Ataman Ozyildirim

Director, Business Cycle Growth and Growth Research
The Conference Board

Ataman Ozyildirim is an economist and director of business cycles and growth research at The Conference Board. He joined The Conference Board in 1999 as part of the Global Business Cycle Indicators Program that produces The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for the United States, the Euro Area, China, and eight other countries. In addition to leading The Conference Board research program on business cycles and developing business cycle indexes for emerging economies, he also manages the research program in productivity, innovation and competitiveness, as well as on the annual Global Economic Outlook. Ozyildirim is an expert on measurement, forecasting, and the analysis of business cycles. His research interests span applied macroeconomics, forecasting, forecast evaluation, international economics, and development economics. He has specialized in the development of business cycle indicators and in forecasting aggregate economic activity worldwide. He has published articles in international academic journals including Journal of Development Economics, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Forecasting, and China Economic Journal. Ozyildirim often speaks to business and professional audiences on economic and business cycle trends and is frequently cited by national and global media. Before coming to The Conference Board, Ozyildirim worked for Management Science Associates, Inc. in Pittsburgh and served as a lecturer at the Pennsylvania State University. A native of Istanbul, he received his B.A. in economics from Ithaca College and his PhD in economics from Pennsylvania State University.

Publications by Ataman Ozyildirim

Economics Program Working Paper Series

• Projecting Global Growth
  13 November, 2012
• Using the Leading Credit Index^TM to Predict Turning Points in the U.S. Business Cycle
  20 December, 2011
• Comprehensive Benchmark Revisions for The Conference Board Leading Economic Index^® for the United States
  20 December, 2011
• On the Selection of Leading Economic Indicators for China
  15 July, 2010
• Some Recent Changes in Economic Growth, Cycles and Volatility
  04 January, 2009
• Business Cycles in the Euro Area Defined with Coincident Economic Indicators and Predicted with Leading Economic Indicators
  01 November, 2008
• On the Measurement and Analysis of Aggregate Economic Activity for China: The Coincident Economic Indicators Approach
  30 April, 2008
• Real-Time Tests of the Leading Economic Index: Do Changes in the Index Composition Matter?
  27 June, 2003
• A More Timely and Useful Index of Leading Indicators
  25 February, 2003
• Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles
  18 December, 2001
• The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators: How to Make it More Timely
  16 November, 2000

Economics Watch Reports

• The Conference Board Economics Watch^® United States View
  25 April, 2012

Executive Action Report

• Assessing the Risks of an Economic Downturn in Japan
  28 April, 2011
• The Potential Economic Impact of the 2009 A(H1N1) Influenza (Swine Flu) Pandemic
  08 May, 2009