December 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, Cecilia Jona-Lasinio and Massimiliano Iommi
    December 2012 - EPWP #12 – 03

  9. China Center LEI Commentary: Looking beyond month-to-month volatility – sustainability of current rebound not yet certain

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, November 2012 (October 2012 data)

  10. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s falling returns on capital will cause slower growth or higher leverage (or both)

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    The chart shows The Conference Board’s estimation of the Marginal Product of Capital (MPK) for various countries, broken into two groups: lower income and higher income.

  11. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    November 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Policies implemented to control the financial crisis are partially succeeding, but have not yet improved confidence or growth prospects

  12. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    November 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Economic growth poised to rebound in the second half of 2013

  13. China Center Chart of the Week: Not so fast! Why China’s economy will continue to slow

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    The chart shows The Conference Board’s most recent medium- and long-term projections for trend growth in real GDP for China, broken down by contributions from labor, capital and productivity.

  14. China Center Quick Note: China’s “Elections” and the Future of Reform

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note examines the policy imperatives for China’s new, recently “elected” leading group. MNCs should pay special attention to monitoring policy developments related to financial/credit market reform and State Owned Enterprise reform.

  15. China Center Chart of the Week: Investment and exports diminish as growth drivers, but remain critical to sustaining economy’s size

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    This chart underscores the importance of Consumption as a major driver of GDP growth in China, and suggests this has been the case since well before the global financial crisis of 2008 and the associated fall off in global export demand.

  16. China Center Data Flash: Fragile rebound advanced in October

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – November 2012 (October 2012 data)

  17. Projecting Global Growth

    November 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, Ataman Ozyildirim and Bart van Ark
    November 2012 - EPWP #12 – 02

  18. StraightTalk®
    Global Economic Outlook 2013: Is the global economic speed limit slowing down?

    November 2012 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist.

  19. StraightTalk® Special Issue for All Members: Global Economic Outlook 2013

    November 2012 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist: Is the global economic speed limit slowing down?

  20. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    November 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The financial crisis has spurred European leaders to consider hastening fiscal and regulatory integration, which has helped reduce financial instability. However, the poor performance of confidence indicators show that the Euro Area economy reamins weak.

  21. China Center LEI Commentary: Increase in LEI slows, as real estate gives back gains from August

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, October 2012 (September 2012 data)

  22. China Center Quick Note: The Fourth Estate and China’s Reform Agenda

    October 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note assert that the emerging Fourth Estate phenomenon -- deep, fact-based investigative journalism -- is extremely important for MNC business planners to monitor as a presage to policy leanings and political-economy trends in China.

  23. China Center Chart of the Week, Special Philanthropy Series, part 1 of 4: China’s nonprofit sector – growing rapidly, but still highly constrained

    October 2012 | China Center Publications

    Leading up to the release of a new beachhead report by the China Center on Corporate Philanthropy in China (to be published in November) we are releasing a special series of Charts of the Week on the topic. This is part one of four.

  24. China Center Chart of the Week, Special Philanthropy Series, part 2 of 4: Public perception is an important driver shaping China’s nonprofit sector

    October 2012 | China Center Publications

    Leading up to the release of a new beachhead report by the China Center on Corporate Philanthropy in China (to be published in November) we are releasing a special series of Charts of the Week on the topic. This is part two of four.

  25. China Center Chart of the Week, Special Philanthropy Series, part 3 of 4: Corporations playing key role in advancing civil society engagement in China

    October 2012 | China Center Publications

    Leading up to the release of a new beachhead report by the China Center on Corporate Philanthropy in China (to be published in November) we are releasing a special series of Charts of the Week on the topic. This is part three of four.

  26. China Center Chart of the Week, Special Philanthropy Series, part 4 of 4: How much do companies in China spend on philanthropy?

    October 2012 | China Center Publications

    Leading up to the release of a new beachhead report by the China Center on Corporate Philanthropy in China (to be published in November) we are releasing a special series of Charts of the Week on the topic. This is part four of four.

  27. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    October 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. remains poised to at least partially fall off the “fiscal cliff".

  28. China Center Data Flash: September data - a glimmer of light, but not yet out of the tunnel

    October 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – October 2012 (September 2012 data)

  29. China Center LEI Commentary: Real estate perks up the LEI in August – but it is unlikely to last

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, September 2012 (August 2012 data)

  30. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    September 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    ECB's decision to buy short-term sovereign debt and progress towards creation of European Stability Mechanism (ESM) has improved prospects for resolving Euro Area financial crisis, though many obstacles remain.

  31. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    September 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The ongoing weakness in the U.S. economy has prompted the Federal Reserve to unleash its third round of quantitative easing. However, more quantitative easing is not the pancea that will quickly boost the economy.

  32. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    September 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging markets: staying competitive amid slowing growth

  33. China Center Chart of the Week: Increasing intangible investment not yielding commensurate increases in output

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    The US and Germany have generated increasing output per capita from their intangible investment, whereas China has not. R&D spending is part of the problem.

  34. China Center Data Flash: Tug of war -- manufacturing down, infrastructure up

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – September 2012 (August 2012 data)

  35. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s intangible investment – high in absolute amount, small relative to conventional capex

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    China has spent a much larger amount on intangible investment, as a percentage of GDP, than other countries at similar, or higher, levels of development.

  36. China Center LEI Commentary: A pick up in infrastructure investment remains the only driver of growth, but may ultimately become a burden

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, August 2012 (July 2012 data)

  37. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    August 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    ECB promises to purchase short-term bonds of troubled countries has reduced financial instability for now. Long-term growth prospects in much of Euro Area remain uncertain, but expanding trade relations with China could help.

  38. China Center Chart of the Week: Intangible investment in China has grown rapidly – but is it efficient?

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    Despite the substantial top-line growth, it appears that overall spending on intangibles in China has largely been policy driven, rather than deriving from firm-level innovation.

  39. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    August 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy suffers from a lack of consumer demand, a cautious corporate sector that is not spending or hiring, and high inventory levels that will hold back production activity going forward.

  40. China Center Data Flash: July disappoints – even investment growth levels off

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – August 2012 (July 2012 data)

  41. China Center Quick Note: The Missing Tea Leaves

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note examines perennial data gap issues in China, and, more recently, the trend of disappearing data. The note provides much needed context about the history, political framework and utility of data publication in China.

  42. China Center LEI Commentary: Real economic activity remains weak – credit alone drives the LEI in June

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, July 2012 (June 2012 data)

  43. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    July 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Measures taken at June 28-29 EU Summit represent steps in the right direction, but have so far failed to restore confidence.

  44. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    July 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy has no forward momentum and little help from monetary or fiscal policy. Future growth depends on whether U.S. businesses can escape the “commodity trap.”

  45. Despite the Chaos, Europe's Economies Are Regaining Competitiveness through Improvements in Unit Labor Cost Performance

    July 2012 | Executive Action Report

    Can Europe’s recent gains in productivity and lower unit labor costs be sustained?

  46. LGBT in the Workplace and Marketplace

    July 2012 | KnowlEdge Series Summaries

    The LGBT (lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender) population is no longer merely included in corporate strategy, but is a focus of that strategy, as companies try to attract both LGBT talent and market share.

  47. China Center Data Flash: Growth stabilizes in June, but weakness remains

    July 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – July 2012 (June 2012 data)

  48. Conference Board® Labor Markets in Review™: Vol. 2, No. 2

    July 2012 | Periodical

    This issue includes an overview of the main economic and labor market conditions in the United States, Europe, and Asia, as well as several special topics.

  49. China Center Quick Note: China’s Consumption Paradox

    July 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note examines and explains the structural factors constraining household consumption in China, and the challenges China faces in transitioning to a consumption-driven economy.

  50. China Center LEI Commentary: Accelerated bank lending supports LEI expansion in May

    July 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, May 2012 data

  51. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    June 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Outlook for Euro Area has become worse due to both increased financial turbulance related to banking crisis in Spain and elsewhere, and the implementation of austerity measures which represent a drag on economic growth.

  52. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    June 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Winter optimism faded this spring. Recent economic data and rising uncertainty signal that the moderate acceleration in is unlikely. U.S. faces an enormous yearend fiscal cliff, but temporary measures should help avoid a large economic contraction.

  53. China Center Data Flash: May data send mixed signals

    June 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – June 2012 (May 2012 data)

  54. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    June 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging Market Growth to Gradually Slow in 2012, but Downside Risks Remain Strong

  55. Total Factor Productivity among Cities in China: Estimation and Explanation

    June 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Yan Xu and Shu Yu
    June 2012 - EPWP #12 – 01

  56. China Center LEI Commentary: LEI expands moderately, but component volatility offers little certainty

    May 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, May 2012 (April 2012 data)

  57. Conference Board Human Capital in Review:™ Focus on Human Capital Analytics (Vol. 2 No. 1, 2012)

    May 2012 | Human Capital in Review

    This issue looks at capabilities required for a successful analytics practice at the organization level as well as the specific skills and competencies required at the individual level.

  58. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    May 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Recent employment, income, and business investment data indicate that economic growth is poised to dip below 2 percent in the current quarter, but trends in the leading economic indicators suggest that growth will accelerate modestly in the second half.

  59. Issues in Intangibles, Vol.1 No. 2, Spring 2012

    May 2012 | Periodical

    Intangible assets are key to competitiveness in the knowledge economy. In this edition of Intangibles Quarterly, Professor Baruch Lev discusses how a firm can keep effective records of intangible assets and how they may affect decision making.

  60. China Center LEI Commentary: Increased volatility will likely characterize the second quarter, just as it did the first

    April 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, April 2012 (March 2012 data)

  61. Feeling the Pain: Wage Growth in the United States during and after the Great Recession

    April 2012 | Executive Action Report

    This report analyzes the impact of the Great Recession on wage growth in the United States from several perspectives, and describes the different effects on the earnings of various demographic groups.

  62. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    April 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Despite some recent weakening in the economic data, the U.S. economy remains poised to re-accelerate in the second half of 2012. This month, we also examine shifts in global manufacturing competitiveness.

  63. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    April 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area economy has faced additional instability during the past month after Spain revised its deficit target. This month, we examine how events in Spain and elections in France are affecting our outlook for the Euro Area economy in 2012.

  64. China Center Dataflash: Q1 growth rate masks underlying volatility

    April 2012 | China Center Publications

    Dataflash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – April 2012 (March 2012 data)

  65. China Center LEI Commentary: Recent volatility in the LEI components underlines growing economic uncertainty

    April 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China (February 2012 data)

  66. Revisiting Japan a Year after the Earthquake: A Slower than Expected Recovery

    March 2012 | Executive Action Report

    One year after the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami in Japan, the country is still suffering the economic aftershocks.

  67. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    March 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Though the Euro Area economy appears to be stabilizing, elevated unit labor costs may impair the region’s growth prospects. This month, we examine labor costs, unemployment measures, and actions European countries are taking to become more competitive.

  68. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Cautiously Optimistic Outlook

  69. China Productivity: Labor Productivity by Ownership Type

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    This report measures China’s industry productivity by ownership type, comparing state-owned enterprises, privately owned domestic firms, foreign-invested firms, and smaller firms for the period of 1995-2009.

  70. Conference Board CEO Challenge® 2012: Risky Business—Focusing on Innovation and Talent in a Volatile World

    March 2012 | CEO Challenge®

    According to respondents to The Conference Board CEO Challenge®, the race to innovate and the war for talent are just two of the challenges of the current business
    landscape.

  71. China Center Dataflash: February data point to weak first quarter

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    Dataflash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – March 2012 (February 2012 data)

  72. China Center QuickNote: China’s Soft Side

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    Transitioning China to a consumption led economy is not just a matter of ratcheting down investment and stimulating consumption, and containing the vested interests that would work to block this path. Indeed, this is the relatively easy part.

  73. China Center QuickNote: World Bank “China 2030” report – the calls mount for economic reform

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    In this QuickNote we examine some of the World Bank’s key findings, analyzing them alongside The Conference Board’s own research, and highlight areas of particular interest to China Center members.

  74. China Center LEI Commentary: China LEI points to increasing uncertainty amidst continued gradual slowing of the economy

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China (January 2012 data)

  75. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    February 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Increasing positive trends in the U.S. economy, but can they be sustained?

  76. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    February 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The ECB’s Longer-Term Refinancing Operations (LTROs) helped restore confidence. However, "troubled economies" must address structural and regulatory issues, which we address in this report.

  77. Issues in Intangibles, Vol. 1, No. 1

    February 2012 | Periodical

    This first release in a new series from The Conference Board focuses on intangible assets—why they matter, how they are measured, and their importance to both national economies and individual firms.

  78. China Center Dataflash: Beware of the Chinese New Year Effect

    February 2012 | China Center Publications

    Dataflash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – February 2012 (January 2012 data)

  79. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    January 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area looks to be in a mild recession

  80. Conference Board® Labor Markets in Review™: Vol. 2, No. 1

    January 2012 | Periodical

    This periodical publication offers an expert perspective on the implications of current economic conditions on the labor market, with specific focus on the United States, Europe, and emerging markets.

  81. China Center LEI Commentary: Moderation in growth looks set to continue, despite the slight LEI uptick in December

    January 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China. (December 2011 data)

  82. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    January 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Caution, uncertainty, and volatility underscore 2012

2011

  1. Comprehensive Benchmark Revisions for The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for the United States

    December 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Gad Levanon, Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin, and Justyna Zabinska
    December 2011 - EPWP #11 – 06

  2. Constructing a Data Set on Labour Composition Change

    December 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Boele Bonthuis
    December 2011 - EPWP #11 – 04

  3. Using the Leading Credit IndexTM to Predict Turning Points in the U.S. Business Cycle

    December 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Gad Levanon, Jean-Claude Manini, Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin, and Jennelyn Tanchua
    December 2011 - EPWP #11 – 05

  4. China Center QuickNote: Returning Home—the conception of the Asian RMB and capital market zone

    December 2011 | China Center Publications

    By Ken DeWoskin – Senior Advisor and China CEO Council Program Director, The China Center for Economics and Business

  5. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    December 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    U.S. steps up while Europe slips

  6. Europe’s Great Labor Market Divide

    December 2011 | Executive Action Report

    The gulf between the haves and the have nots in Europe will likely continue to put stress on the future of European unity and trigger even more intense debate about the future of the Euro Area itself.

  7. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    November 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Economy on firmer footing, but sentiment still sour

  8. Projecting Economic Growth with Growth Accounting Techniques: The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2012 Sources and Methods

    November 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, and Bart van Ark
    November 2011 - EPWP #11 – 07

  9. StraightTalk®
    Special Issue for All Members: Global Economic Outlook 2012

    November 2011 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist.

  10. Constructing a Price Deflator for R&D: Calculating the Price of Knowledge Investments as a Residual

    October 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Peter Goodridge, and Jonathan Haskel
    October 2011 - EPWP #11 – 03

  11. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    October 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Growth Still Stuck in the Slow Lane

  12. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    October 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Debt Crisis and the Risk Of Recession Are Reinforcing Each Other

  13. Conference Board® Labor Markets in Review™: Vol. 1, No. 1

    October 2011 | Periodical

    This periodical publication offers an expert perspective on the implications of current economic conditions on the labor market, with specific focus on the United States, Europe, and emerging markets.

  14. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    September 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    We are all in this together

  15. U.S. Workers Are Delaying Retirement: Who and Why, and Implications for Businesses

    September 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Gad Levanon and Ben Cheng, September 2011. - EPWP #11 – 02

  16. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    August 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Downgrade of U.S. Economic Growth

  17. China Center QuickNote: Planning for opportunities in the event of over-slowing in China

    August 2011 | China Center Publications

    By David Hoffman, Vice President and Managing Director of The China Center

  18. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    July 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Hot temperatures, but cool economy

  19. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Long Tail of Digital Exclusion — A Comparison Between the UK and Chile

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ellen J. Helsper and Sergio Godoy-Etcheverry, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #7

  20. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Education

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Cor-Jan Jager, Jesse Bos, and Robbin te Velde, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #9

  21. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Public Sector Performance

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robbin te Velde, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #8

  22. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Mobile Communication and Social Capital in Korea and the U.S.— How Usage Patterns Predict Social, C

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Scott W. Campbell, Nojin Kwak and Richard Ling, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #2

  23. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Policy and Development of ICT—The Impact of Public and Regulatory Policy on ICT Sector Performance

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Raul L. Katz, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #1

  24. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Global Broadband Bonus: Broadband Internet’s Impact on Seven Countries

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Shane Greenstein and Ryan McDevitt, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #6

  25. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Impact of ICT on the Geographic Distribution of Employment

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vlad Manole and Randall Weiss, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #5

  26. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Towards Comprehensive Measurement of ICT’s Impact: Paying Attention to Society and Culture

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Katherine Schinasi and Ivy Schultz, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #10

  27. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Who Captures the Benefits of ICT? The Case of Digital Books

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Janet Hao and Randall Weiss, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #3

  28. Towards Comprehensive Measurement of ICT’s Impact: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Health Care

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robbin te Velde, Jesse Bos, and Reg Brennenraedts, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #4

  29. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    June 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Scaling back growth expectations

  30. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    June 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    The 2011 GDP projection will prove easy to reach. Downside risks exist for 2012.

  31. Performance 2011: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    June 2011 | Research Report

    This report takes a detailed look at the drivers of output growth, comparing the contributions of labor productivity and employment across years and across more than 100 countries.

  32. U.S. Workers Delaying Retirement: What Businesses Can Learn from the Trends of Who, Where, and Why

    May 2011 | Executive Action Report

    U.S. workers have been working longer and retiring later since the mid-1990s, but the Great Recession has put even greater pressure on workers to stay on the job.

  33. Where Are the Jobs?

    May 2011 | Executive Action Report

    Twenty-one months into the recovery, the U.S. economy has failed to add any jobs despite economic growth.

  34. Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (Vol 3 Q1, 2011)

    April 2011 | Strategic Workforce Planning in Review

    This publication explores hot topics within strategic workforce planning research. This issue includes articles on: global talent shortages, regional human capital risk, applying SWP in governments, and best-in-class business intelligence.

  35. Assessing the Risks of an Economic Downturn in Japan

    April 2011 | Executive Action Report

    The earthquakes, tsunami, and nuclear disaster in Japan will undoubtedly have a negative effect on Japan’s economy, but there is more to the story.

  36. CEO Challenge 2011: Fueling Business Growth with Innovation and Talent Development

    April 2011 | CEO Challenge®

    This year’s report is entirely new and features a fully revised and condensed set of 10 overall challenges (down from 84 in previous surveys) and a more in-depth strategy section that highlights the need for clear organizational alignment, teamwork, and s

  37. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    April 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    U.S. economy to resume moderate growth

  38. China Productivity Quarterly

    April 2011 | China Center Publications

    This China Center report is the first in a regular series of productivity reports on China from The Conference Board. Our intention is to gradually “peel the onion” on productivity measurement and business issues in China.

  39. Conference Board Economics Watch® China View

    April 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Tighter credit and weak consumer confidence, both reactions to high inflation, will probably create a drag on growth for Chinese economy in 2011.

  40. Communication Capital, Metcalfe’s Law, and U.S. Productivity Growth

    March 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, March 2011. - EPWP #11 – 01

  41. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    U.S. economy continues on a firmer path of expansion

  42. Conference Board Economics Watch® China View

    February 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    China’s strong growth continues but inflation fears are sparking monetary policy action.

  43. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    February 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Can short-term economic momentum be maintained in the face of strong headwinds?

  44. Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (Vol 2 Q4, 2010)

    February 2011 | Strategic Workforce Planning in Review

    This publication explores hot topics within strategic workforce planning research. This issue includes articles on: creating SWP plans, choosing software, human capital risk, and applying supply chain principles, among others.

  45. Great Recession and Household Savings

    February 2011 | Executive Action Report

    During recessions or other periods of economic weakness, when any engine of growth is needed, an increase in the household saving rate could slow the pace of recovery. So what will happen to the saving rate in this critical recovery period?

  46. Innovation and Intangible Assets Gaining the Competitive Edge in Economic Recovery

    January 2011 | Executive Action Report

    Intangible assets drive innovation and contribute much to a firm’s and a country’s competitive edge in the knowledge economy. It is time for a fresh look at how businesses look at these critical assets.

  47. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    January 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Stimulus will boost economic growth in 2011, but will it carry through to 2012?

2010

  1. Escaping the Sovereign-Debt Crisis: Productivity-Driven Growth and Moderate Spending May Offer a Way Out

    December 2010 | Executive Action Report

    Sovereign debt and fiscal deficits are strangling many advanced economies. Policy choices are complex, but there is an escape strategy that does not require draconian budget cuts or risky debt-financed stimulus spending.

  2. Under Pressure: The Widening Wage Gap between China's Haves and Have-Nots

    November 2010 | Executive Action Report

    Will soaring wages and protesting workers eventually erode one of China's most prominent global economic advantages—its low labor costs?

  3. Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (Vol 2 Q3, 2010)

    November 2010 | Strategic Workforce Planning in Review

    This publication explores hot topics within strategic workforce planning research. This issue includes articles on: post-recession scenario planning, contingent workforce strategy, analytical tools, getting buy-in for analytics, and dashboard design.

  4. India’s Demographic Transition: Boon or Bane? A State-Level Perspective

    September 2010 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Utsav Kumar
    September 2010 - EPWP #10 – 03

  5. Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (Vol 2 Q2, 2010)

    August 2010 | Strategic Workforce Planning in Review

    This publication explores hot topics within strategic workforce planning research. This issue includes articles on: SWP at Astra Zeneca, Westpac, and IBM; SWP integration; regional workforce planning; and analytics software.

  6. On the Selection of Leading Economic Indicators for China

    July 2010 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bill Adams, Pieter Bottelier, Ataman Ozyildirim, Jing Sima-Friedman, May 2010. - EPWP #10 – 02

  7. Euro Area: Looking Through the Turbulence in Financial Markets

    June 2010 | Executive Action Report

    Despite the overwhelming sense of crisis in the Euro Area, recovery from the global recession is still underway.

  8. CEO Challenge 2010: Top 10 Challenges

    February 2010 | CEO Challenge®

    Respondents to the latest edition of the annual survey of CEOs, presidents, and chairmen indicate that growth issues will be their top challenges for 2010.

  9. Case for Businesses to Invest in Post-Secondary Credentials

    February 2010 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Chris Woock, February 2010 . - EPWP #10 – 01

  10. 2010 Productivity Brief: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    January 2010 | Executive Action Report

    The recession left its mark on global productivity, which fell in 2009. With recovery expected in 2010, advanced economies will see renewed productivity gains but continue to shed workers.

  11. Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (Vol 2 Q1, 2010)

    January 2010 | Strategic Workforce Planning in Review

    This publication explores hot topics within strategic workforce planning research. This issue includes articles on: business intelligence, workforce analytics, game theory, contingent workforce management, and human capital risk.

2009

  1. Foreign Exchange Management: Creating Value Through Better Decision Making

    December 2009 | Key Findings

    Foreign Exchange Management: Creating Value through Better Decision Making gauges the impact of the financial crisis on FX management practices

  2. Foreign Exchange Management: Creating Value Through Better Decision Making

    December 2009 | Research Report

    Foreign Exchange Management: Creating Value through Better Decision Making gauges the impact of the financial crisis on FX management practices

  3. Will You Want to Hire Your Own Kids? (Will Anybody Else?)

    August 2009 | Executive Action Report

    Workforce entrants are caught between an educational system that teaches and measures one set of skills and a rapidly evolving workplace that demands another. But who will close the gap?

  4. Productivity, Performance, and Progress: Germany in International Comparative Perspective

    August 2009 | Research Report

    This study argues that the key to a successful and sustainable growth strategy for any time and place is to find the optimal balance between labour productivity growth and labour input growth.

  5. Productivity, Performance, and Progress: Germany in International Comparative Perspective

    August 2009 | Key Findings

    This study argues that the key to a successful and sustainable growth strategy for any time and place is to find the optimal balance between labour productivity growth and labour input growth.

  6. Mission Accomplished? What Every Leader Should Know about Survivor Syndrome

    June 2009 | Executive Action Report

    This Executive Action report explores the concept of "survivor syndrome," how it materializes, and what to do about it.

  7. Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (Vol 1 Q3-4, 2009)

    June 2009 | Strategic Workforce Planning in Review

    The Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (SWPQ) is a quarterly review of recent literature related to Strategic Workforce Planning. The articles come from magazines, reports, blogs and other sources. The reviews summarize the main points of each article

  8. Potential Economic Impact of the 2009 A(H1N1) Influenza (Swine Flu) Pandemic

    May 2009 | Executive Action Report

    While it's too early to determine the ultimate scope of the A(H1N1) influenza pandemic, a comparison to the 2003 SARS outbreak shows the economic impact may be short-lived and will not significantly alter long-term trends in global macro economic activity

  9. Innovation and US Competitiveness: Reevaluating the Contributors to Growth

    May 2009 | Research Report

    This report takes stock of the innovation capabilities of the U.S. economy, including hurdles to maintaining the nation's leadership position, and recommends some means and methods of overcoming those obstacles.

  10. Innovation and US Competitiveness: Reevaluating the Contributors to Growth

    May 2009 | Key Findings

    This report takes stock of the innovation capabilities of the U.S. economy, including hurdles to maintaining the nation's leadership position, and recommends some means and methods of overcoming those obstacles.

  11. Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (Vol 1 Q2, 2009)

    May 2009 | Strategic Workforce Planning in Review

    The Strategic Workforce Planning Quarterly (SWPQ) is a quarterly review of recent literature related to Strategic Workforce Planning. The articles come from magazines, reports, blogs and other sources. The reviews summarize the main points of each article

  12. Rising Wages: Has China Lost Its Global Labor Advantage?

    March 2009 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Dennis Tao Yang, Vivian Chen, Ryan Monarch, March 2009. - EPWP #09 – 03

  13. Cost Competitiveness of the Manufacturing Sector in China and India: An Industry and Regional Perspective

    January 2009 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Abdul Azeez Erumban, Vivian Chen, Utsav Kumar, January 2009. – EPWP #09 – 02

  14. Some Recent Changes in Economic Growth, Cycles and Volatility

    January 2009 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ataman Ozyildirim and Victor Zarnowitz, January 2009. - EPWP #09 – 01

2008

  1. Accounting for the Knowledge Economy

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Charles Hulten, December 2008. - EPWP #08 - 13

  2. Entrepreneurs, Inventors and the Growth of the Economy

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by William J. Baumol, December 2008. - EPWP #08 - 12

  3. Exploring Innovation with Firm Level Data

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Samuel Kortum, December 2008. - EPWP #08 - 11

  4. Historical Foundations of American Technology

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Gavin Wright, December 2008. - EPWP #08 - 10

  5. Immigration and Labor Force Trends

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by B. Lindsay Lowell, December 2008. - EPWP #08 - 09

  6. Innovation as Viewed from Within the Corporation

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Jim Lichtenberg and Christopher Woock, December 2008. - EPWP #08 - 08

  7. Technological Change and Earnings Polarization: Implications for Skill Demand and Economic Growth

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by David Autor, December 2008. - EPWP #08 – 07

  8. dynamics of spatial agglomeration in China: an empirical assessment

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ana Isabel Moreno-Monroy, December 2008. - EPWP #08 – 06

  9. CEO Challenge 2008: Top 10 Challenges – Financial Crisis Edition

    November 2008 | CEO Challenge®

    This special Financial Crisis Edition highlights differences between the original CEO Survey responses and the updated responses, and compares results between the United States, Europe, and Asia.

  10. Can They Take It? What Happens When Older Employees Work Overtime

    November 2008 | Executive Action Report

    Overtime is a key to profitability for many employers, and a boost to the paychecks of their employees. But is there a concomitant cost when, as is often the case, senior employees work extra hours?

  11. Business Cycles in the Euro Area Defined with Coincident Economic Indicators and Predicted with Leading Economic Indicators

    November 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin, Victor Zarnowitz, November 2008. - EPWP #08 – 04

  12. Measuring Changes in Competitiveness in Chinese Manufacturing Industries Across Regions in 1995 – 2004: An Unit Labor Cost Approach

    July 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian W. Chen, Harry X. Wu, Bart van Ark, June 2008. - EPWP #08 – 03

  13. Intangible Capital and the Market to Book Value Puzzle

    June 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Charles Hulten and Janet Hao, June 2008. - EPWP #08 – 02

  14. Growing Beyond Oil: Productivity, Performance, and Progress in the Countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council

    June 2008 | Research Report

    Gulf countries must shake their dependence on oil and gas, diversify their economic base, and introduce labor and capital market reforms to ensure long-term prosperity now, before the oil runs out.

  15. Weights & Measures: What Employers Should Know about Obesity — Key Findings

    May 2008 | Key Findings

    This report shines a spotlight on obesity, and offers some solutions, and the potential rewards and risks of taking action.

  16. Speaking with Authority—the Case for Teaching English Language Proficiency on the Job

    May 2008 | Executive Action Report

    With more foreign-born workers in the U.S. labor force, the need for on-the-job language training is greater ¾there is evidence it pays dividends in terms of employee engagement and productivity.

  17. On the Measurement and Analysis of Aggregate Economic Activity for China: The Coincident Economic Indicators Approach

    April 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Feng Guo, Ataman Ozyildirim, Victor Zarnowitz, April 2008. - EPWP #08 – 01

  18. Performance 2008: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    March 2008 | Research Report

    Productivity growth in the BRIC countries was four times that of the United States, Europe, and Japan in 2008, but productivity levels in established economies remain much higher—for now.

  19. Investing in the Future—the Importance of Cross-Sector Partnerships in Improving Workforce Readiness

    February 2008 | Executive Action Report

    Partnering with governmental and non-governmental stakeholders allows the business community to instill the values of accountability and responsibility into education, fostering innovation and productivity in the process.

2007

  1. Mid-Market CEO Challenge: 2007 Edition

    December 2007 | CEO Challenge®

    This survey based report provides an overview of the challenges currently faced by CEOs in the mid-market sector.

  2. Contribution of Restructuring and Reallocation to China's Productivity and Growth

    December 2007 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Haiyan Deng, John Haltiwanger, Robert McGuckin, Jianyi Xu, Yaodong Liu, and Yuqi Liu, December 2007. - EPWP #07 – 04

  3. Persistent Business Cycles and High Economic Growth: How to Explain Their Long Concurrence in Modern Capitalism?

    December 2007 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Victor Zarnowitz, December 2007. - EPWP #07 – 03

  4. Innovation, Intangibles and Economic Growth: Towards A Comprehensive Accounting of the Knowledge Economy

    December 2007 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark and Charles R. Hulten, December 2007. - EPWP #07 – 02

  5. Can China's Growth Trajectory Be Sustained?

    December 2007 | Research Report

    China’s turbo growth rate, fueled by exports, is about to become an issue for other countries and especially for foreign businesses operating in China.

  6. China’s Productivity Boom: The Contribution of Restructuring to Growth and Competitiveness

    December 2007 | Research Report

    While Chinese firms still operate at productivity levels well below those of their foreign counterparts, they are making startling progress.

  7. A Marketer's Guide to Discretionary Income

    November 2007 | Research Report

    About 73 million households in the United States have some discretionary income at their disposal, up from nearly 57 million in 2002.

  8. Manufacturing In China Today: Employment And Labor Compensation

    November 2007 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Judith Banister, November 2007. - EPWP #07 – 01

  9. CEO Challenge 2007
    Top 10 Challenges

    October 2007 | Research Report

    According to the results of the 2007 CEO Challenge Survey, execution is taking precedence over profit and top-line growth as a focus for CEOs around the world.

  10. Growth in the Middle East Depends on Productivity

    February 2007 | Executive Action Report

    Although GDP growth in the Middle East has been strong for several years, stagnant productivity levels and the lack of a large middle class may limit the region’s growth potential.

  11. Is ICT's Contribution to Productivity Growth Peaking?

    January 2007 | Executive Action Report

    Low U.S. productivity growth in 2006 raises the question of whether information and communication technology (ICT) has run its course or remains a dominate driver of growth.

2006

  1. Competitive Advantage of “Low-Wage” Countries Often Exaggerated

    October 2006 | Executive Action Report

    When adjusting wages for productivity, the cost advantage to companies of "low-wage" countries and regions such as China, India, Mexico, or Central and Eastern Europe over North America and Western Europe is smaller than you think.

  2. Europe's Productivity Gap: Catching Up or Getting Stuck?

    June 2006 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart Van Ark, June 2006. - EPWP #06 - 02

  3. Appendices to "Internationally Comparable Science, Technology and Competitiveness Indicators"

    June 2006 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin, Bart van Ark, Sean M. Dougherty and Robert Inklaar, May 2006. - EPWP #06 – 01

  4. CEO Challenge 2006: Perspectives & Analysis

    June 2006 | CEO Challenge®

    Summary and analysis of findings from this year's CEO Challenge Survey.

  5. Are They Really Ready To Work?

    May 2006 | Key Findings

    This report defines workforce readiness by examining survey results and interviews with Human Resource and other senior executives.

  6. Is Avian Flu the Next Y2K? Can We Afford To Think So?

    May 2006 | Executive Action Report

    Coping with a potential pandemic requires a different approach to continuity planning. Is your company preparing properly?

2005

  1. Looking for Employees in All the Right Places

    December 2005 | Executive Action Report

    The buzz may be about the Internet and job boards, but recruiters shouldn’t write off that old stand-by—newspaper help-wanted print advertising.

  2. CEO Challenge 2006: Top 10 Challenges

    November 2005 | Research Report

    This study, based on responses by over 500 Chief Executive Officers to this year's CEO Challenge 2006 Survey, provides an overview of the "Top 10 Challenges".

  3. Gulf Coast Hurricanes: Assessing the Economic Impact

    October 2005 | Executive Action Report

    Despite their enormity, soaring energy prices, and slowing economic growth, hurricanes Katrina and Rita were not powerful enough to push the U.S. economy into recession.

  4. Performance 2005: Productivity, Employment and Income in the World’s Economies

    May 2005 | Research Report

    This is the fifth year The Conference Board has reported estimates of productivity per hour worked for major industrial economies and productivity per employee for a large set of countries.

  5. Revolution in Retail Trade

    April 2005 | Executive Action Report

    Barcodes and universal product codes (UPCs) transformed retail trade in the 1990s; radio frequency identification looks as if it will be the next revolution.

  6. Mid-Market CEO Challenge

    March 2005 | Research Report

    This report, based on the 2004 CEO Challenge Survey, highlights the most important issues confronting mid-market CEOs.

  7. Retail Revolution - Can Europe Match U.S. Productivity Performance?

    March 2005 | Research Report

    U.S. retailers have been able to boost their operational effectiveness in a way that many European firms have not, mainly because of Europe’s regulatory obstacles and relatively slow pace of change.

  8. Sound Fundamentals, Troubling Trends: U.S. Consumers Can’t Carry the Global Economy Indefinitely

    January 2005 | Executive Action Report

    Markets seem to view a U.S. slowdown as bad for America and good for everyone else; in actuality, nothing could be further from the truth.

  9. Discretionary Income Trends: An Overview

    January 2005 | Executive Action Report

    A new study finds that the number of U.S. households with discretionary income rose over a five year period. Can the same be said for the proportion of households with discretionary income?

  10. EU Labor Productivity and Employment Improve in 2004—but U.S. Still Leads

    January 2005 | Executive Action Report

    Productivity and employment growth accelerated in the European Union, but the United States improved at about double the EU-25 growth rates. Will Europe be able to maintain and improve upon these results to reach global prosperity?

  11. Hispanic Market in 2010

    January 2005 | Executive Action Report

    By the close of the decade, Hispanics in the US are expected to represent more than $670 billion in spending power. Marketers will wish to take advantage of this opportunity, but do they understand this population well enough to do so?

2004

  1. CEO Challenge 2004: Perspectives and Analysis

    November 2004 | CEO Challenge®

    This report, based on The Conference Board's CEO Challenge 2004 Survey project, presents the findings of in-depth interviews with 11 CEOs from multinational companies, along with data and analysis of survey respondents' top priorities.

  2. International Comparisons of R&D Expenditure: Does an R&D PPP make a difference?

    November 2004 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Sean M. Dougherty, Robert Inklaar, Robert H. McGuckin, and Bart Van Ark, October 2004. - EPWP #04 - 03

  3. CEO Challenge 2004: Top Ten Challenges (Executive Summary)

    August 2004 | Research Report

    This study, based on responses by over 500 Chief Executive Officers to this year's CEO Challenge 2004 Survey, provides an overview of the "Top 10 Challenges".

  4. What Role for the Private Sector in Public Statistics?

    August 2004 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin, August 2004. - EPWP #04 - 02

  5. Structure of Business R&D: Recent Trends and Measurement Implications

    August 2004 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin, Robert Inklaar, Bart Van Ark, and Sean M. Dougherty, August 2004. - EPWP #04 - 01

  6. China’s Experience with Productivity and Jobs

    June 2004 | Research Report

    China is losing manufacturing jobs even faster than the developed world and must not only reemploy its workers, but also shift from exporting to serving its own billion domestic consumers.

  7. Performance 2004

    May 2004 | Research Report

    This year’s report - the fourth annual in the series - covers economic performance through the end of 2003 by comparing productivity levels and growth rates of national economies.

  8. Do Exchange Rates Matter?

    May 2004 | Research Report

    Our global survey finds that exchange rate risk may impact market opportunity or perceptions of market opportunity, but it does not have a large independent effect on foreign investment decisions.

  9. Can Manufacturing Survive in Advanced Countries?

    March 2004 | Executive Action Report

    Job losses remain high in the manufacturing industry in the U.S. and in other developed nations, and are not being made up by greater job creation in expansions. What is the long-term impact of such job losses on a country’s ability to compete globally?

  10. New Member States Will Raise Productivity Growth of Enlarged European Union—but U.S. Lead Still Strong

    February 2004 | Executive Action Report

    Structural reforms in Central and Eastern Europe will significantly boost productivity growth in the European Union. Despite this growth, the United States is significantly ahead of the newly enlarged European Union.

  11. Consumer Trends...Why People Shop Online

    January 2004 | Executive Action Report

    Online retail appears to be mostly about the price, with nearly half of all online shoppers claiming bargain hunting as their motive.

2003

  1. Affluent Population: Current Assets and Future Demographics

    October 2003 | Executive Action Report

    The number of affluent households in the United States will continue to increase over the next seven years, according to a recent study. The report also finds despite recent financial setbacks, the portfolios of the well-to-do remain healthy.

  2. CEO Challenge 2003: Top Marketplace and Management Issues

    October 2003 | CEO Challenge®

    This annual report presents the views of CEOs, Chairmen, and Founders on both current forces in the marketplace and the trends they expect to face in 2008.

  3. ICT and Productivity in Europe and the United States: Where Do the Differences Come From?

    October 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, and Robert H. McGuckin, October 2003. - EPWP #03 – 05

  4. Public Trust in Financial Markets Makes Modest Comeback

    July 2003 | Executive Action Report

    Despite a slew of recent corporate scandals, a survey reveals that consumer trust of corporate managers, markets, and earnings reports steadily increased from September 2002 through May of 2003.

  5. Real-Time Tests of the Leading Economic Index: Do Changes in the Index Composition Matter?

    June 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin and Ataman Ozyildirim, June 2003. - EPWP #03 – 04

  6. International Comparisons of R&D Expenditure: Does an R&D PPP make a difference?

    June 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Sean M. Dougherty, Robert Inklaar, Robert H. McGuckin, and Bart Van Ark, July 2003. - EPWP #03 - 03

  7. Employment Effects of the 'New Economy' A Comparison of the European Union and the United States

    March 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, Robert H. McGuckin, and Marcel P. Timmer, March 2003. - EPWP #03 - 02

  8. Performance 2002: Productivity, Employment, and Income in the World’s Economies

    March 2003 | Research Report

    This report compares productivity levels and growth rates of national economies and explains why Europe continues to lag behind the U.S. in per capita income, despite very comparable levels of productivity.

  9. A More Timely and Useful Index of Leading Indicators

    February 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin, Ataman Ozyildirim and Victor Zarnowitz, February 2003. - EPWP #03 - 01

  10. Security Today: The New Global Context

    January 2003 | Executive Action Report

    The most difficult aspect of the global security challenge is in understanding how to bring prosperity to poor countries. Government and international programs need to rethink their approaches to the incentive and market structures that drive prosperity.

  11. Productivity and Global Competitiveness... Despite Cyclical Downturn, Structural Trends in Productivity Remain in Place Into 2003

    January 2003 | Executive Action Report

    As the United States began to emerge from recession, labor productivity growth rebounded sharply in 2002. In Europe, however, it was another story—productivity growth slowed substantially.

2002

  1. 'Changing Gear' - Productivity, ICT and Services Industries: Europe and the United States

    December 2002 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, and Robert H. McGuckin, December 2002. Click here to obtain the basic data: http://www.ggdc.net/ - EPWP #02 - 02

  2. CEO Challenge: Top Marketplace and Management Issues-2002

    October 2002 | Research Report

    Our annual survey of more than 700 global CEOs leads strongly to the conclusion that CEOs and their senior managers are most concerned with the kinds of decisions and actions that are appropriate to a time of turmoil and transparency.

  3. Women in Leadership: A European Business Imperative

    July 2002 | Executive Action Report

    When an organization puts women in key leadership positions they become a magnet for talented women and men.

  4. Europe Vs. The United States: Which Industries are Leading the Productivity Race?

    June 2002 | Executive Action Report

    Good and bad news for Europe, technology as a growth factor, ICT vs. non-ICT sectors, and industry leaders and laggards.

  5. North American Outlook 2002-2003

    May 2002 | Research Report

    The Conference Board’s economic forecasts for Canada, the United States, and Mexico in 2002-2003.

  6. Don't Underestimate China: Why Chinese Businesses Can Grow Into Serious International Competitors

    May 2002 | Executive Action Report

    Businesses that follow conventional wisdom and assume that Chinese-owned enterprises will be weak competitors on the international business stage may be unpleasantly surprised.

  7. Effects of Federalism and Privatization on Productivity in Chinese Firms

    January 2002 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Sean M. Dougherty and Robert H. McGuckin, January 2002. - EPWP #02 - 01

  8. Restructuring Chinese Enterprises: Effects of Federalism and Privatization Initiatives on Business

    January 2002 | Research Report

    Although joining the WTO will most likely accelerate China’s liberalization, its ongoing transition to a market economy owes much of its success to market-enhancing federalism.

2001

  1. Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles

    December 2001 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Victor Zarnowitz and Ataman Ozyildirim, December 2001. - EPWP #01 - 03

  2. Compensation in a Changed Economy

    November 2001 | Executive Action Report

    A survey of HR council members looks at the effects of the economic downturn and September 11 on companies' 2002 compensation plans.

  3. Tomorrow Is Not Yesterday

    October 2001 | Executive Action Report

    Commentary on the post-September 11th global economic environment.

  4. Making the Most of the Information Age: Productivity and Structural Reform in the New Economy

    October 2001 | Research Report

    Using new, internationally comparative evidence, this study examines the patterns of information and communication technology diffusion across advanced industrial economies.

  5. Why All the Uncertainty, Fear and Doubt? Are Mergers and Acquisitions Bad for Workers?

    June 2001 | Research Report

    This study examines the effects of ownership changes on employment, wages, and plant closing for the entire U.S. manufacturing sector for the period 1977-1987.

  6. Business Cycle Indicators Handbook

    June 2001 | Book

    The Business Cycle Indicators Handbook, describes in detail the series in the BCI report and database, and includes articles discussing the value and use of the cyclical indicator approach.

  7. Workforce Diversity and Productivity: An Analysis of Employer-Employee Match Data

    April 2001 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    Arguments in support of workplace diversity suggest that we are a better society when we work together, but the actual economic costs and benefits to workforce diversity are unclear.

  8. Performance 2000: Productivity, Employment, and Income in the World's Economies

    March 2001 | Research Report

    U.S. productivity growth in 2000 continues to outpace the rest of the world, while Europe, although making progress on employment growth, continues to experience decelerating productivity growth.

  9. CEO Challenge: Top Marketplace and Management Issues 2001

    January 2001 | Research Report

    When asked to rank their top marketplace challenges for 2001, chief executives chose changes in the type and level of competition, the impact of the internet, and industry consolidation.

  10. Old and the New in the U.S. Economic Expansion

    January 2001 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    How does the expansion of real economic activity in the United States since 1991 compare with its historical precedents in terms of length, strength, composition, and sources?

2000

  1. Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators: How to Make it More Timely

    November 2000 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin, Ataman Ozyildirim and Victor Zarnowitz, November 2000. - EPWP #00 - 01

  2. Computers and Productivity: Are Aggregation Effects Important?

    August 2000 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh, August 2000. - EPWP #00 - 04

  3. Does A Rising Tide Lift All Boats?

    June 2000 | Research Report

    America's full-time working poor reap limited gains in the new economy; since the mid-1970s, long-term economic growth has had little impact on poverty among full-time workers.

  4. Do Computers Make Output Harder to Measure?

    April 2000 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh, April 2000. - EPWP #00 - 03

  5. Impact of Vintage and Survival on Productivity: Evidence from Cohorts of U.S. Manufacturing Plants

    February 2000 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by J. Bradford Jensen, Robert H. McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh, February 2000. - EPWP #00 - 02

  6. Are Poor Nations Closing the Gap in Living Standards?: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    January 2000 | Research Report

    Have globalization's benefits spread worldwide? We address GDP growth as well as alternative measures of living standards to take up the question.

  7. Perspectives on a Global Economy

    January 2000 | Research Report

    Real per-capita income worldwide has grown more than 2 percent per year on average since 1950, but the income gap between OECD countries and many poorer countries has increased.

1999

  1. Measuring Prices in a Dynamic Economy: Re-Examining the CPI

    October 1999 | Research Report

    Nine recommendations from a blue-ribbon panel of economists on how to improve the way that the Consumer Price Index tracks prices in our ever-evolving economy.

  2. CEO Challenge: Top Marketplace and Management Issues

    June 1999 | Research Report

    What are the top bosses thinking? Find out in this survey, where more than 650 CEOs say what's on their minds.

  3. Euro-What Impact Will It Have on European Labor Markets: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    February 1999 | Research Report

    Unlike the United States, Europe experienced reductions in the number of hours of work as well as lower proportions of the total population in the work force in the 1990s.

  4. Understanding Productivity Growth: Entry, Survival, and the Competitive Process

    February 1999 | Research Report

    Do new plants outperform old plants? According to analysis in this report, the answer is yes.

1998

  1. Asia After the Crisis—Challenges for a Return to Rapid Growth: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    July 1998 | Research Report

    What will happen when the current crisis in Asia abates? Is the long-term outlook favorable? Find out in this report.

  2. Computers, Productivity, and Growth: Explaining the Computer Productivity Paradox

    April 1998 | Research Report

    Studies say that computers don't add to productivity, but that's not what our researchers found. Read their findings in this report.

1997

  1. Technology, Productivity and Growth: U.S. and German Issues: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    December 1997 | Research Report

    Measured productivity growth has been sluggish since the start of the worldwide technology boom. So, have computers really helped improve productivity?

Global Indicators

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