Ataman Ozyildirim, Ph.D.
Director, Business Cycles and Growth Research
The Conference Board
Ataman Ozyildirim is an economist and director of business cycles and growth research at The Conference Board. He joined The Conference Board in 1999 as part of the Global Business Cycle Indicators Program that produces The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for the United States, the Euro Area, China, and eight other countries. In addition to leading The Conference Board research program on business cycles and developing business cycle indexes for emerging economies, he also manages the research program in productivity, innovation and competitiveness, as well as on the annual Global Economic Outlook.
Ozyildirim is an expert on measurement, forecasting, and the analysis of business cycles. His research interests span applied macroeconomics, forecasting, forecast evaluation, international economics, and development economics. He has specialized in the development of business cycle indicators and in forecasting aggregate economic activity worldwide. He has published articles in international academic journals including Journal of Development Economics, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Forecasting, and China Economic Journal. Ozyildirim often speaks to business and professional audiences on economic and business cycle trends and is frequently cited by national and global media.
Before coming to The Conference Board, Ozyildirim worked for Management Science Associates, Inc. in Pittsburgh and served as a lecturer at the Pennsylvania State University. A native of Istanbul, he received his B.A. in economics from Ithaca College and his PhD in economics from Pennsylvania State University.
Publications by Ataman Ozyildirim, Ph.D.Economics Program Working Paper Series
Tracking Business Cycles in Brazil with Composite Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators
20 August, 2013
Modeling Trends, Cyclical Movements and Turning Points of the Chinese Economy
20 June, 2013
Projecting Global Growth
13 November, 2012
Using the Leading Credit IndexTM to Predict Turning Points in the U.S. Business Cycle
20 December, 2011
Comprehensive Benchmark Revisions for
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for the United States
20 December, 2011
On the Selection of Leading Economic Indicators for China
15 July, 2010
Some Recent Changes in Economic Growth, Cycles and Volatility
04 January, 2009
Business Cycles in the Euro Area Defined with Coincident Economic Indicators and Predicted with Leading Economic Indicators
01 November, 2008
On the Measurement and Analysis of Aggregate Economic Activity for China: The Coincident Economic Indicators Approach
30 April, 2008
Real-Time Tests of the Leading Economic Index: Do Changes in the Index Composition Matter?
27 June, 2003
A More Timely and Useful Index of Leading Indicators
25 February, 2003
Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles
18 December, 2001
The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators: How to Make it More Timely
16 November, 2000
The Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View
07 February, 2014
The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View
25 April, 2012