The Conference Board Leading Economic Index™ (LEI) for the U.S. Improves Again

Press Release / News

Oct. 22, 2009

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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index™ (LEI) for the U.S. increased 1.0 percent in September, following a 0.4 percent gain in August, and a 1.0 percent rise in July.

Download a PDF of the technical notes for underlying detail, diffusion indexes, components, contributions and graphs.

Download a PDF of the press release with graph and summary table.

"With the sixth consecutive increase, the LEI's six-month growth rate has improved to its highest pace since 1983," says Ataman Ozyildirim, Economist at The Conference Board. "Except for average workweek and building permits, all the leading indicators contributed positively to the index this month. At the same time, the contraction in the coincident economic index has halted in recent months, but the continued downtrend in employment is keeping this index of current economic conditions from rising faster."

Says Ken Goldstein, Economist at The Conference Board: "The LEI has risen for six consecutive months and the coincident economic index has increased in two of the last three months. These numbers strongly suggest that a recovery is developing. However, the intensity of that recovery will depend on how much, and how soon, demand picks up."

The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index™ (CEI) for the U.S. was unchanged in September, following a 0.1 percent increase in both August and July. The Conference Board Lagging Economic Index™ (LAG) declined 0.3 percent in September, following a 0.2 percent decline in August, and a 0.6 percent decline in July.

The next release is scheduled for Thursday, November 19, 2009 at 10 A.M. ET.

For further information contact:
Frank Tortorici
(1) 212 339 0231
f.tortorici@conference-board.org

THESE DATA ARE FOR ANALYSIS PURPOSES ONLY. NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION, PUBLISHING, DATABASING, OR PUBLIC POSTING WITHOUT EXPRESS WRITTEN PERMISSION.