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Methodology & Revisions

Methodology

• Procedure for Updating the Composite Indexes
• Alternative description of methodology
• How to calculate diffusion indexes
• Components of the U.S. Business Cycle Indicators

Revisions

• July 2005 Revisions: Treatment of Yield Spread and Trend Adjustment
Forthcoming Revisions to the Index of Leading Economic Indicators (pdf file)
Trend Adjustment to the LEI (pdf file)
New Treatment of Yield Spread in TCB Composite Index of Leading Indicators (pdf file)


• 2005 Annual Benchmark Revision to the US Composite Indexes (January 2005) (pdf file)
• 2004 Annual Benchmark Revision to the US Composite Indexes (January 2004) (pdf file)
• 2003 Annual Benchmark Revision to the US Composite Indexes (January 2003) (pdf file)
• 2002 Mid-Year Benchmark Revisions to the U.S. Composite Indexes (August 2002) (pdf file)
• 2002 Annual Benchmark Revision to the US Composite Indexes (February 2002) (pdf file)
• Removing the Standardization Process from the U.S. Leading and Lagging Indexes (November 2000)
• The More Timely U.S. Leading Index: How Well Does It Work? (October 2000)
• How to Make The Composite Index of U.S. Leading Economic Indicators More Timely (September 2000)