Global Economies Publications

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2009

  1. 2009 Nobel Prize in Economics: Reflections from The Conference Board

    December 2009 | Executive Action Report

    This Executive Action report contains insights from expert researchers at The Conference Board that link Elinor Ostrom’s and Oliver Williamson’s work to today’s business concerns.

2010

  1. 2010 Productivity Brief: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    January 2010 | Executive Action Report

    The recession left its mark on global productivity, which fell in 2009. With recovery expected in 2010, advanced economies will see renewed productivity gains but continue to shed workers.

A

  1. Appendices to "Internationally Comparable Science, Technology and Competitiveness Indicators"

    June 2006 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Robert H. McGuckin, Bart van Ark, Sean M. Dougherty and Robert Inklaar, May 2006. - EPWP #06 – 01

  2. Are Bigger Banks Better?

    March 1999 | Research Report

    Do large bank holding companies do a better job of controlling costs and boosting profits than small ones? The answers—and the implications from them—might surprise you.

  3. Are Poor Nations Closing the Gap in Living Standards?: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    January 2000 | Research Report

    This report addresses GDP growth as well as alternative measures of living standards in order to take up the question of whether globalization's benefits have spread worldwide.

  4. Asia After the Crisis—Challenges for a Return to Rapid Growth: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    July 1998 | Research Report

    What will happen when the current crisis in Asia abates? Is the long-term outlook favorable? Find out in this report.

  5. Asia's New Era of Opportunity

    August 2004 | Executive Action Report

    Many changes have been made since the 1997-98 financial crisis in Asia. Can these changes provide Asian economies with a critical source of home-grown capital?

  6. Assessing the Risks of an Economic Downturn in Japan

    April 2011 | Executive Action Report

    The earthquakes, tsunami, and nuclear disaster in Japan will undoubtedly have a negative effect on Japan’s economy, but there is more to the story.

B

  1. Board Asia Newsletter

    September 2012 | Periodical

    Quarter Three 2012

  2. Board Asia Newsletter

    July 2012 | Periodical

    Quarter Two 2012

  3. Business Cycles in the Euro Area Defined with Coincident Economic Indicators and Predicted with Leading Economic Indicators

    November 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin, Victor Zarnowitz, November 2008. - EPWP #08 – 04

C

  1. 'Changing Gear' - Productivity, ICT and Services Industries: Europe and the United States

    December 2002 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, and Robert H. McGuckin, December 2002. Click here to obtain the basic data: http://www.ggdc.net/ - EPWP #02 - 02

  2. Can China's Growth Trajectory Be Sustained?

    December 2007 | Research Report

    This report explores the factors that appear to be driving China's turbo growth and addresses the question of just how long this extraordinary growth can continue.

  3. Can Manufacturing Survive in Advanced Countries?

    March 2004 | Executive Action Report

    Job losses remain high in the manufacturing industry in the U.S. and in other developed nations, and are not being made up by greater job creation in expansions. What is the long-term impact of such job losses on a country’s ability to compete globally?

  4. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s capital account liberalization is still a long way off

    April 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows China’s capital account in the Balance of Payments data, with positive numbers signaling credits (essentially money flowing into the economy in various forms) and negative numbers representing debits (net flows of assets held abroad).

  5. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s demographic shift has “officially” begun – at least according to the NBS definition

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows the breakdown of the Chinese population by age group. In January, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced that the country’s working age population (ages 15 to 59) shrank for the first time in 2012.

  6. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s falling returns on capital will cause slower growth or higher leverage (or both)

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    The chart shows The Conference Board’s estimation of the Marginal Product of Capital (MPK) for various countries, broken into two groups: lower income and higher income.

  7. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s intangible investment – high in absolute amount, small relative to conventional capex

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    China has spent a much larger amount on intangible investment, as a percentage of GDP, than other countries at similar, or higher, levels of development.

  8. China Center Chart of the Week: China’s manufacturing PMI should be taken with a growing grain of salt

    May 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows the performance of China’s official manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) since January 2010, along with the major subcomponents. We urge members to view this index with great caution.

  9. China Center Chart of the Week: Consumption is the most important driver of labor demand

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    This chart explores overall labor demand (i.e. both direct and indirect) generated by household consumption, government consumption, investment, and exports in China.

  10. China Center Chart of the Week: Do weak retail sales over the Chinese New Year holiday signal slowing consumption growth?

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart assesses the “real” (i.e. inflation adjusted to 2012 price levels) monthly Retail Sales of Consumer Goods statistic over the last 5 years, emphasizing the sales for Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday periods.

  11. China Center Chart of the Week: Formal bank loans - no longer the stalwart of Chinese finance

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows newly issued net Total Social Finance in China on a quarterly basis, broken down into its constituent parts. The share of non-bank finance has grown markedly.

  12. China Center Chart of the Week: Increasing intangible investment not yielding commensurate increases in output

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    The US and Germany have generated increasing output per capita from their intangible investment, whereas China has not. R&D spending is part of the problem.

  13. China Center Chart of the Week: Intangible investment in China has grown rapidly – but is it efficient?

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    Despite the substantial top-line growth, it appears that overall spending on intangibles in China has largely been policy driven, rather than deriving from firm-level innovation.

  14. China Center Chart of the Week: Interdependence of Chinese and Japanese economies is much larger than their trade relationship

    January 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows China’s imports from and exports to Japan until the end of 2012, and uses Input-Output table analysis to calculate the amount the Japanese and Chinese economies impact one another, both directly and indirectly.

  15. China Center Chart of the Week: Investment and exports diminish as growth drivers, but remain critical to sustaining economy’s size

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    This chart underscores the importance of Consumption as a major driver of GDP growth in China, and suggests this has been the case since well before the global financial crisis of 2008 and the associated fall off in global export demand.

  16. China Center Chart of the Week: Less and less growth from more and more credit

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows the credit intensity of Chinese economic growth in both nominal and real terms. Credit intensity refers to the ratio of new credit to incremental GDP growth in an economy, and the situation for China is becoming increasingly grim.

  17. China Center Chart of the Week: Not so fast! Why China’s economy will continue to slow

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    The chart shows The Conference Board’s most recent medium- and long-term projections for trend growth in real GDP for China, broken down by contributions from labor, capital and productivity.

  18. China Center Chart of the Week: Real household consumption increasingly hard to gauge using the monthly “Retail Sales of Consumer Goods” statistic

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart compares consumption in China as measured by the monthly “Retail Sales of Consumer Goods” statistic with the household consumption statistic derived from China’s quarterly Expenditure GDP and figures estimated by NBS’ Quarterly Household Survey

  19. China Center Chart of the Week: Recent jump in bank deposits likely boosted by new WMP regulations

    May 2013 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows changes in the stock of outstanding deposits in China’s banking system on a monthly basis, and the total outstanding deposit growth.

  20. China Center Chart of the Week: Rising unit labor costs underscore the imperative for economic transition

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    This chart shows China’s unit labor cost – the average cost of labor per unit of output (ULC) – as a percent of the United States’ ULC. Growth in a country’s ULC is a key measure of its competitiveness.

  21. China Center Data Flash: Continued deceleration into Q2

    May 2013 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – May 2013

  22. China Center Data Flash: Fragile rebound advanced in October

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – November 2012 (October 2012 data)

  23. China Center Data Flash: Fragility and uncertainty persist

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – December 2012 (November 2012 data)

  24. China Center Data Flash: Growth stabilizes in June, but weakness remains

    July 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – July 2012 (June 2012 data)

  25. China Center Data Flash: July disappoints – even investment growth levels off

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – August 2012 (July 2012 data)

  26. China Center Data Flash: May data send mixed signals

    June 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – June 2012 (May 2012 data)

  27. China Center Data Flash: New leadership show signs of reining in risk areas

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – March 2013 (February 2013 data)

  28. China Center Data Flash: September data - a glimmer of light, but not yet out of the tunnel

    October 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – October 2012 (September 2012 data)

  29. China Center Data Flash: Tug of war -- manufacturing down, infrastructure up

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    Data Flash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – September 2012 (August 2012 data)

  30. China Center Dataflash: Beware of the Chinese New Year Effect

    February 2012 | China Center Publications

    Dataflash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – February 2012 (January 2012 data)

  31. China Center Dataflash: February data point to weak first quarter

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    Dataflash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – March 2012 (February 2012 data)

  32. China Center Dataflash: Q1 growth rate masks underlying volatility

    April 2012 | China Center Publications

    Dataflash is a brief interpretive summary of China’s official monthly economic data release – April 2012 (March 2012 data)

  33. China Center LEI Commentary: A pick up in infrastructure investment remains the only driver of growth, but may ultimately become a burden

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, August 2012 (July 2012 data)

  34. China Center LEI Commentary: Accelerated bank lending supports LEI expansion in May

    July 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, May 2012 data

  35. China Center LEI Commentary: Increase in LEI slows, as real estate gives back gains from August

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, October 2012 (September 2012 data)

  36. China Center LEI Commentary: Increased volatility will likely characterize the second quarter, just as it did the first

    April 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, April 2012 (March 2012 data)

  37. China Center LEI Commentary: LEI boosted by the Chinese New Year

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, February 2013 (January 2012 data)

  38. China Center LEI Commentary: LEI expands moderately, but component volatility offers little certainty

    May 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, May 2012 (April 2012 data)

  39. China Center LEI Commentary: LEI growth stalled amid renewed tightening of policy measures

    April 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, April 2013 (March 2013 data)

  40. China Center LEI Commentary: LEI still increasing, but the outcome will be highly policy-dependent

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, March 2013 (February 2013 data)

  41. China Center LEI Commentary: Looking beyond month-to-month volatility – sustainability of current rebound not yet certain

    December 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, November 2012 (October 2012 data)

  42. China Center LEI Commentary: Real economic activity remains weak – credit alone drives the LEI in June

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive Comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, July 2012 (June 2012 data)

  43. China Center LEI Commentary: Real estate perks up the LEI in August – but it is unlikely to last

    September 2012 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, September 2012 (August 2012 data)

  44. China Center LEI Commentary: Slower LEI growth indicates the current rebound may be short-lived

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    Interpretive comments on The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for China, January 2013 (December 2012 data)

  45. China Center Quick Note: Barring the unexpected, China’s economy to downshift considerably, as a natural consequence of both size and maturation

    February 2013 | China Center Publications

    In the latest update of The Conference Board’s Global Economic Outlook, we project that China’s trend growth rate will slow to 5.8 percent over the 2013-2018 period and fall further to 3.7 percent from 2019-2025.

  46. China Center Quick Note: China’s Consumption Paradox

    July 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note examines and explains the structural factors constraining household consumption in China, and the challenges China faces in transitioning to a consumption-driven economy.

  47. China Center Quick Note: China’s “Elections” and the Future of Reform

    November 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note examines the policy imperatives for China’s new, recently “elected” leading group. MNCs should pay special attention to monitoring policy developments related to financial/credit market reform and State Owned Enterprise reform.

  48. China Center Quick Note: The Fourth Estate and China’s Reform Agenda

    October 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note assert that the emerging Fourth Estate phenomenon -- deep, fact-based investigative journalism -- is extremely important for MNC business planners to monitor as a presage to policy leanings and political-economy trends in China.

  49. China Center Quick Note: The Missing Tea Leaves

    August 2012 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note examines perennial data gap issues in China, and, more recently, the trend of disappearing data. The note provides much needed context about the history, political framework and utility of data publication in China.

  50. China Center Quick Note: Xi Jinping at the helm: command and control – or negotiate and cajole?

    March 2013 | China Center Publications

    This Quick Note assesses what China's incoming president might reasonably be expected to achieve given the limits necessarily imposed on him by the political system.

  51. China Center QuickNote: China’s Soft Side

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    Transitioning China to a consumption led economy is not just a matter of ratcheting down investment and stimulating consumption, and containing the vested interests that would work to block this path. Indeed, this is the relatively easy part.

  52. China Center QuickNote: Planning for opportunities in the event of over-slowing in China

    August 2011 | China Center Publications

    By David Hoffman, Vice President and Managing Director of The China Center

  53. China Center QuickNote: Returning Home—the conception of the Asian RMB and capital market zone

    December 2011 | China Center Publications

    By Ken DeWoskin – Senior Advisor and China CEO Council Program Director, The China Center for Economics and Business

  54. China Center QuickNote: World Bank “China 2030” report – the calls mount for economic reform

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    In this QuickNote we examine some of the World Bank’s key findings, analyzing them alongside The Conference Board’s own research, and highlight areas of particular interest to China Center members.

  55. China Productivity Quarterly

    April 2011 | China Center Publications

    This China Center report is the first in a regular series of productivity reports on China from The Conference Board. Our intention is to gradually “peel the onion” on productivity measurement and business issues in China.

  56. China Productivity: Labor Productivity by Ownership Type

    March 2012 | China Center Publications

    This report measures China’s industry productivity by ownership type, comparing state-owned enterprises, privately owned domestic firms, foreign-invested firms, and smaller firms for the period of 1995-2009.

  57. China: Creating An Unlikely Edge In The Global Market Share Battle

    July 2005 | Executive Action Report

    In the quest for market dominance, is the ability to exploit the mass market more important than cutting edge innovation?

  58. China’s 12th Five-Year Plan – Implications for Human Capital

    April 2012 | China Center Publications

    China’s 12th Five Year Plan emphasizes the “human factor” in economic development more than any previous FYP. This China Center report distills out the plan’s implications for human capital practitioners and executives concerned about HC issues in China.

  59. China’s Experience with Productivity and Jobs

    June 2004 | Research Report

    China has undergone extensive industrial restructuring. While these changes have led to enormous productivity gains, they are also closely linked to the rapid loss of manufacturing jobs.

  60. China’s Productivity Boom: The Contribution of Restructuring to Growth and Competitiveness

    December 2007 | Research Report

    While Chinese firms still operate at productivity levels well below their foreign counterparts, this report shows that they are making startling progress.

  61. Competitive Advantage of “Low-Wage” Countries Often Exaggerated

    October 2006 | Executive Action Report

    When adjusting wages for productivity, the cost advantage to companies of "low-wage" countries and regions such as China, India, Mexico, or Central and Eastern Europe over North America and Western Europe is smaller than you think.

  62. Constructing a Data Set on Labour Composition Change

    December 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Boele Bonthuis
    December 2011 - EPWP #11 – 04

  63. Constructing a Price Deflator for R&D: Calculating the Price of Knowledge Investments as a Residual

    October 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Carol Corrado, Peter Goodridge, and Jonathan Haskel
    October 2011 - EPWP #11 – 03

  64. CEO View . . .Managing through the Global Financial Crisis

    May 2009 | Executive Action Report

    CEOs of five of the world's leading companies predict that the current global financial crisis will leave its mark on how business is done in the future. But how, to what degree, and for how long?

  65. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    May 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    A recovery for the Euro Area has been delayed in part by continued weakness in business confidence. This issue also explores how prices and supplies of oil and natural gas may affect long-term growth prospects of Europe's economies.

  66. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    August 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    ECB promises to purchase short-term bonds of troubled countries has reduced financial instability for now. Long-term growth prospects in much of Euro Area remain uncertain, but expanding trade relations with China could help.

  67. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    September 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    ECB's decision to buy short-term sovereign debt and progress towards creation of European Stability Mechanism (ESM) has improved prospects for resolving Euro Area financial crisis, though many obstacles remain.

  68. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    June 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Greek elections and the Spanish bank bailout has raised financial instability in the Euro Area. As a result, continued strong economic performance in German has not offset losses in troubled economies.

  69. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    April 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    High youth unemployment and long-term demographic trends are both blocking a recovery in Euro Area household consumption.

  70. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    July 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Measures taken at June 28-29 EU Summit represent steps in the right direction, but have so far failed to restore confidence.

  71. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    June 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Outlook for Euro Area has become worse due to both increased financial turbulance related to banking crisis in Spain and elsewhere, and the implementation of austerity measures which represent a drag on economic growth.

  72. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    June 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    The 2011 GDP projection will prove easy to reach. Downside risks exist for 2012.

  73. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    October 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Debt Crisis and the Risk Of Recession Are Reinforcing Each Other

  74. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    February 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The ECB’s Longer-Term Refinancing Operations (LTROs) helped restore confidence. However, "troubled economies" must address structural and regulatory issues, which we address in this report.

  75. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    April 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area economy has faced additional instability during the past month after Spain revised its deficit target. This month, we examine how events in Spain and elections in France are affecting our outlook for the Euro Area economy in 2012.

  76. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    January 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The Euro Area looks to be in a mild recession

  77. Conference Board Economics Watch® - European View

    March 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Though the Euro Area economy appears to be stabilizing, elevated unit labor costs may impair the region’s growth prospects. This month, we examine labor costs, unemployment measures, and actions European countries are taking to become more competitive.

  78. Conference Board Economics Watch® China View

    February 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    China’s strong growth continues but inflation fears are sparking monetary policy action.

  79. Conference Board Economics Watch® China View

    April 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Tighter credit and weak consumer confidence, both reactions to high inflation, will probably create a drag on growth for Chinese economy in 2011.

  80. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    June 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging Market Growth to Gradually Slow in 2012, but Downside Risks Remain Strong

  81. Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View

    September 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Emerging markets: staying competitive amid slowing growth

  82. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    February 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Can short-term economic momentum be maintained in the face of strong headwinds?

  83. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    January 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Caution, uncertainty, and volatility underscore 2012

  84. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Cautiously Optimistic Outlook

  85. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    August 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Downgrade of U.S. Economic Growth

  86. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    November 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Economic growth poised to rebound in the second half of 2013

  87. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    November 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Economy on firmer footing, but sentiment still sour

  88. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    October 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Growth Still Stuck in the Slow Lane

  89. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    January 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Growth rebounds in second half, after fiscal drag in first half. This issue also includes results from CEO Challenge® survey which shows businesses look at internal strengths to better compete in what is poised to remain a slow growth environment.

  90. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    July 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Hot temperatures, but cool economy

  91. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    February 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Increasing positive trends in the U.S. economy, but can they be sustained?

  92. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    April 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    Once again economic activity started off the year on strong footing, to only lose steam heading into springtime. In this issue we also examine the shale gas and oil revolution to see if it can really be a game changer.

  93. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    May 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Recent employment, income, and business investment data indicate that economic growth is poised to dip below 2 percent in the current quarter, but trends in the leading economic indicators suggest that growth will accelerate modestly in the second half.

  94. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    June 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Scaling back growth expectations

  95. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    January 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    Stimulus will boost economic growth in 2011, but will it carry through to 2012?

  96. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    July 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy has no forward momentum and little help from monetary or fiscal policy. Future growth depends on whether U.S. businesses can escape the “commodity trap.”

  97. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    August 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. economy suffers from a lack of consumer demand, a cautious corporate sector that is not spending or hiring, and high inventory levels that will hold back production activity going forward.

  98. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    October 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The U.S. remains poised to at least partially fall off the “fiscal cliff".

  99. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    The domestic private sector of the U.S. economy has shown great resilience in the face of ongoing global uncertainty and dysfunctional government policy. However, we maintain our cautious economic outlook for 2013.

  100. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    September 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    The ongoing weakness in the U.S. economy has prompted the Federal Reserve to unleash its third round of quantitative easing. However, more quantitative easing is not the pancea that will quickly boost the economy.

  101. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    U.S. economy continues on a firmer path of expansion

  102. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    March 2013 | Economics Watch Reports

    U.S. economy still not fully in the clear with both the private sector and labor market far from robust and recently productivity growth has slumped. Moreover, dysfunctional government and tighter fiscal policy represent large downside risks.

  103. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    April 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    U.S. economy to resume moderate growth

  104. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    December 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    U.S. steps up while Europe slips

  105. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    December 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Underlying strengthening in U.S. economy will be delayed if fiscal drags become large

  106. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    September 2011 | Economics Watch Reports

    We are all in this together

  107. Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View

    June 2012 | Economics Watch Reports

    Winter optimism faded this spring. Recent economic data and rising uncertainty signal that the moderate acceleration in is unlikely. U.S. faces an enormous yearend fiscal cliff, but temporary measures should help avoid a large economic contraction.

  108. Conference Board® Labor Markets in Review™: Vol. 2, No. 1

    January 2012 | Periodical

    This periodical publication offers an expert perspective on the implications of current economic conditions on the labor market, with specific focus on the United States, Europe, and emerging markets.

  109. Conference Board® Labor Markets in Review™: Vol. 2, No. 2

    July 2012 | Periodical

    This issue includes an overview of the main economic and labor market conditions in the United States, Europe, and Asia, as well as several special topics.

  110. Contribution of Restructuring and Reallocation to China's Productivity and Growth

    December 2007 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Haiyan Deng, John Haltiwanger, Robert McGuckin, Jianyi Xu, Yaodong Liu, and Yuqi Liu, December 2007. - EPWP #07 – 04

D

  1. Despite the Chaos, Europe's Economies Are Regaining Competitiveness through Improvements in Unit Labor Cost Performance

    July 2012 | Executive Action Report

    Can Europe’s recent gains in productivity and lower unit labor costs be sustained?

  2. Do Exchange Rates Matter?

    May 2004 | Research Report

    This survey based report provides deep insights into whether—and how— exchange rate volatility shapes business investment decisions and risk management practices.

  3. Does A Rising Tide Lift All Boats?

    June 2000 | Research Report

    America's full-time working poor reap limited gains in the new economy.

E

  1. Escaping the Sovereign-Debt Crisis: Productivity-Driven Growth and Moderate Spending May Offer a Way Out

    December 2010 | Executive Action Report

    Sovereign debt and fiscal deficits are strangling many advanced economies. Policy choices are complex, but there is an escape strategy that does not require draconian budget cuts or risky debt-financed stimulus spending.

  2. Euro Area: Looking Through the Turbulence in Financial Markets

    June 2010 | Executive Action Report

    Despite the overwhelming sense of crisis in the Euro Area, recovery from the global recession is still underway.

  3. Europe Vs. The United States: Which Industries are Leading the Productivity Race?

    June 2002 | Executive Action Report

    Good and bad news for Europe, technology as a growth factor, ICT vs. non-ICT sectors, and industry leaders and laggards.

  4. Europe's Productivity Gap: Catching Up or Getting Stuck?

    June 2006 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart Van Ark, June 2006. - EPWP #06 - 02

  5. Europe’s Great Labor Market Divide

    December 2011 | Executive Action Report

    The gulf between the haves and the have nots in Europe will likely continue to put stress on the future of European unity and trigger even more intense debate about the future of the Euro Area itself.

  6. Employment Effects of the 'New Economy' A Comparison of the European Union and the United States

    March 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, Robert H. McGuckin, and Marcel P. Timmer, March 2003. - EPWP #03 - 02

  7. Euro-What Impact Will It Have on European Labor Markets: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    February 1999 | Research Report

    Work participation has fallen in Europe - will the Euro put more pressure on European workers? This study discusses the answer.

F

  1. Foreign Exchange Management: Creating Value Through Better Decision Making

    December 2009 | Key Findings

    Foreign Exchange Management: Creating Value through Better Decision Making gauges the impact of the financial crisis on FX management practices

  2. Foreign Exchange Management: Creating Value Through Better Decision Making

    December 2009 | Research Report

    Foreign Exchange Management: Creating Value through Better Decision Making gauges the impact of the financial crisis on FX management practices

  3. First Customers

    July 2011 | The Conference Board Review

    In a new market, you need to secure a foothold. World domination can come later.

G

  1. Growing Beyond Oil: Productivity, Performance, and Progress in the Countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council

    June 2008 | Research Report

    This report is part of a major research program on productivity, performance and progress in the Gulf Cooperation Council region which The Conference Board is running in conjunction with Gulf Investment Corporation (GIC).

  2. Growth in the Middle East Depends on Productivity

    February 2007 | Executive Action Report

    Can the Middle East and North African region overcome stagnant productivity levels and the lack of a large middle class with spending power?

I

  1. ICT and Productivity in Europe and the United States: Where Do the Differences Come From?

    October 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, and Robert H. McGuckin, October 2003. - EPWP #03 – 05

  2. India’s Demographic Transition: Boon or Bane? A State-Level Perspective

    September 2010 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Utsav Kumar
    September 2010 - EPWP #10 – 03

  3. Innovation and Intangible Assets Gaining the Competitive Edge in Economic Recovery

    January 2011 | Executive Action Report

    Intangible assets drive innovation and contribute much to a firm’s and a country’s competitive edge in the knowledge economy. It is time for a fresh look at how businesses look at these critical assets.

  4. Innovation and US Competitiveness: Reevaluating the Contributors to Growth

    May 2009 | Research Report

    This report takes stock of the innovation capabilities of the U.S. economy, including hurdles to maintaining the nation's leadership position, and recommends some means and methods of overcoming those obstacles.

  5. Innovation and US Competitiveness: Reevaluating the Contributors to Growth

    May 2009 | Key Findings

    This report takes stock of the innovation capabilities of the U.S. economy, including hurdles to maintaining the nation's leadership position, and recommends some means and methods of overcoming those obstacles.

  6. International Comparisons of R&D Expenditure: Does an R&D PPP make a difference?

    June 2003 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Sean M. Dougherty, Robert Inklaar, Robert H. McGuckin, and Bart Van Ark, July 2003. - EPWP #03 - 03

  7. International Comparisons of R&D Expenditure: Does an R&D PPP make a difference?

    November 2004 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Sean M. Dougherty, Robert Inklaar, Robert H. McGuckin, and Bart Van Ark, October 2004. - EPWP #04 - 03

L

  1. Linked World: How ICT Is Transforming Societies, Cultures, and Economies

    October 2011 | Research Report

    This report is based on a two-year global research project with the Telefónica Foundation. It aggregates several studies on how information and communication technology has affected societies, economies, cultural relationships, and human interaction.

M

  1. Making the Most of the Information Age: Productivity and Structural Reform in the New Economy

    October 2001 | Research Report

    Using new, internationally comparative evidence, this study examines the patterns of information and communication technology diffusion across advanced industrial economies.

  2. Manufacturing In China Today: Employment And Labor Compensation

    November 2007 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Judith Banister, November 2007. - EPWP #07 – 01

  3. Measuring Changes in Competitiveness in Chinese Manufacturing Industries Across Regions in 1995 – 2004: An Unit Labor Cost Approach

    July 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian W. Chen, Harry X. Wu, Bart van Ark, June 2008. - EPWP #08 – 03

  4. Mixing Politics and Business ... Conflict Everlasting?

    June 2003 | Executive Action Report

    Just how deep an impact the current atmosphere of distrust that pervades international political relations will have on global commerce depends on from which side of the Atlantic you view events.

N

  1. New Member States Will Raise Productivity Growth of Enlarged European Union—but U.S. Lead Still Strong

    February 2004 | Executive Action Report

    Structural reforms in Central and Eastern Europe will significantly boost productivity growth in the European Union. Despite this growth, the United States is significantly ahead of the newly enlarged European Union.

  2. North American Outlook 2002-2003

    May 2002 | Research Report

    The Conference Board’s economic forecasts for Canada, the United States, and Mexico in 2002-2003.

P

  1. A Perfect Storm: Europe’s Looming Pension Crisis

    January 2012 | Executive Action Report

    Europe’s pension crisis stems from three trends: benefits that are no longer supported by employee contributions, the recent recession, and Europe’s aging population.

  2. Performance 2000: Productivity, Employment, and Income in the World's Economies

    March 2001 | Research Report

    Examines accelerating U.S. productivity and the new challenges it provides to advanced economies.

  3. Performance 2002: Productivity, Employment, and Income in the World’s Economies

    March 2003 | Research Report

    This report compares productivity levels and growth rates of national economies and explains why Europe continues to lag behind the U.S. in per capita income, despite very comparable levels of productivity.

  4. Performance 2004

    May 2004 | Research Report

    This year’s report - the fourth annual in the series - covers economic performance through the end of 2003 by comparing productivity levels and growth rates of national economies.

  5. Performance 2005: Productivity, Employment and Income in the World’s Economies

    May 2005 | Research Report

    This is the fifth year The Conference Board has reported estimates of productivity per hour worked for major industrial economies and productivity per employee for a large set of countries.

  6. Performance 2008: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    March 2008 | Research Report

    This report is the first comprehensive overview of new data on productivity, growth, and employment trends through 2007 based on The Conference Board's and the Groningen Growth and Development Centre's Total Economy Database.

  7. Performance 2011: Productivity, Employment, and Growth in the World's Economies

    June 2011 | Research Report

    This report takes a detailed look at the drivers of output growth, comparing the contributions of labor productivity and employment across years and across more than 100 countries.

  8. Perspectives on a Global Economy

    January 2000 | Research Report

    A look at productivity and living standards around the world, and the impact they have on business.

  9. Productivity and Global Competitiveness... Despite Cyclical Downturn, Structural Trends in Productivity Remain in Place Into 2003

    January 2003 | Executive Action Report

    As the United States began to emerge from recession, labor productivity growth rebounded sharply in 2002. In Europe, however, it was another story—productivity growth slowed substantially.

  10. Productivity, Performance, and Progress: Germany in International Comparative Perspective

    August 2009 | Research Report

    This study argues that the key to a successful and sustainable growth strategy for any time and place is to find the optimal balance between labour productivity growth and labour input growth.

  11. Productivity, Performance, and Progress: Germany in International Comparative Perspective

    August 2009 | Key Findings

    This study argues that the key to a successful and sustainable growth strategy for any time and place is to find the optimal balance between labour productivity growth and labour input growth.

  12. Projecting Economic Growth with Growth Accounting Techniques: The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2012 Sources and Methods

    November 2011 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, and Bart van Ark
    November 2011 - EPWP #11 – 07

  13. Projecting Global Growth

    November 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, Ataman Ozyildirim and Bart van Ark
    November 2012 - EPWP #12 – 02

  14. Public Trust in Financial Markets Makes Modest Comeback

    July 2003 | Executive Action Report

    Two years after the Enron scandal focused spotlight on the excesses and abuses of corporations of all sizes and reputations triggering a crisis of public trust, there are signs that the public's confidence in financial markets is on the mend.

R

  1. A Rebuilding Year: In a slow-growth 2013, companies need to prepare for a new future.

    January 2013 | The Conference Board Review

    In TCB Review's annual Q&A with chief economist Bart van Ark, he elaborates on his generally downbeat 2013 global economic forecast.

  2. Recent Changes in Europe’s Competitive Landscape and Medium-Term Perspectives: How the Sources of Demand and Supply Are Shaping Up

    May 2013 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Bart van Ark, Vivian Chen, Bert Colijn, Kirsten Jaeger, Wim Overmeer, and Marcel Timmer
    March 2013 - EPWP #13 – 05

  3. Restructuring Chinese Enterprises: Effects of Federalism and Privatization Initiatives on Business

    January 2002 | Research Report

    This report examines the progress of China’s transition to a market economy by assessing how its program of increased federalism and more private ownership has affected business productivity.

  4. Restructuring for a Stronger European Union

    August 2004 | Executive Action Report

    If European policymakers greatly step up reforms, will it enable the European Union to become “the most competitive and dynamic knowledge-based economy in the world” by the end of the decade?

  5. Revisiting Japan a Year after the Earthquake: A Slower than Expected Recovery

    March 2012 | Executive Action Report

    One year after the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami in Japan, the country is still suffering the economic aftershocks.

  6. Retail Revolution - Can Europe Match U.S. Productivity Performance?

    March 2005 | Research Report

    This report dissects and identifies the root causes of the European Union-United States productivity growth gap in the retail and wholesale trade sectors.

  7. Role of Competitive Intelligence in Driving Growth

    April 2010 | Council Perspectives

    As companies emerge from a recession mentality they need to start priming for a return to growth

S

  1. Security Today: The New Global Context

    January 2003 | Executive Action Report

    The most difficult aspect of the global security challenge is in understanding how to bring prosperity to poor countries. Government and international programs need to rethink their approaches to the incentive and market structures that drive prosperity.

  2. Sound Fundamentals, Troubling Trends: U.S. Consumers Can’t Carry the Global Economy Indefinitely

    January 2005 | Executive Action Report

    Markets seem to view a U.S. slowdown as bad for America and good for everyone else; in actuality, nothing could be further from the truth.

  3. Still Squeezed: Austerity and inequality hold back the global economy

    January 2012 | The Conference Board Review

    Bart van Ark, chief economist of The Conference Board, offers an analysis and forecast of the global economy for 2012.

  4. StraightTalk®
    Global Economic Outlook 2013: Is the global economic speed limit slowing down?

    November 2012 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist.

  5. StraightTalk®
    Special Issue for All Members: Global Economic Outlook 2012

    November 2011 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist.

  6. StraightTalk® Special Issue for All Members: Global Economic Outlook 2013

    November 2012 | StraightTalk®

    From The Conference Board Chief Economist: Is the global economic speed limit slowing down?

  7. Strategies for Winning Government Business—and Making It Profitable, Too

    April 2010 | Executive Action Report

    How three midsize companies build relationships with federal and state agencies and avoid perils in the contracting process.

  8. Survival Lessons from Family Businesses

    April 2010 | Executive Action Report

    What accounts for the longevity and success over time- of these multi-generational family businesses? A Mid-market Conversation Starter.

  9. Sweat the Small Stuff to Improve Your Business Forecasts

    January 2012 | Executive Action Report

    While waiting for the clouds to part over worldwide economies, small and midsize businesses can do much to bring greater rigor to their short-term forecasts and eliminate costly errors.

T

  1. Technology, Productivity and Growth: U.S. and German Issues: Perspectives on a Global Economy

    December 1997 | Research Report

    Here's a hard look at "productivity" and the myth of the "computer productivity paradox."

  2. Tomorrow Is Not Yesterday

    October 2001 | Executive Action Report

    Commentary on the post-September 11th global economic environment.

  3. Total Factor Productivity among Cities in China: Estimation and Explanation

    June 2012 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Yan Xu and Shu Yu
    June 2012 - EPWP #12 – 01

U

  1. U.S. Workers Delaying Retirement: What Businesses Can Learn from the Trends of Who, Where, and Why

    May 2011 | Executive Action Report

    U.S. workers have been working longer and retiring later since the mid-1990s, but the Great Recession has put even greater pressure on workers to stay on the job.

W

  1. "What Do You Make Here?"

    May 2009 | The Conference Board Review

    In Chinese import/export, it's all about getting customers in the door.

  2. Where Are the Jobs?

    May 2011 | Executive Action Report

    Twenty-one months into the recovery, the U.S. economy has failed to add any jobs despite economic growth.

  3. Why All the Uncertainty, Fear and Doubt? Are Mergers and Acquisitions Bad for Workers?

    June 2001 | Research Report

    This study examines the effects of ownership changes on employment, wages, and plant closing for the entire U.S. manufacturing sector for the period 1977-1987.

  4. Will the Decline in Unit Labor Cost in Europe's Troubled Economies Help Improve Competitiveness?

    January 2013 | Executive Action Report

    An examination of the shifts in competitiveness in various European countries.

d

  1. dynamics of spatial agglomeration in China: an empirical assessment

    December 2008 | Economics Program Working Paper Series

    by Ana Isabel Moreno-Monroy, December 2008. - EPWP #08 – 06

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