Growth, Productivity & Competitiveness Publications

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CEO Challenge®

  1. CEO Challenges in the Gulf Region

    April 2014 | CEO Challenge®

    CEOs in the Gulf region reported a significantly different set of priorities than did CEOs globally, with strategies that reflect the particular business challenges of a resource-rich, energy-dependent region.

  2. Conference Board CEO Challenge® 2014: People and Performance

    January 2014 | CEO Challenge®

    While CEOs see talent as the critical link in meeting their top business challenges, the 2014 CEO Challenge survey results show a heightened focus on customers and reputation and less concern about regulation and external risk.

China Center Publications

  1. China Center Chart of the Week: SLF injections are preemptive, not stimulative – and perhaps a baby step toward price-based monetary policy

    September 2014 | China Center Publications

    Last week, local news reports in China indicated that the PBoC is set to issue 500 billion RMB to the five largest commercial banks through a tool called the Standing Lending Facility (SLF). This caused a great deal of market speculation.

  2. China Center Data Flash: August data confirms Q3 weakness

    September 2014 | China Center Publications

    Economic data for August released last week was just plain bad—there’s no other way to put it. Growth momentum is undoubtedly on a downward trend in Q3, and the weaknesses were across the board.

  3. China Center Chart of the Week: No baby boom, but a baby bump

    September 2014 | China Center Publications

    China's change to its one-child policy is unlikely to promote a baby boom because working-age people in China today fear the extra burden and cost that a second child brings – and they are already struggling with familial obligations to care for their elders.

  4. China Center Quick Note: Changes to the One-Child Policy – Anticipating the Impacts

    September 2014 | China Center Publications

    In November 2013, China’s birth control policy was amended by the Communist Party's Central Committee. However, the potential effect of the new policy remains quite uncertain, and several different interpretations exist.

  5. China Center Special Briefing Paper: Re-Estimating Chinese Productivity

    September 2014 | China Center Publications

    In this second part of our Special Briefing Paper series, Dr. Harry X. Wu, Senior Advisor to the China Center, presents the second stage of findings from his 30-year-long work program to re-estimate the quantity and quality of Chinese economic growth.

  6. China Center Data Flash: Q2 Mini-stimulus already losing steam

    August 2014 | China Center Publications

    July data showed a clear sequential slowdown for the domestic side of China’s economy, with industrial production, investment, and consumer purchases all slowing in the month.

  7. China Center Chart of the Week: Credit growth in H2 – onward and upward

    August 2014 | China Center Publications

    As long as China’s current credit dynamics remain in play – and the credit intensity of growth continues to rise – fundamental reforms will necessarily have to be sidelined.

  8. China CEO Council Session Report -- Facing Change: Sustaining and driving growth during uncertain times in China

    August 2014 | China Center Publications

    A summary of discussion points, learnings, business issues, poll results, and member insights from the June 12, 2014, China CEO Council, hosted by The Conference Board in Beijing.

  9. China Center Data Flash: Unhealthy Q2 growth – pursuit of the target at the expense of reform

    July 2014 | China Center Publications

    China’s official Q2 GDP growth came in at 7.5 percent y-o-y, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics. Our alternative measures suggest that China is growing closer to 5.5 percent.

  10. China Center Data Flash: May data – the good, the bad and the ugly

    June 2014 | China Center Publications

    Sequential activity for industry and consumption clearly improved in April and May, but the investment environment remains weak overall.

  11. China Center Quick Note: The Opportunity in Xi’s “Re-Reform”

    June 2014 | China Center Publications

    Chinese President and Party Secretary Xi Jinping is indeed undertaking “reform” – it just doesn't involve marketization or more conformity with Western norms, at least not yet.

  12. China Center Commentary: China LEI showing more sluggishness ahead

    June 2014 | China Center Publications

    Risks to the downside are rising, with real estate at the top of the list of catalysts.

  13. China Center Special Briefing Paper: Re-Estimating Chinese Growth

    June 2014 | China Center Publications

    How fast has China’s economy really grown? The accuracy of any country’s GDP estimate is of critical importance to the business and policy community, both in-country and globally. [NOTE: updated version as of 20 June 2014]

  14. China Center Chart of the Week: Economic rebalancing is going in reverse

    May 2014 | China Center Publications

    China’s internal rebalancing efforts, which sought to increase consumption’s proportion in economic demand, went into reverse in 2013 for the first time in four years.

  15. China Center Quick Note: RMB band-widening -- Short-term volatility, long-term vulnerability

    April 2014 | China Center Publications

    The Chinese central bank announced a widening of the daily trading band for the US-CNY exchange rate last month. What are the ramifications of this change for economic policy?

  16. China Center Chart of the Week: Chinese Total Factor Productivity growth appears to have flat-lined

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Chinese TFP growth has been declining continuously — from 3.1 percent during the 2007–2011 period to 0.6 percent in 2012 to zero growth in 2013.

  17. China Center Chart of the Week: Labor productivity growth in China continues to slow – even from its low base level

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Labor productivity is a critical indicator because it is strongly related to living standard measures. The higher the relative level of labor productivity, the greater the chance for economic expansion.

  18. China Center Data Flash: Weak Jan-Feb data as expected – authorities are likely to goose growth soon

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Almost every single economic indicator that has been released through the first three months of this year – exports, industry, manufacturing, consumption, real estate, credit markets, stock markets – has disappointed.

  19. China Center Chart of the Week: China is gaining share of global manufacturing value addition

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    China’s global value chain (GVC) share in global manufacturing rose from 4.2 percent in 1995 to 16.7 percent in 2011, which is solid evidence of China’s manufacturing competitiveness.

     

  20. China Center Chart of the Week: ‘Buying’ 7.5 percent growth – what would it take?

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Slowing credit growth is incompatible with a 7.5 percent growth target, unless efficiency is significantly improved.

  21. China Center Chart of the Week: Moderating consumption growth rate evident in Chinese New Year’s data

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Although the growth rate remains robust, it is the lowest nominal year-on-year expansion for Chinese New Year sales in over a decade.

  22. China Center Data Flash: “Prudent” monetary policy so far ineffective

    March 2014 | China Center Publications

    Credit growth came in worryingly strong in January, despite the lowest monthly expansion of outstanding bank deposits on record.

  23. China Center Chart of the Week: Household consumption growth continuing to slow – and slow faster than GDP growth

    January 2014 | China Center Publications

    Household consumption growth in China is slower than officially reported GDP growth and decelerating faster. This trend suggests that an economic rebalancing in favor of consumption-led growth is not happening.

  24. China Center Chart of the Week: China Outlook -- Why we expect slower growth in 2014

    December 2013 | China Center Publications

    Our outlook for gradually slower growth in 2014 is a reflection of the current slowdown, which is part of an ongoing, structural transition of China’s economy.

  25. China Center Data Flash: Divergence -- The Financial Economy Outpaces the Real Economy

    December 2013 | China Center Publications

    Despite higher interest rates throughout the month of November, credit extension ramped back up and real estate activity shot up as well.

  26. China Center Commentary: The Muddle Kingdom -- LEI growth slows as policy inertia persists

    November 2013 | China Center Publications

    The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for China slowed in October due to weaker real estate activity.  

  27. China Center Data Flash: Flat growth in October as stronger exports offset slowdown in investment and credit

    November 2013 | China Center Publications

    October's economic data offered a mixed bag – investment and credit slowed, but exports and industrial production improved.

  28. China Center Data Flash: Q3 “rebound” will fizzle in Q4

    September 2013 | China Center Publications

    China’s official economic data continued to improve in August from July, as expected,
    but this momentum is not projected to last into Q4 2013.

  29. China Center Chart of the Week: Falling home production is an opportunity for services sector development (part 1 of 2)

    September 2013 | China Center Publications

    Chinese households are spending fewer hours per week onchildcare and other kinds of housework including grocery shopping, cooking, and doing laundry, which is releasing demand for services.

  30. China Center Chart of the Week: Home production trends highlight opportunity to boost household consumption of services (part 2 of 2)

    September 2013 | China Center Publications

    Except for house cleaning, Chinese households spend more time than their American counterparts on household production, and the viability of service sector market substitutions for this work has increased. 

  31. China Center Quick Note: Protecting the “home team” -- the flagging and flogging of the foreign-invested dairy sector

    September 2013 | China Center Publications

    Multinational consumer brands appear to be under attack from regulators and state-sponsored media in China—if not overtly, then at least with aggressive, “nonnational treatment.” >

  32. China Center Chart of the Week: Labor productivity performance enabled by reform – a key to China’s competitiveness gains

    July 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart demonstrates that China has done a good job catching up, and even surpassing, some emerging market peers on labor productivity. However, state-dominated sectors are dragging down productivity levels for the overall economy.

  33. China Center Quick Note: Barring the unexpected, China’s economy to downshift considerably, as a natural consequence of both size and maturation

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    In the latest update of The Conference Board’s Global Economic Outlook, we project that China’s trend growth rate will slow to 5.8 percent over the 2013-2018 period and fall further to 3.7 percent from 2019-2025.

  34. China Center Chart of the Week: Interdependence of Chinese and Japanese economies is much larger than their trade relationship

    January 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows China’s imports from and exports to Japan until the end of 2012, and uses Input-Output table analysis to calculate the amount the Japanese and Chinese economies impact one another, both directly and indirectly.

  35. China Center Chart of the Week: Rising unit labor costs underscore the imperative for economic transition

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows China’s unit labor cost – the average cost of labor per unit of output (ULC) – as a percent of the United States’ ULC. Growth in a country’s ULC is a key measure of its competitiveness.

  36. China Center Chart of the Week: Not so fast! Why China’s economy will continue to slow

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    The chart shows The Conference Board’s most recent medium- and long-term projections for trend growth in real GDP for China, broken down by contributions from labor, capital and productivity.

  37. China Center Chart of the Week: Investment and exports diminish as growth drivers, but remain critical to sustaining economy’s size

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    This chart underscores the importance of Consumption as a major driver of GDP growth in China, and suggests this has been the case since well before the global financial crisis of 2008 and the associated fall off in global export demand.

  38. China Center Chart of the Week: Increasing intangible investment not yielding commensurate increases in output

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    The US and Germany have generated increasing output per capita from their intangible investment, whereas China has not. R&D spending is part of the problem.

  39. China Center Chart of the Week: Intangible investment in China has grown rapidly – but is it efficient?

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    Despite the substantial top-line growth, it appears that overall spending on intangibles in China has largely been policy driven, rather than deriving from firm-level innovation.

  40. China Center Quick Note: China’s Consumption Paradox

    July 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note examines and explains the structural factors constraining household consumption in China, and the challenges China faces in transitioning to a consumption-driven economy.

  41. China Productivity: Labor Productivity by Ownership Type

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    This report measures China’s industry productivity by ownership type, comparing state-owned enterprises, privately owned domestic firms, foreign-invested firms, and smaller firms for the period of 1995-2009.

  42. China Center QuickNote: World Bank “China 2030” report – the calls mount for economic reform

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    In this QuickNote we examine some of the World Bank’s key findings, analyzing them alongside The Conference Board’s own research, and highlight areas of particular interest to China Center members.

  43. China Center QuickNote: Planning for opportunities in the event of over-slowing in China

    August 2011 | China Center Publications

    By David Hoffman, Vice President and Managing Director of The China Center

  44. China Productivity Quarterly

    April 2011 | China Center Publications

    This China Center report is the first in a regular series of productivity reports on China from The Conference Board. Our intention is to gradually “peel the onion” on productivity measurement and business issues in China.

Council Perspectives

  1. Sharing Safety and Regulatory Information along the Value Chain

    October 2013 | Council Perspectives

    The challenge facing many companies is that while on the surface their supply chain may appear clear, the opposite is often true when it comes to safety and regulatory information.

Economics Program Working Paper Series

  1. Knowledge Spillovers, ICT and Productivity Growth

    June 2014 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, and Cecilia Jona-Lasinio

    May 2014 - EPWP #14 – 02

    What are the channels through which intangible assets affect productivity?

  2. China's Growth and Productivity Performance Debate Revisited - Accounting for China’s Sources of Growth with a New Data Set

    February 2014 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Harry X. Wu January 2014 - EPWP #14 – 01

    There are several problems with official Chinese economic data that are often overlooked, including structural breaks in employment statistics and implausibly high labor productivity figures related to “nonmaterial” services.

  3. Brands as Productive Assets: Concepts, Measurement, and Global Trends

    November 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol A. Corrado and Janet X. Hao

    This paper finds that conventional measures misrepresent brand spending trends in the United States because those metrics do not take into account increased spending on social media and strategic marketing.

  4. Tracking Business Cycles in Brazil with Composite Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators

    August 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Aloisio Campelo Jr., Jing Sima-Friedman, Sarah Lima, Ataman Ozyildirim, Paulo Picchetti

    August 2013 - EPWP #13 – 06

  5. Imported Intermediate Inputs and Workforce Composition: Evidence from India's Tariff Liberalization

    June 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Shruti Sharma

    June 2013 - EPWP #13 – 03

  6. Modeling Trends, Cyclical Movements and Turning Points of the Chinese Economy

    June 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ataman Ozyildirim and Harry Wu

    June 2013 - EPWP #13 – 02

  7. Forecasting Chinese Households’ Demand from Home Production

    June 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Yabin Wang
    June 2013 - EPWP #13 – 01

  8. Recent Changes in Europe’s Competitive Landscape and Medium-Term Perspectives: How the Sources of Demand and Supply Are Shaping Up

    May 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Vivian Chen, Bert Colijn, Kirsten Jaeger, Wim Overmeer, and Marcel Timmer
    March 2013 - EPWP #13 – 05

  9. Intangible Capital and Growth in Advanced Economies: Measurement Methods and Comparative Results

    December 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, Cecilia Jona-Lasinio and Massimiliano Iommi
    December 2012 - EPWP #12 – 03

  10. Projecting Global Growth

    November 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, Ataman Ozyildirim and Bart van Ark
    November 2012 - EPWP #12 – 02

  11. Total Factor Productivity among Cities in China: Estimation and Explanation

    June 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Yan Xu and Shu Yu
    June 2012 - EPWP #12 – 01

  12. Projecting Economic Growth with Growth Accounting Techniques: The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2012 Sources and Methods

    November 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, and Bart van Ark
    November 2011 - EPWP #11 – 07

  13. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Long Tail of Digital Exclusion — A Comparison Between the UK and Chile

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ellen J. Helsper and Sergio Godoy-Etcheverry, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #7

  14. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Education

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Cor-Jan Jager, Jesse Bos, and Robbin te Velde, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #9

  15. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Public Sector Performance

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robbin te Velde, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #8

  16. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Mobile Communication and Social Capital in Korea and the U.S.— How Usage Patterns Predict Social, C

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Scott W. Campbell, Nojin Kwak and Richard Ling, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #2

  17. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Policy and Development of ICT—The Impact of Public and Regulatory Policy on ICT Sector Performance

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Raul L. Katz, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #1

  18. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Global Broadband Bonus: Broadband Internet’s Impact on Seven Countries

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Shane Greenstein and Ryan McDevitt, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #6

  19. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: The Impact of ICT on the Geographic Distribution of Employment

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vlad Manole and Randall Weiss, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #5

  20. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Towards Comprehensive Measurement of ICT’s Impact: Paying Attention to Society and Culture

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Katherine Schinasi and Ivy Schultz, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #10

  21. Impact of ICT on Production of Goods and Services: Who Captures the Benefits of ICT? The Case of Digital Books

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Janet Hao and Randall Weiss, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #3

  22. Towards Comprehensive Measurement of ICT’s Impact: Measuring the Impact of ICT on Health Care

    July 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robbin te Velde, Jesse Bos, and Reg Brennenraedts, July 2011. - ICTLinkedWorld #4

  23. Rising Wages: Has China Lost Its Global Labor Advantage?

    March 2009 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Dennis Tao Yang, Vivian Chen, Ryan Monarch, March 2009. - EPWP #09 – 03

  24. Cost Competitiveness of the Manufacturing Sector in China and India: An Industry and Regional Perspective

    January 2009 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Abdul Azeez Erumban, Vivian Chen, Utsav Kumar, January 2009. – EPWP #09 – 02

  25. Some Recent Changes in Economic Growth, Cycles and Volatility

    January 2009 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ataman Ozyildirim and Victor Zarnowitz, January 2009. - EPWP #09 – 01

  26. Entrepreneurs, Inventors and the Growth of the Economy

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by William J. Baumol, December 2008. - EPWP #08 - 12

  27. Technological Change and Earnings Polarization: Implications for Skill Demand and Economic Growth

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by David Autor, December 2008. - EPWP #08 – 07

  28. dynamics of spatial agglomeration in China: an empirical assessment

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ana Isabel Moreno-Monroy, December 2008. - EPWP #08 – 06

  29. Persistent Business Cycles and High Economic Growth: How to Explain Their Long Concurrence in Modern Capitalism?

    December 2007 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Victor Zarnowitz, December 2007. - EPWP #07 – 03

  30. Innovation, Intangibles and Economic Growth: Towards A Comprehensive Accounting of the Knowledge Economy

    December 2007 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark and Charles R. Hulten, December 2007. - EPWP #07 – 02

  31. Europe's Productivity Gap: Catching Up or Getting Stuck?

    June 2006 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart Van Ark, June 2006. - EPWP #06 - 02

  32. Appendices to "Internationally Comparable Science, Technology and Competitiveness Indicators"

    June 2006 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin, Bart van Ark, Sean M. Dougherty and Robert Inklaar, May 2006. - EPWP #06 – 01

  33. International Comparisons of R&D Expenditure: Does an R&D PPP make a difference?

    November 2004 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Sean M. Dougherty, Robert Inklaar, Robert H. McGuckin, and Bart Van Ark, October 2004. - EPWP #04 - 03

  34. Structure of Business R&D: Recent Trends and Measurement Implications

    August 2004 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin, Robert Inklaar, Bart Van Ark, and Sean M. Dougherty, August 2004. - EPWP #04 - 01

  35. ICT and Productivity in Europe and the United States: Where Do the Differences Come From?

    October 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, and Robert H. McGuckin, October 2003. - EPWP #03 – 05

  36. Employment Effects of the 'New Economy' A Comparison of the European Union and the United States

    March 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, Robert H. McGuckin, and Marcel P. Timmer, March 2003. - EPWP #03 - 02

  37. 'Changing Gear' - Productivity, ICT and Services Industries: Europe and the United States

    December 2002 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, and Robert H. McGuckin, December 2002. Click here to obtain the basic data: http://www.ggdc.net/ - EPWP #02 - 02

  38. Effects of Federalism and Privatization on Productivity in Chinese Firms

    January 2002 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Sean M. Dougherty and Robert H. McGuckin, January 2002. - EPWP #02 - 01

  39. Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles

    December 2001 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Victor Zarnowitz and Ataman Ozyildirim, December 2001. - EPWP #01 - 03

  40. Old and the New in the U.S. Economic Expansion

    January 2001 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    How does the expansion of real economic activity in the United States since 1991 compare with its historical precedents in terms of length, strength, composition, and sources?

  41. Computers and Productivity: Are Aggregation Effects Important?

    August 2000 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh, August 2000. - EPWP #00 - 04

  42. Do Computers Make Output Harder to Measure?

    April 2000 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh, April 2000. - EPWP #00 - 03

  43. Impact of Vintage and Survival on Productivity: Evidence from Cohorts of U.S. Manufacturing Plants

    February 2000 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by J. Bradford Jensen, Robert H. McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh, February 2000. - EPWP #00 - 02

Economics Watch Reports

  1. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    October 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Expectations about more monetary stimulus mount in an extremely fragile European economy.

  2. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    September 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging economies’ performance remain significantly uneven into second half of 2014

  3. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    September 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    GDP growth acceleration loses steam as the economy gets closer to full capacity.

  4. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    July 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Slow economic growth and disinflation continue through summer, keeping pressure on the European Central Bank.

  5. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    July 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    As the European Central Bank takes action for more support, the European economic outlook remains weak.

  6. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    June 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy is gaining traction heading into the second half of the year.

  7. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    June 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    An acceleration of growth seems unlikely in Europe.

  8. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    April 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Headwinds Are Affecting Growth Expectations for Europe

  9. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    April 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Economic growth is poised for some solid gains. The housing and labor markets are the keys to this improvement. The current path also suggests increased business investment for the remainder of the year.

  10. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    March 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging markets (EM) face a bumpy recovery road ahead, and impact on global economy in 2014 could be more significant than expected

  11. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    March 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    While europe’s short-term outlook continues to improve, risks to a sustained recovery persist.

  12. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    We view the winter slowdown in economic activity as a temporary pause. The eventual arrival of warmer spring weather should propel the housing and labor markets forward.

  13. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    February 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    The outlook for the European economy continues to improve, but headwinds persist.

  14. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    February 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging markets weakened in 2013, and there will only be moderate improvement in 2014.

  15. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    February 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    The European recovery continues to be slow, even though optimism increases

  16. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    February 2014 | Economics Watch Reports

    Economic growth was stronger than anticipated in the second half of 2013, and the faster pace of economic growth is expected to continue into 2014, although downside risks remain.

  17. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    December 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Europe sets on a path of moderate growth for 2014. Financial stabilization will positively contribute to this outlook, although some obstacles still remain.

  18. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    December 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Despite upward revision of GDP growth performance in Q3 and the Fed’s decision to start to taper its quantitative easing, GDP growth for 2013 will finish on a weak note.

  19. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    November 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy is ending 2013 with slow growth, in line with the overall sluggish performance for the year as a whole. However, stronger employment data and manufacturing surveys point to moderately firmer growth in 2014.

  20. Conference Board Economics Watch® European View

    October 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area outlook continues to improve, as a sluggish recovery seems underway. Even though Euro Area GDP improved in the second quarter, other important indicators still remain very weak.

  21. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    October 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Even with the government poised to re-open fully, the short-term shutdown likely shaved 0.45 percentage points from Q4 GDP growth, leaving it at a sluggish 1.7 percent annualized rate.

  22. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    September 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The economic outlook for Euro Area economies continues to improve, though growth for the region as a whole should be slow for the rest of 2013.

  23. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    August 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy is poised to accelerate to a moderately faster 2.5 percent annualized pace in the second half of the year, after strong fiscal headwinds held back growth in the first half of the year to a tepid 1.4 percent.

Executive Action Report

  1. Growing Value of Brands and Their Contribution to Worldwide Economic Growth

    July 2014 | Executive Action Report

    The contribution of brands is comparable to that of R&D in most advanced economies. Moreover, the wealthier a country grows, the more its companies spend on getting out their brand message.

  2. Is This the End of Work? Information Technologies and Labor Market Disruption: A Cross-Atlantic Conversation

    July 2014 | Executive Action Report

    So far, the digital revolution has produced technology but not jobs. What is the impact of technology on employment? Leaders from Canada, Europe, and the United States tackle this question.

  3. How Can Companies Make the Value of Intangibles More, Well, Tangible?

    June 2014 | Executive Action Report

    There is a critical need to develop better standards for measuring, reporting, benchmarking, and analyzing intangible investments.

  4. Building the Foundation of an Innovative Culture: Human Capital's Role in Making It Happen

    May 2014 | Executive Action Report

    Although most organizations agree that innovation is important for sustainability and growth, few do it well. To help reverse that trend in your organization, this report presents four recommendations and examples from top companies for innovation.

  5. Closing the Digital Entrepreneurship Gap in Europe: Enabling Businesses to Spur Growth

    March 2014 | Executive Action Report

    Small innovative companies in the information and communication technology (ICT) sector play an important role in energizing economic growth, but face many barriers, especially in Europe.

  6. Avoiding the Digital Desert

    November 2013 | Executive Action Report

    Globally, technology developments are taking place at an unprecedented and ever-increasing pace, but, in many respects, European policies and attitudes seem frozen in time.

  7. How Much Does Your Company Really Invest in Innovation?

    October 2013 | Executive Action Report

    Innovation is more than R&D. It includes the full range of activities needed to implement or commercialize new ideas. But how are those activities measured for bottom-line impact?

  8. Corporate Sustainability Disclosure in China

    October 2013 | Executive Action Report

    Environmental and labor regulations abound in China, but supervision and enforcement are seriously lacking. Chinese businesses acutely need more transparency, better disclosure, and better performance in sustainability.

  9. Scenario Planning: Opportunities for Mid-Market Firms

    September 2013 | Executive Action Report

    Forecasting works well in the short term, but it assumes today’s trends will be tomorrow’s. In the medium term, scenario planning helps companies prepare for the uncertainties of the future.

  10. Escaping the Sovereign-Debt Crisis: Productivity-Driven Growth and Moderate Spending May Offer a Way Out

    December 2010 | Executive Action Report

    Sovereign debt and fiscal deficits are strangling many advanced economies. Policy choices are complex, but there is an escape strategy that does not require draconian budget cuts or risky debt-financed stimulus spending.

  11. 2010 Productivity Brief: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    January 2010 | Executive Action Report

    The recession left its mark on global productivity, which fell in 2009. With recovery expected in 2010, advanced economies will see renewed productivity gains but continue to shed workers.

  12. A Crisis of Confidence

    January 2009 | Executive Action Report

    Despite ongoing concerns that the current economic crisis could end up resembling The Great Depression, data so far shows that this recession is in far better shape than the circumstances of 1929.

  13. Is ICT's Contribution to Productivity Growth Peaking?

    January 2007 | Executive Action Report

    Low U.S. productivity growth in 2006 raises the question of whether information and communication technology (ICT) has run its course or remains a dominate driver of growth.

  14. Competitive Advantage of “Low-Wage” Countries Often Exaggerated

    October 2006 | Executive Action Report

    When adjusting wages for productivity, the cost advantage to companies of "low-wage" countries and regions such as China, India, Mexico, or Central and Eastern Europe over North America and Western Europe is smaller than you think.

  15. China: Creating An Unlikely Edge In The Global Market Share Battle

    July 2005 | Executive Action Report

    In the quest for market dominance, is the ability to exploit the mass market more important than cutting edge innovation?

  16. Sound Fundamentals, Troubling Trends: U.S. Consumers Can’t Carry the Global Economy Indefinitely

    January 2005 | Executive Action Report

    Markets seem to view a U.S. slowdown as bad for America and good for everyone else; in actuality, nothing could be further from the truth.

  17. EU Labor Productivity and Employment Improve in 2004—but U.S. Still Leads

    January 2005 | Executive Action Report

    Productivity and employment growth accelerated in the European Union, but the United States improved at about double the EU-25 growth rates. Will Europe be able to maintain and improve upon these results to reach global prosperity?

  18. Can Manufacturing Survive in Advanced Countries?

    March 2004 | Executive Action Report

    Job losses remain high in the manufacturing industry in the U.S. and in other developed nations, and are not being made up by greater job creation in expansions. What is the long-term impact of such job losses on a country’s ability to compete globally?

  19. Productivity and Global Competitiveness... Despite Cyclical Downturn, Structural Trends in Productivity Remain in Place Into 2003

    January 2003 | Executive Action Report

    As the United States began to emerge from recession, labor productivity growth rebounded sharply in 2002. In Europe, however, it was another story—productivity growth slowed substantially.

  20. Europe Vs. The United States: Which Industries are Leading the Productivity Race?

    June 2002 | Executive Action Report

    Good and bad news for Europe, technology as a growth factor, ICT vs. non-ICT sectors, and industry leaders and laggards.

  21. Don't Underestimate China: Why Chinese Businesses Can Grow Into Serious International Competitors

    May 2002 | Executive Action Report

    Businesses that follow conventional wisdom and assume that Chinese-owned enterprises will be weak competitors on the international business stage may be unpleasantly surprised.

  22. Tomorrow Is Not Yesterday

    October 2001 | Executive Action Report

    Commentary on the post-September 11th global economic environment.

Global Debt and Growth Series

  1. Where Did Productivity Go? Can Incentives to Grow the Workforce Be Found?

    October 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    From 1990-2012, Japan’s gross debt/GDP increased from 68 percent to 237 percent. Today, productivity is low and falling, the workforce is shrinking, and deflation and debt-deflation risks loom large.

  2. Darkening Debt Picture Casts a Shadow over Germany's Stellar Growth Performance

    September 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    The German government’s current fiscal consolidation path seems appropriate, even though rising health costs will place upward pressure on expenditures while a shrinking labor force will diminish Germany’s tax base.

  3. Options for a Sustainable Long-Term Growth Path in Spain

    September 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    Spain’s accumulation of debt since 2008 is the product of a severe recession and having to bail out private banks, not precrisis fiscal mismanagement.

  4. Introducing the Global Debt and Growth Series

    August 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    This time (truly) is different: the current crisis, which has its roots in the asset bubble/housing crisis in the United States, has pervaded virtually every corner of the global economy.

  5. United States: A Need to Bridge the Political Divide

    August 2013 | Global Debt and Growth Series

    A political consensus must be formed to address the medium- to long-term fiscal challenges.

Key Business Issues

  1. Long Soft Fall in Chinese Growth: White Paper

    October 2014 | Key Business Issues

    Presented here with thorough detail and analysis are the trends, dynamics, and factors of the slowdown; China’s productivity crisis; the necessary policy reforms; and near-, medium-, and long-term projections for the MNC operating environment.

  2. Long Soft Fall in Chinese Growth: Business Realities, Risks, and Opportunities

    October 2014 | Key Business Issues

    China's economy growing by leaps and bounds is a thing of the past. How should multinational corporations adjust their investment and market strategies and prepare their organizations for sustaining and driving growth in this time of unprecedented change?

  3. From Not Enough Jobs to Not Enough Workers: What Retiring Baby Boomers and the Coming Labor Shortage Mean for Your Company

    September 2014 | Key Business Issues

    The retirement of baby boomers will create labor shortages in mature economies worldwide. This report covers implications for companies and actions they can take.

  4. From Not Enough Jobs to Not Enough Workers: STRATEGIC OVERVIEW

    September 2014 | Key Business Issues

    Is your organization at risk of labor shortages? This Strategic Overview covers the potential implications of labor shortages and what every function can do to mitigate there effects.

Key Findings

  1. Productivity, Performance, and Progress: Germany in International Comparative Perspective

    August 2009 | Key Findings

    This study argues that the key to a successful and sustainable growth strategy for any time and place is to find the optimal balance between labour productivity growth and labour input growth.

  2. Innovation and US Competitiveness: Reevaluating the Contributors to Growth

    May 2009 | Key Findings

    This report takes stock of the innovation capabilities of the U.S. economy, including hurdles to maintaining the nation's leadership position, and recommends some means and methods of overcoming those obstacles.

Research Report

  1. International Comparisons of Annual Labor Force Statistics

    September 2014 | Research Report

    The International Labor Comparisons (ILC) program prepares international comparisons of economic indicators across countries, pinpointing differences in labor market tightness, unemployment, and labor force participation in various population categories.

  2. Designing Global Businesses for Innovation and Growth

    August 2014 | Research Report

    Organization design can support innovation within a company. It creates the context for innovative activity and the means for delivering results to customers. But the alignment between organization design structures and innovation strategy can break down.

  3. Global Economic Growth Scenarios 2020: The Impact of Investments and Reforms across Seven Major Regions

    June 2014 | Research Report

    This report presents analysis of the global economy and seven major world economies—including four scenarios that depend on policy effects—so that leaders can make decisions that foster growth.

  4. Productivity and Digitalisation in Europe: Paving the Road to Faster Growth

    May 2014 | Research Report

    Productivity growth is the key to returning to a sustainable growth path in Europe, according to this policy brief, a joint publication between the Lisbon Council and The Conference Board.

  5. Charting International Labor Comparisons

    March 2014 | Research Report

    Compare national labor markets and international competitiveness through charts and accompanying insights. Charts highlight labor costs, labor productivity, and other comparable indicators for up to 38 countries, including emerging economies.

  6. Future ASEAN Leader: Leading Growth and Change in a Borderless World

    March 2014 | Research Report

    This groundbreaking report presents insights, concerns, and opinions of participants in the ASEAN Leadership 2.0 Project on what it will take to lead business in the ASEAN region going forward.

  7. Performance 2011: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    June 2011 | Research Report

    This report takes a detailed look at the drivers of output growth, comparing the contributions of labor productivity and employment across years and across more than 100 countries.

  8. Productivity, Performance, and Progress: Germany in International Comparative Perspective

    August 2009 | Research Report

    This study argues that the key to a successful and sustainable growth strategy for any time and place is to find the optimal balance between labour productivity growth and labour input growth.

  9. Innovation and US Competitiveness: Reevaluating the Contributors to Growth

    May 2009 | Research Report

    This report takes stock of the innovation capabilities of the U.S. economy, including hurdles to maintaining the nation's leadership position, and recommends some means and methods of overcoming those obstacles.

  10. Performance 2008: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    March 2008 | Research Report

    Productivity growth in the BRIC countries was four times that of the United States, Europe, and Japan in 2008, but productivity levels in established economies remain much higher—for now.

  11. Can China's Growth Trajectory Be Sustained?

    December 2007 | Research Report

    China’s turbo growth rate, fueled by exports, is about to become an issue for other countries and especially for foreign businesses operating in China.

  12. China’s Productivity Boom: The Contribution of Restructuring to Growth and Competitiveness

    December 2007 | Research Report

    While Chinese firms still operate at productivity levels well below those of their foreign counterparts, they are making startling progress.

  13. Performance 2005: Productivity, Employment and Income in the World’s Economies

    May 2005 | Research Report

    This is the fifth year The Conference Board has reported estimates of productivity per hour worked for major industrial economies and productivity per employee for a large set of countries.

  14. China’s Experience with Productivity and Jobs

    June 2004 | Research Report

    China is losing manufacturing jobs even faster than the developed world and must not only reemploy its workers, but also shift from exporting to serving its own billion domestic consumers.

  15. Performance 2004

    May 2004 | Research Report

    This year’s report - the fourth annual in the series - covers economic performance through the end of 2003 by comparing productivity levels and growth rates of national economies.

  16. Performance 2002: Productivity, Employment, and Income in the World’s Economies

    March 2003 | Research Report

    This report compares productivity levels and growth rates of national economies and explains why Europe continues to lag behind the U.S. in per capita income, despite very comparable levels of productivity.

  17. North American Outlook 2002-2003

    May 2002 | Research Report

    The Conference Board’s economic forecasts for Canada, the United States, and Mexico in 2002-2003.

  18. Restructuring Chinese Enterprises: Effects of Federalism and Privatization Initiatives on Business

    January 2002 | Research Report

    Although joining the WTO will most likely accelerate China’s liberalization, its ongoing transition to a market economy owes much of its success to market-enhancing federalism.

  19. Making the Most of the Information Age: Productivity and Structural Reform in the New Economy

    October 2001 | Research Report

    Using new, internationally comparative evidence, this study examines the patterns of information and communication technology diffusion across advanced industrial economies.

  20. Performance 2000: Productivity, Employment, and Income in the World's Economies

    March 2001 | Research Report

    U.S. productivity growth in 2000 continues to outpace the rest of the world, while Europe, although making progress on employment growth, continues to experience decelerating productivity growth.

  21. Are Poor Nations Closing the Gap in Living Standards?: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    January 2000 | Research Report

    Have globalization's benefits spread worldwide? We address GDP growth as well as alternative measures of living standards to take up the question.

  22. Perspectives on a Global Economy

    January 2000 | Research Report

    Real per-capita income worldwide has grown more than 2 percent per year on average since 1950, but the income gap between OECD countries and many poorer countries has increased.

  23. Euro-What Impact Will It Have on European Labor Markets: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    February 1999 | Research Report

    Unlike the United States, Europe experienced reductions in the number of hours of work as well as lower proportions of the total population in the work force in the 1990s.

  24. Understanding Productivity Growth: Entry, Survival, and the Competitive Process

    February 1999 | Research Report

    Do new plants outperform old plants? According to analysis in this report, the answer is yes.

  25. Asia After the Crisis—Challenges for a Return to Rapid Growth: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    July 1998 | Research Report

    What will happen when the current crisis in Asia abates? Is the long-term outlook favorable? Find out in this report.

  26. Computers, Productivity, and Growth: Explaining the Computer Productivity Paradox

    April 1998 | Research Report

    Studies say that computers don't add to productivity, but that's not what our researchers found. Read their findings in this report.

  27. Technology, Productivity and Growth: U.S. and German Issues: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    December 1997 | Research Report

    Measured productivity growth has been sluggish since the start of the worldwide technology boom. So, have computers really helped improve productivity?

StraightTalk®

  1. StraightTalk® Special Issue for All Members: Global Economic Outlook 2014

    November 2013 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist Bart van Ark comes in-depth analysis of the global economy and resulting projections for 2014, 2014-2019, and 2019-2025.

  2. StraightTalk®
    Global Economic Outlook 2013: Is the global economic speed limit slowing down?

    November 2012 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist.

  3. StraightTalk® Special Issue for All Members: Global Economic Outlook 2013

    November 2012 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist: Is the global economic speed limit slowing down?

  4. StraightTalk®
    Special Issue for All Members: Global Economic Outlook 2012

    November 2011 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist.

The Conference Board Review

  1. A Slow Transition: Economist Bart van Ark sees global growth picking up speed—just not as fast as anyone wants.

    April 2014 | The Conference Board Review

    In a Q&A, Bart van Ark, chief economist of The Conference Board, discusses and expands on his 2014 global economic forecast.

  2. When Innovation Isn't: By pursuing breakthroughs less indiscriminately, we may just get more of them.

    October 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    The first step to bridging the innovation gap is to cease labeling every new initiative as "innovation."

The Demand Institute

  1. A Tale of 2000 Cities

    February 2014 | The Demand Institute

    A study of how the sharp contrast between successful and struggling communities is reshaping America.

Global Indicators

  • Human Capital
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