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The Conference Board KnowlEdge Series™
Emerging Economies and the Evolving Economic Landscape: Will they Still be the Engines of Growth?
Dates: May 7, 14 and 28 at 11:00 a.m. EDT
Economists and corporate strategists alike have focused on emerging markets as the main source of economic growth in coming years. From the economists' perspective, emerging markets seemed the best hope for keeping the global economy expanding as the US unwound from the consumption binge of recent years. In addition, the healthy growth rates of emerging economies, especially China and India, made them the focus of strategic plans and ambitious investment for global corporations as well. The banking and financial tsunami that has engulfed advanced economies has also had a drastic effect on even the largest emerging economies. This series will examine how the current downturn has affected a group of countries, including China, India, Brazil, Mexico, Korea, Russia and the emerging economies of southeast Asia and emerging Europe. Discussions with senior executives from global companies with emerging market strategies will examine how their short and long term plans may or may not be changing in response to the evolving economic situation.
The Business Issue: What effect has the downturn had on emerging economies and what role will they play in the recovery and future growth of the global economy? How are companies viewing these markets? Will their strategy change appreciably in the short and long term?
Hosts: Bart van Ark, Vice President and Chief Economist, The Conference Board and
Utsav Kumar, Economist, The Conference Board.
Council, The Council on Innovation, The Conference Board
| Part 1: (30 min) From Rapid Growth to Free Fall: The Turbulent World of Emerging Economies (May 7, 2009 11:00 AM EDT) | ||
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Guest: Barry P. Bosworth, Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution This first session will look at emerging markets globally and give an overview of how they are faring in the economic downturn from an economic perspective. What factors are the most crucial for determining the long term effects of the current situation and how do these factors vary by country? What are the prospects for recovery in these economies and what are the timelines? |
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| Part 2: (30 min) Assessing the Opportunities: A Global Manufacturing Perspective (May 14, 2009, 11:00 AM EDT) | ||
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Guest: Bert DeGraeve, CEO, Bekaert From the perspective of a global manufacturer, has the attractiveness of these markets changed for the better or the worse? How should companies be thinking about investing in these markets? Has the game changed in any fundamental way? What is a useful analytic framework for assessing risks and opportunities in different markets? |
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| Part 3: (30 min) Can Local Consumer Markets Play a Bigger Role? (May 28, 2009 11:00 AM EDT) | ||
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Guest: Chris Delaney, President-Emerging Markets, Campbell Soup Company Beyond the immediate crisis, where will future growth come from? With American consumption declining, export growth will no longer be enough to fuel developing economies. Will their governments take the necessary steps to encourage local consumption? Are these countries still attractive markets for global companies seeking to enter or expand? Where are companies focusing their attention in the next 5-10 years? |
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Bart van Ark, Vice President and Chief Economist, The Conference Board
Bart van Ark leads a team of more than 20 economists who produce a portfolio of widely watched economic indicators and growth forecasts, as well as in-depth global economic
research. A Dutch national, he is the first non-U.S. Chief Economist in the 90-year history of The Conference Board. Van Ark is an internationally recognized expert in
international comparative studies of economic performance, productivity, and innovation. He previously was the organization's consulting director of international economic
research for 10 years, responsible for its annual flagship publication on productivity and instrumental in helping expand its comparative analytical capabilities to look at
productivity and labor- and consumer-market research across countries and regions.
Bert De Graeve, Chief Executive Officer, Bekaert
Bekaert is a global market leader in drawn steel wire products and applications and a technological leader in its two core competences: advanced metal transformation and advanced
materials and coatings. Bekaert is headquartered in Belgium and employes 23 000 people worldwide. Serving customers in 120 countries, Bekaert pursues sustainable profitable growth
in all its activities and generates annual combined sales of € 4 billion. Bert De Graeve was appointed CEO of Bekaert in 2006. He started his career in 1980 with Arthur
Andersen & Co. He joined Alcatel Bell in 1982 in the Finance Department. In 1991 he became General Manager Shanghai Bell Telephone Equipment Mfg. Cy in Shanghai. In 1994 he
was appointed Vice President, Director Operations, Alcatel Trade International in Paris and in 1996 as Director International Affairs, Alcatel Alsthom in Paris. In 1996 he
transferred to the Flemish Public Radio & TV Broadcaster (VRT) and became Managing Director VRT. In 2002 he left the VRT and joined Bekaert where he took up the assignments
of Chief Financial and Administration Officer and General Secretary.
Barry P. Bosworth, Senior Fellow, Economic Studies, Global Economy and Development, The Brookings Institution
A former presidential advisor, Barry Bosworth is an expert on fiscal and monetary policy, economic growth, capital formation, and Social Security. His recent projects
include studies of U.S. saving behavior and economic growth in China and India. He holds the Robert V. Roosa Chair at Brookings, which is a nonprofit public policy
organization based in Washington, DC that conducts high-quality, independent research on a range of issues.
Chris Delaney, President-Emerging Markets, Campbell Soup Company
Working with the Emerging Markets Team, Chris Delaney is responsible for building Campbell's businesses in key markets such as Greater China and Russia. He joined Campbell in 2004 as Vice President-International Sales and was appointed President-Emerging Markets in 2006. Previously, he spent 20 years with Procter & Gamble, where he held sales and general management roles of increasing scope and responsibility in the U.S., Europe, and the Middle East. Chris spent 10 years working in the developing markets of Eastern Europe and the Middle East before repatriating back to the United States as Vice President, Market Strategy and Planning in North America.
Utsav Kumar, Economist, The Conference Board
Utsav Kumar is an Economist in the Economics Program (Domestic and International Research Products) of The Conference Board. His research covers topics such as India's growth pattern,
understanding differential economic outcomes across regions in India, and the relationship between demography and growth. He is currently working on emerging market macroeconomic
issues, developing indicators of cost-competitiveness across states and industries for India, the role of the demographic dividend in the growth pattern across regions in China and
India, and analyzing the competitiveness of the Turkish economy vis-à-vis other emerging economies. He has published in leading peer-reviewed journals such as the Journal of Monetary
Economics and Review of Development Economics. Prior to joining The Conference Board, he was a research analyst with the International Monetary Fund and an adjunct lecturer at the
University of Maryland (College Park). Utsav received his M.A. in Economics from Delhi School of Economics (University of Delhi) and his Ph.D. in Economics from the University of
Maryland (College Park).
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