China Center Chart of the Week: Assessing local debt risks and opportunities – regional debt and real estate dynamics

  • Authors:
    Andrew Polk
  • Publication Date:
    April 2014
  • Report Number:
    China-COTW-4-24-14

This special China Center Chart of the Week depicts China’s debt buildup over the past several years and highlights some of the regions that look to be most troubled from a financing standpoint. We identify eight provinces or provincial level cities that have seen their private sector debt-to-GDP ratios increase by 50 percentage points or more over the past five years, for an average increase of over 10 percentage points per year. This is a rate of buildup that is not sustainable and will likely lead to difficult
financial strains beginning this year.

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